Lucy S. Tusting
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Research Subjects
Research Interests
Lucy S. Tusting has a total of 109 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Steven W. Lindsay
Department of Biosciences, Durham University, Durham, UK
8 shared publications - David L. Smith
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
5 shared publications - Peter W. Gething
Malaria Atlas Project, The Kids Research Institute Australia, Perth Children’s Hospital, Nedlands, Australia
5 shared publications Steven W. Lindsay
Affiliation Department of Biosciences, Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom
5 shared publications- Harry S. Gibson
Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
4 shared publications Thomas W. Scott
Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA Department of Entomology and Nematology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA
4 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 31 December 2024
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Global Public Health
- Vol. 4 (12) , e0003067
Ethnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: A cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africa
Child anthropometric deficits remain a major public health problem in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and are a key target of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs recommend disaggregation of health indicators by ethnic group. However, few studies have assessed how ethnicity is associated with anthropometric deficits across SSA. Data were extracted from 37 georeferenced Demographic and Health Surveys carried out during 2006–2019 across SSA that recorded anthropometric data for children aged <5 years. In a cross-sectional analysis, the odds of stunting (low height-for-age), wasting (low weight-for-height) and underweight (low weight-for-age) were modelled in relation to ethnic group using a generalised linear hierarchical mixed-effects model, controlling for survey design and environmental, socioeconomic and clinical variables. The study population comprised 138,312 children spanning 45 ethnic groups across 18 countries. In pairwise comparisons (accounting for multiple comparisons) between ethnic groups, height-for-age z-scores differed by at least 0.5 standard deviations in 29% of comparisons, weight-for-height z-scores in 36% of comparisons and weight-for-age z-scores in 20% of comparisons. Compared to a reference group of Fula children (the largest ethnic group), ethnic group membership was associated with both increases and decreases in growth faltering, ranging from a 69% reduction to a 32% increase in odds of stunting (Igbo: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.31, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.27–0.35, p<0.0001; Hausa: aOR 1.32, 95% CI 1.21–1.44, p<0.0001); a 13% to 87% reduction in odds of wasting (Mandinka: aOR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76–0.99, p = 0.034; Bamileke: aOR 0.13, 95% CI 0.05–0.32, p<0.0001) and an 85% reduction to 13% increase in odds of underweight (Bamileke: aOR 0.15, 95% CI 0.08–0.29, p<0.0001; Hausa: aOR 1.13, 95% CI 1.03–1.24, p = 0.010). Major ethnic disparities in stunting, wasting and underweight were observed across 18 countries in SSA. Understanding and accounting for these differences is essential to support progress monitoring and targeting of nutrition interventions in children.
- 31 December 2024
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Global Public Health
- Vol. 4 (12) , e0003067
Open AccessEthnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: A cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africa
Child anthropometric deficits remain a major public health problem in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and are a key target of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs recommend disaggregation of health indicators by ethnic group. However, few studies have assessed how ethnicity is associated with anthropometric deficits across SSA. Data were extracted from 37 georeferenced Demographic and Health Surveys carried out during 2006–2019 across SSA that recorded anthropometric data for children aged <5 years. In a cross-sectional analysis, the odds of stunting (low height-for-age), wasting (low weight-for-height) and underweight (low weight-for-age) were modelled in relation to ethnic group using a generalised linear hierarchical mixed-effects model, controlling for survey design and environmental, socioeconomic and clinical variables. The study population comprised 138,312 children spanning 45 ethnic groups across 18 countries. In pairwise comparisons (accounting for multiple comparisons) between ethnic groups, height-for-age z-scores differed by at least 0.5 standard deviations in 29% of comparisons, weight-for-height z-scores in 36% of comparisons and weight-for-age z-scores in 20% of comparisons. Compared to a reference group of Fula children (the largest ethnic group), ethnic group membership was associated with both increases and decreases in growth faltering, ranging from a 69% reduction to a 32% increase in odds of stunting (Igbo: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.31, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.27–0.35, p<0.0001; Hausa: aOR 1.32, 95% CI 1.21–1.44, p<0.0001); a 13% to 87% reduction in odds of wasting (Mandinka: aOR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76–0.99, p = 0.034; Bamileke: aOR 0.13, 95% CI 0.05–0.32, p<0.0001) and an 85% reduction to 13% increase in odds of underweight (Bamileke: aOR 0.15, 95% CI 0.08–0.29, p<0.0001; Hausa: aOR 1.13, 95% CI 1.03–1.24, p = 0.010). Major ethnic disparities in stunting, wasting and underweight were observed across 18 countries in SSA. Understanding and accounting for these differences is essential to support progress monitoring and targeting of nutrition interventions in children.
- Open Access
Ethnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: a cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africa
Background: Anthropometric deficits persist in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) despite sustained improvements in nutrition, disease burden and living conditions. The UN Sustainable Development Goals advocate for disaggregation of health indicators by ethnic group. However, few studies have assessed how ethnicity is associated with anthropometric deficits across SSA. Methods: Data were extracted from 37 georeferenced Demographic and Health Surveys carried out during 2006-2019 across SSA that recorded anthropometric data for children aged 1 but our study shows that this burden is unequally distributed among ethnic groups. Research is needed to understand these differences, in order to target interventions and effectively track progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 2.
Open AccessEthnicity and anthropometric deficits in children: a cross-sectional analysis of national survey data from 18 countries in sub-Saharan Africa
Background: Anthropometric deficits persist in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) despite sustained improvements in nutrition, disease burden and living conditions. The UN Sustainable Development Goals advocate for disaggregation of health indicators by ethnic group. However, few studies have assessed how ethnicity is associated with anthropometric deficits across SSA. Methods: Data were extracted from 37 georeferenced Demographic and Health Surveys carried out during 2006-2019 across SSA that recorded anthropometric data for children aged 1 but our study shows that this burden is unequally distributed among ethnic groups. Research is needed to understand these differences, in order to target interventions and effectively track progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 2.
- Open Access
- 27 April 2022
- Published by Springer Nature in Malaria Journal
- Vol. 21 (1) , 1-15
Cooking outdoors or with cleaner fuels does not increase malarial risk in children under 5 years: a cross-sectional study of 17 sub-Saharan African countries
Background: Smoke from solid biomass cooking is often stated to reduce household mosquito levels and, therefore, malarial transmission. However, household air pollution (HAP) from solid biomass cooking is estimated to be responsible for 1.67 times more deaths in children aged under 5 years compared to malaria globally. This cross-sectional study investigates the association between malaria and (i) cleaner fuel usage; (ii) wood compared to charcoal fuel; and, (iii) household cooking location, among children aged under 5 years in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Methods: Population-based data was obtained from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) for 85,263 children within 17 malaria-endemic sub-Saharan countries who were who were tested for malaria with a malarial rapid diagnostic test (RDT) or microscopy. To assess the independent association between malarial diagnosis (positive, negative), fuel type and cooking location (outdoor, indoor, attached to house), multivariable logistic regression was used, controlling for individual, household and contextual confounding factors. Results: Household use of solid biomass fuels and kerosene cooking fuels was associated with a 57% increase in the odds ratio of malarial infection after adjusting for confounding factors (RDT adjusted odds ratio (AOR):1.57 [1.30–1.91]; Microscopy AOR: 1.58 [1.23–2.04]) compared to cooking with cleaner fuels. A similar effect was observed when comparing wood to charcoal among solid biomass fuel users (RDT AOR: 1.77 [1.54–2.04]; Microscopy AOR: 1.21 [1.08–1.37]). Cooking in a separate building was associated with a 26% reduction in the odds of malarial infection (RDT AOR: 0.74 [0.66–0.83]; Microscopy AOR: 0.75 [0.67–0.84]) compared to indoor cooking; however no association was observed with outdoor cooking. Similar effects were observed within a sub-analysis of malarial mesoendemic areas only. Conclusion: Cleaner fuels and outdoor cooking practices associated with reduced smoke exposure were not observed to have an adverse effect upon malarial infection among children under 5 years in SSA. Further mixed-methods research will be required to further strengthen the evidence base concerning this risk paradigm and to support appropriate public health messaging in this context.
- 27 April 2022
- Published by Springer Nature in Malaria Journal
- Vol. 21 (1) , 1-15
Open AccessCooking outdoors or with cleaner fuels does not increase malarial risk in children under 5 years: a cross-sectional study of 17 sub-Saharan African countries
Background: Smoke from solid biomass cooking is often stated to reduce household mosquito levels and, therefore, malarial transmission. However, household air pollution (HAP) from solid biomass cooking is estimated to be responsible for 1.67 times more deaths in children aged under 5 years compared to malaria globally. This cross-sectional study investigates the association between malaria and (i) cleaner fuel usage; (ii) wood compared to charcoal fuel; and, (iii) household cooking location, among children aged under 5 years in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Methods: Population-based data was obtained from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) for 85,263 children within 17 malaria-endemic sub-Saharan countries who were who were tested for malaria with a malarial rapid diagnostic test (RDT) or microscopy. To assess the independent association between malarial diagnosis (positive, negative), fuel type and cooking location (outdoor, indoor, attached to house), multivariable logistic regression was used, controlling for individual, household and contextual confounding factors. Results: Household use of solid biomass fuels and kerosene cooking fuels was associated with a 57% increase in the odds ratio of malarial infection after adjusting for confounding factors (RDT adjusted odds ratio (AOR):1.57 [1.30–1.91]; Microscopy AOR: 1.58 [1.23–2.04]) compared to cooking with cleaner fuels. A similar effect was observed when comparing wood to charcoal among solid biomass fuel users (RDT AOR: 1.77 [1.54–2.04]; Microscopy AOR: 1.21 [1.08–1.37]). Cooking in a separate building was associated with a 26% reduction in the odds of malarial infection (RDT AOR: 0.74 [0.66–0.83]; Microscopy AOR: 0.75 [0.67–0.84]) compared to indoor cooking; however no association was observed with outdoor cooking. Similar effects were observed within a sub-analysis of malarial mesoendemic areas only. Conclusion: Cleaner fuels and outdoor cooking practices associated with reduced smoke exposure were not observed to have an adverse effect upon malarial infection among children under 5 years in SSA. Further mixed-methods research will be required to further strengthen the evidence base concerning this risk paradigm and to support appropriate public health messaging in this context.
- Open Access
- 3 March 2022
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Global Public Health
- Vol. 2 (3) , e0000063
House design and risk of malaria, acute respiratory infection and gastrointestinal illness in Uganda: A cohort study
House construction is rapidly modernizing across Africa but the potential benefits for human health are poorly understood. We hypothesised that improvements to housing would be associated with reductions in malaria, acute respiratory infection (ARI) and gastrointestinal illness in an area of low malaria endemicity in Uganda. Data were analysed from a cohort study of male and female child and adult residents (n = 531) of 80 randomly-selected households in Nagongera sub-county, followed for 24 months (October 4, 2017 to October 31, 2019). Houses were classified as modern (brick walls, metal roof and closed eaves) or traditional (all other homes). Light trap collections of mosquitoes were done every two weeks in all sleeping rooms. Every four weeks, we measured malaria infection (using microscopy and qPCR to detect malaria parasites), incidence of malaria, ARI and gastrointestinal illness. We collected 15,780 adult female Anopheles over 7,631 nights. We collected 13,277 blood samples of which 10.2% (1,347) were positive for malaria parasites. Over 958 person years we diagnosed 38 episodes of uncomplicated malaria (incidence 0.04 episodes per person-year at risk), 2,553 episodes of ARI (incidence 2.7 episodes per person-year) and 387 episodes of gastrointestinal illness (incidence 0.4 episodes per person-year). Modern houses were associated with a 53% lower human biting rate compared to traditional houses (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32–0.67, p<0.001) and a 24% lower incidence of gastrointestinal illness (aIRR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59–0.98, p = 0.04) but no changes in malaria prevalence, malaria incidence nor ARI incidence. House improvements may reduce mosquito-biting rates and gastrointestinal illness among children and adults. For the health sector to leverage Africa’s housing modernization, research is urgently needed to identify the healthiest house designs and to assess their effectiveness across a range of epidemiological settings in sub-Saharan Africa.
- 3 March 2022
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Global Public Health
- Vol. 2 (3) , e0000063
Open AccessHouse design and risk of malaria, acute respiratory infection and gastrointestinal illness in Uganda: A cohort study
House construction is rapidly modernizing across Africa but the potential benefits for human health are poorly understood. We hypothesised that improvements to housing would be associated with reductions in malaria, acute respiratory infection (ARI) and gastrointestinal illness in an area of low malaria endemicity in Uganda. Data were analysed from a cohort study of male and female child and adult residents (n = 531) of 80 randomly-selected households in Nagongera sub-county, followed for 24 months (October 4, 2017 to October 31, 2019). Houses were classified as modern (brick walls, metal roof and closed eaves) or traditional (all other homes). Light trap collections of mosquitoes were done every two weeks in all sleeping rooms. Every four weeks, we measured malaria infection (using microscopy and qPCR to detect malaria parasites), incidence of malaria, ARI and gastrointestinal illness. We collected 15,780 adult female Anopheles over 7,631 nights. We collected 13,277 blood samples of which 10.2% (1,347) were positive for malaria parasites. Over 958 person years we diagnosed 38 episodes of uncomplicated malaria (incidence 0.04 episodes per person-year at risk), 2,553 episodes of ARI (incidence 2.7 episodes per person-year) and 387 episodes of gastrointestinal illness (incidence 0.4 episodes per person-year). Modern houses were associated with a 53% lower human biting rate compared to traditional houses (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32–0.67, p<0.001) and a 24% lower incidence of gastrointestinal illness (aIRR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59–0.98, p = 0.04) but no changes in malaria prevalence, malaria incidence nor ARI incidence. House improvements may reduce mosquito-biting rates and gastrointestinal illness among children and adults. For the health sector to leverage Africa’s housing modernization, research is urgently needed to identify the healthiest house designs and to assess their effectiveness across a range of epidemiological settings in sub-Saharan Africa.
- Open Access
- 16 February 2021
- Published by BMJ in BMJ Global Health
- Vol. 6 (2) , e005169
Assessing the health benefits of development interventions
- 16 February 2021
- Published by BMJ in BMJ Global Health
- Vol. 6 (2) , e005169
Open AccessAssessing the health benefits of development interventions
- Open Access
- 23 March 2020
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Medicine
- Vol. 17 (3) , e1003055
Housing and child health in sub-Saharan Africa: A cross-sectional analysis
Housing is essential to human well-being but neglected in global health. Today, housing in Africa is rapidly improving alongside economic development, creating an urgent need to understand how these changes can benefit health. We hypothesised that improved housing is associated with better health in children living in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of housing conditions relative to a range of child health outcomes in SSA. Cross-sectional data were analysed for 824,694 children surveyed in 54 Demographic and Health Surveys, 21 Malaria Indicator Surveys, and two AIDS Indicator Surveys conducted in 33 countries between 2001 and 2017 that measured malaria infection by microscopy or rapid diagnostic test (RDT), diarrhoea, acute respiratory infections (ARIs), stunting, wasting, underweight, or anaemia in children aged 0–5 years. The mean age of children was 2.5 years, and 49.7% were female. Housing was categorised into a binary variable based on a United Nations definition comparing improved housing (with improved drinking water, improved sanitation, sufficient living area, and finished building materials) versus unimproved housing (all other houses). Associations between house type and child health outcomes were determined using conditional logistic regression within surveys, adjusting for prespecified covariables including age, sex, household wealth, insecticide-treated bed net use, and vaccination status. Individual survey odds ratios (ORs) were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Across surveys, improved housing was associated with 8%–18% lower odds of all outcomes except ARI (malaria infection by microscopy: adjusted OR [aOR] 0.88, 95% confidence intervals [CIs] 0.80–0.97, p = 0.01; malaria infection by RDT: aOR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77–0.88, p < 0.001; diarrhoea: aOR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88–0.97, p = 0.001; ARI: aOR 0.96, 95% CI 0.87–1.07, p = 0.49; stunting: aOR 0.83, 95% CI 0.77–0.88, p < 0.001; wasting: aOR 0.90, 95% CI 0.83–0.99, p = 0.03; underweight: aOR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80–0.90, p < 0.001; any anaemia: aOR 0.87, 95% CI 0.82–0.92, p < 0.001; severe anaemia: aOR 0.89, 95% CI 0.84–0.95, p < 0.001). In comparison, insecticide-treated net use was associated with 16%–17% lower odds of malaria infection (microscopy: aOR 0.83, 95% CI 0.78–0.88, p < 0.001; RDT: aOR 0.84, 95% CI 0.79–0.88, p < 0.001). Drinking water source and sanitation facility alone were not associated with diarrhoea. The main study limitations are the use of self-reported diarrhoea and ARI, as well as potential residual confounding by socioeconomic position, despite adjustments for household wealth and education. In this study, we observed that poor housing, which includes inadequate drinking water and sanitation facility, is associated with health outcomes known to increase child mortality in SSA. Improvements to housing may be protective against a number of important childhood infectious diseases as well as poor growth outcomes, with major potential to improve children’s health and survival across SSA.
- 23 March 2020
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Medicine
- Vol. 17 (3) , e1003055
Open AccessHousing and child health in sub-Saharan Africa: A cross-sectional analysis
Housing is essential to human well-being but neglected in global health. Today, housing in Africa is rapidly improving alongside economic development, creating an urgent need to understand how these changes can benefit health. We hypothesised that improved housing is associated with better health in children living in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of housing conditions relative to a range of child health outcomes in SSA. Cross-sectional data were analysed for 824,694 children surveyed in 54 Demographic and Health Surveys, 21 Malaria Indicator Surveys, and two AIDS Indicator Surveys conducted in 33 countries between 2001 and 2017 that measured malaria infection by microscopy or rapid diagnostic test (RDT), diarrhoea, acute respiratory infections (ARIs), stunting, wasting, underweight, or anaemia in children aged 0–5 years. The mean age of children was 2.5 years, and 49.7% were female. Housing was categorised into a binary variable based on a United Nations definition comparing improved housing (with improved drinking water, improved sanitation, sufficient living area, and finished building materials) versus unimproved housing (all other houses). Associations between house type and child health outcomes were determined using conditional logistic regression within surveys, adjusting for prespecified covariables including age, sex, household wealth, insecticide-treated bed net use, and vaccination status. Individual survey odds ratios (ORs) were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Across surveys, improved housing was associated with 8%–18% lower odds of all outcomes except ARI (malaria infection by microscopy: adjusted OR [aOR] 0.88, 95% confidence intervals [CIs] 0.80–0.97, p = 0.01; malaria infection by RDT: aOR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77–0.88, p < 0.001; diarrhoea: aOR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88–0.97, p = 0.001; ARI: aOR 0.96, 95% CI 0.87–1.07, p = 0.49; stunting: aOR 0.83, 95% CI 0.77–0.88, p < 0.001; wasting: aOR 0.90, 95% CI 0.83–0.99, p = 0.03; underweight: aOR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80–0.90, p < 0.001; any anaemia: aOR 0.87, 95% CI 0.82–0.92, p < 0.001; severe anaemia: aOR 0.89, 95% CI 0.84–0.95, p < 0.001). In comparison, insecticide-treated net use was associated with 16%–17% lower odds of malaria infection (microscopy: aOR 0.83, 95% CI 0.78–0.88, p < 0.001; RDT: aOR 0.84, 95% CI 0.79–0.88, p < 0.001). Drinking water source and sanitation facility alone were not associated with diarrhoea. The main study limitations are the use of self-reported diarrhoea and ARI, as well as potential residual confounding by socioeconomic position, despite adjustments for household wealth and education. In this study, we observed that poor housing, which includes inadequate drinking water and sanitation facility, is associated with health outcomes known to increase child mortality in SSA. Improvements to housing may be protective against a number of important childhood infectious diseases as well as poor growth outcomes, with major potential to improve children’s health and survival across SSA.
- Open Access
- 1 March 2020
- Published by Elsevier in The Lancet Planetary Health
- Vol. 4 (3) , e116-e123
Environmental temperature and growth faltering in African children: a cross-sectional study
- 1 March 2020
- Published by Elsevier in The Lancet Planetary Health
- Vol. 4 (3) , e116-e123
Open AccessEnvironmental temperature and growth faltering in African children: a cross-sectional study
- Open Access
- 10 October 2019
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Medicine
- Vol. 16 (10) , e1002909
Knowledge gaps in the construction of rural healthy homes: A research agenda for improved low-cost housing in hot-humid Africa
Lorenz von Seidlein and colleagues discuss improving house designs in rural Africa to benefit health.
- 10 October 2019
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Medicine
- Vol. 16 (10) , e1002909
Open AccessKnowledge gaps in the construction of rural healthy homes: A research agenda for improved low-cost housing in hot-humid Africa
Lorenz von Seidlein and colleagues discuss improving house designs in rural Africa to benefit health.
- Top Cited PapersOpen Access
- 27 March 2019
- Published by Springer Nature in Nature
- Vol. 568 (7752) , 391-394
Mapping changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10–12%) to 23% (21–25%). However, 53 (50–57) million urban Africans (47% (44–50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.
- 27 March 2019
- Published by Springer Nature in Nature
- Vol. 568 (7752) , 391-394
Top Cited PapersOpen AccessMapping changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10–12%) to 23% (21–25%). However, 53 (50–57) million urban Africans (47% (44–50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.
- Top Cited PapersOpen Access
- 21 February 2017
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Medicine
- Vol. 14 (2) , e1002234
Housing Improvements and Malaria Risk in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Multi-Country Analysis of Survey Data
Improvements to housing may contribute to malaria control and elimination by reducing house entry by malaria vectors and thus exposure to biting. We tested the hypothesis that the odds of malaria infection are lower in modern, improved housing compared to traditional housing in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We analysed 15 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and 14 Malaria Indicator Surveys (MIS) conducted in 21 countries in SSA between 2008 and 2015 that measured malaria infection by microscopy or rapid diagnostic test (RDT). DHS/MIS surveys record whether houses are built with finished materials (e.g., metal) or rudimentary materials (e.g., thatch). This information was used to develop a binary housing quality variable where houses built using finished wall, roof, and floor materials were classified as “modern”, and all other houses were classified as “traditional”. Conditional logistic regression was used to determine the association between housing quality and prevalence of malaria infection in children aged 0–5 y, adjusting for age, gender, insecticide-treated net (ITN) use, indoor residual spraying, household wealth, and geographic cluster. Individual survey odds ratios (ORs) were combined to determine a summary OR using a random effects meta-analysis. Of 284,532 total children surveyed, 139,318 were tested for malaria infection using microscopy (n = 131,652) or RDT (n = 138,540). Within individual surveys, malaria prevalence measured by microscopy ranged from 0.4% (Madagascar 2011) to 45.5% (Burkina Faso 2010) among children living in modern houses and from 0.4% (The Gambia 2013) to 70.6% (Burkina Faso 2010) in traditional houses, and malaria prevalence measured by RDT ranged from 0.3% (Senegal 2013–2014) to 61.2% (Burkina Faso 2010) in modern houses and from 1.5% (The Gambia 2013) to 79.8% (Burkina Faso 2010) in traditional houses. Across all surveys, modern housing was associated with a 9% to 14% reduction in the odds of malaria infection (microscopy: adjusted OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85–0.97, p = 0.003; RDT: adjusted OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80–0.92, p < 0.001). This association was consistent regardless of ITN usage. As a comparison, the odds of malaria infection were 15% to 16% lower among ITN users versus non-users (microscopy: adjusted OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.79–0.90, p < 0.001; RDT: adjusted OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80–0.90, p < 0.001). The main limitation of this study is that residual confounding by household wealth of the observed association between housing quality and malaria prevalence is possible, since the wealth index may not have fully captured differences in socioeconomic position; however, the use of multiple national surveys offers the advantage of a large sample size and the elimination of many biases typically associated with pooling observational data. Housing quality is an important risk factor for malaria infection across the spectrum of malaria endemicity in SSA, with a strength of association between housing quality and malaria similar to that observed between ITN use and malaria. Improved housing should be considered a promising intervention for malaria control and elimination and long-term prevention of reintroduction.
- 21 February 2017
- Published by Public Library of Science (PLoS) in PLOS Medicine
- Vol. 14 (2) , e1002234
Top Cited PapersOpen AccessHousing Improvements and Malaria Risk in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Multi-Country Analysis of Survey Data
Improvements to housing may contribute to malaria control and elimination by reducing house entry by malaria vectors and thus exposure to biting. We tested the hypothesis that the odds of malaria infection are lower in modern, improved housing compared to traditional housing in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We analysed 15 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and 14 Malaria Indicator Surveys (MIS) conducted in 21 countries in SSA between 2008 and 2015 that measured malaria infection by microscopy or rapid diagnostic test (RDT). DHS/MIS surveys record whether houses are built with finished materials (e.g., metal) or rudimentary materials (e.g., thatch). This information was used to develop a binary housing quality variable where houses built using finished wall, roof, and floor materials were classified as “modern”, and all other houses were classified as “traditional”. Conditional logistic regression was used to determine the association between housing quality and prevalence of malaria infection in children aged 0–5 y, adjusting for age, gender, insecticide-treated net (ITN) use, indoor residual spraying, household wealth, and geographic cluster. Individual survey odds ratios (ORs) were combined to determine a summary OR using a random effects meta-analysis. Of 284,532 total children surveyed, 139,318 were tested for malaria infection using microscopy (n = 131,652) or RDT (n = 138,540). Within individual surveys, malaria prevalence measured by microscopy ranged from 0.4% (Madagascar 2011) to 45.5% (Burkina Faso 2010) among children living in modern houses and from 0.4% (The Gambia 2013) to 70.6% (Burkina Faso 2010) in traditional houses, and malaria prevalence measured by RDT ranged from 0.3% (Senegal 2013–2014) to 61.2% (Burkina Faso 2010) in modern houses and from 1.5% (The Gambia 2013) to 79.8% (Burkina Faso 2010) in traditional houses. Across all surveys, modern housing was associated with a 9% to 14% reduction in the odds of malaria infection (microscopy: adjusted OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85–0.97, p = 0.003; RDT: adjusted OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80–0.92, p < 0.001). This association was consistent regardless of ITN usage. As a comparison, the odds of malaria infection were 15% to 16% lower among ITN users versus non-users (microscopy: adjusted OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.79–0.90, p < 0.001; RDT: adjusted OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80–0.90, p < 0.001). The main limitation of this study is that residual confounding by household wealth of the observed association between housing quality and malaria prevalence is possible, since the wealth index may not have fully captured differences in socioeconomic position; however, the use of multiple national surveys offers the advantage of a large sample size and the elimination of many biases typically associated with pooling observational data. Housing quality is an important risk factor for malaria infection across the spectrum of malaria endemicity in SSA, with a strength of association between housing quality and malaria similar to that observed between ITN use and malaria. Improved housing should be considered a promising intervention for malaria control and elimination and long-term prevention of reintroduction.