Anthony Fyles

There are currently no molecular tests to identify individual breast cancers where radiotherapy (RT) offers no benefit. Profile for the Omission of Local Adjuvant Radiotherapy (POLAR) is a 16-gene molecular signature developed to identify low risk cancers where RT will not further reduce recurrence rates. An individual participant data meta-analysis was performed in 623 cases of node-negative ER+/HER2-negative early breast cancer enrolled in three RT randomized trials for whom primary tumor material was available for analysis. A Cox proportional hazards model on time to locoregional recurrence (LRR) was used to test the interaction between POLAR score and RT. 429 (69%) patients’ tumors had a high POLAR score and 194 (31%) had a low score. Patients with high POLAR score had, in the absence of RT, a 10-year cumulative incidence of LRR: 20% (15%-26%) vs 5% (2%-11%) for those with a low score. Patients with a high POLAR score had a large benefit from RT (hazard ratio [HR] for RT vs no RT: 0.37 [0.23-0.60], p < .001). In contrast, there was no evidence of benefit from RT for patients with a low POLAR score (HR: 0.92 [0.42-2.02], p = .832). The test for interaction between RT and POLAR was statistically significant (p = .022). POLAR is not only prognostic for locoregional recurrence but also predictive of benefit from radiotherapy in selected patients. Patients ≥ 50 years with ER+/HER2-negative disease and a low POLAR score could consider omitting adjuvant RT. Further validation in contemporary clinical cohorts is required.

Figure S2 from An Immune Gene Expression Risk Score for Distant Metastases after Radiotherapy for Cervical Cancer

Purpose:To develop an immune-based gene expression risk score to identify patients with cervical cancer at increased risk of distant metastases (DM).Experimental Design:Tumor biopsies were obtained from 81 patients prior to chemoradiotherapy. Whole-transcriptome RNA sequencing was performed (Illumina NextSeq500). Beginning with 4,723 immune-related genes, a 55-gene risk score for DM was derived using Cox modeling and principal component analysis. It was validated in independent cohorts of 274 patients treated at the Norwegian Radium Hospital (NRH) and 206 patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA).Results:The risk score was predictive of DM (HR, 2.7; P < 0.0001) and lower cause-specific survival (CSS) by univariate analysis (HR, 2.0; P = 0.0003) and multivariate analysis adjusted for clinical factors (DM HR, 3.0; P < 0.0001; CSS HR, 2.2; P = 0.0004). The risk score predicted DM (HR, 1.4; P = 0.05) and CSS (HR, 1.48; P = 0.013) in the NRH cohort and CSS (HR, 1.4; P = 0.03) in TCGA cohort. Higher risk scores were associated with lower CIBERSORT estimates of tumor-infiltrating immune cells, including CD8 T cells and M1 and M2 macrophages (all P < 0.001). Higher risk scores were associated with lower expression (all P < 0.001) of important chemokines (CXCL12, CXCR4), IFN-regulated genes (IRF1, STAT1, IDO1), and immune checkpoint regulators (PD-1, PD-L1, CTLA-4).Conclusions:The immune metastatic risk score addresses important challenges in the treatment of cervical cancer—identifying patients at high risk of DM after radiotherapy. The findings of this study indicate that high tumor mutational burden and a “cold,” immune-excluded tumor microenvironment influence distant metastatic recurrence. Further validation of the risk score is needed.

Figure S3 from An Immune Gene Expression Risk Score for Distant Metastases after Radiotherapy for Cervical Cancer

Figure S3 from An Immune Gene Expression Risk Score for Distant Metastases after Radiotherapy for Cervical Cancer

Figure S4 from An Immune Gene Expression Risk Score for Distant Metastases after Radiotherapy for Cervical Cancer

Figure S2 from An Immune Gene Expression Risk Score for Distant Metastases after Radiotherapy for Cervical Cancer