Giorgio Enrico Gerunda

Bleeding is a feared complication of invasive procedures in patients with cirrhosis and significant coagulopathy (as defined by routine coagulation tests) and is used to justify preprocedure use of fresh frozen plasma (FFP) and/or platelets (PLT). Thromboelastography (TEG) provides a more comprehensive global coagulation assessment than routine tests (international normalized ratio [INR] and platelet count), and its use may avoid unnecessary blood product transfusion in patients with cirrhosis and significant coagulopathy (defined in this study as INR >1.8 and/or platelet count 40 min and/or PLT if maximum amplitude (MA) was P < 0.0001). Sixteen SOC (53.3%) received FFP, 10 (33.3%) PLT, and 4 (13.3%) both FFP and PLT. In the TEG group, none received FFP alone (P < 0.0001 vs. SOC), 2 received PLT (6.7%; P = 0.009 vs. SOC), and 3 both FFP and PLT (not significant). Postprocedure bleeding occurred in only 1 patient (SOC group) after large‐volume paracentesis. Conclusions: In patients with cirrhosis and significant coagulopathy before invasive procedures, TEG‐guided transfusion strategy leads to a significantly lower use of blood products compared to SOC (transfusion guided by INR and platelet count), without an increase in bleeding complications. Remarkably, even in patients with significant coagulopathy, postprocedure bleeding was rare, indicating that TEG thresholds should be reevaluated. (Hepatology 2016;63:566–573)

Neurological complications (NCs) can frequently and significantly affect morbidity and mortality of liver transplant (LT) recipients. We analysed incidence, risk factors, outcome and impact of the immunosuppressive therapy on NC development after LT. We analysed 478 LT in 440 patients, and 93 (19.5%) were followed by NCs. The average LOS was longer in patients experiencing NCs. The 1-, 3- and 5-year graft survival and patient survival were similar in patients with or without a NC. Multivariate analysis showed the following as independent risk factors for NC: a MELD score ≥20 (OR = 1.934, CI = 1.186-3.153) and an immunosuppressive regimen based on calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) (OR = 1.669, CI = 1.009-2.760). Among patients receiving an everolimus-based immunosuppression, the 7.1% developed NCs, vs. the 16.9% in those receiving a CNI (P = 0.039). There was a 1-, 3- and 5-year NC-free survival of 81.7%, 81.1% and 77.7% in patients receiving a CNI-based regimen and 95.1%, 93.6% and 92.7% in those not receiving a CNI-based regimen (P < 0.001). In patients undergoing a LT and presenting with nonmodifiable risk factors for developing NCs, an immunosuppressive regimen based on CNIs is likely to result in a higher rate of NCs compared to mTOR inhibitors.

Objective: The biological heterogeneity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) makes prognosis difficult. We translate the results of a genome-wide high-throughput analysis into a tool that accurately predicts at presentation tumour growth and survival of patients with HCC. Design: Ultrasound surveillance identified HCC in 78 (training set) and 54 (validation set) consecutive patients with cirrhosis. Patients underwent two CT scans 6 weeks apart (no treatment in-between) to determine tumour volumes (V₀ and V₁) and calculate HCC doubling time. Baseline-paired HCC and surrounding tissue biopsies for microarray study (Agilent Whole Human Genome Oligo Microarrays) were also obtained. Predictors of survival were assessed by multivariate Cox model. Results: Calculated tumour doubling times ranged from 30 to 621 days (mean, 107±91 days; median, 83 days) and were divided into quartiles: ≤53 days (n=19), 54–82 days (n=20), 83–110 days (n=20) and ≥111 days (n=19). Median survival according to doubling time was significantly lower for the first quartile versus the others (11 vs 41 months, 42, and 47 months, respectively) (pANGPT2), delta-like ligand 4 (DLL4), neuropilin (NRP)/tolloid (TLL)-like 2 (NETO2), endothelial cell-specific molecule-1 (ESM1), and nuclear receptor subfamily 4, group A, member 1 (NR4A1) was found to accurately identify rapidly growing HCCs of the first quartile (ROC AUC: 0.961; 95% CI 0.919 to 1.000; p<0.0001) and to be an independent factor for mortality (HR: 3.987; 95% CI 1.941 to 8.193, p<0.0001). Conclusions: The hepatic five-gene signature was able to predict HCC growth in individual patient and the consequent risk of death. This implies a role of this molecular tool in the future therapeutic management of patients with HCC. Trial registration number: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01657695.

Background & Aims: The model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) is used for organ allocation in liver transplantation (LT), but its prognostic performance is less accurate in patients with low score. We assess the outcome of patients with MELD < 18 awaiting LT, finding prognostic variables to identify a high dropout risk.Methods: Training set consisted of 277 patients and validation cohort of 292 patients. Competing risk regression analysis, taking into account LT, was used for univariate/multivariate analysis.Results: Ascites, sodium, bilirubin, albumin and glomerular filtration rate were independently associated with a 12‐month dropout risk in the training set. Combining these five prognostic parameters, we calculated a new score named liver‐renal‐risk (LIRER). In the validation set, the 12‐month LIRER concordance index showed a discrimination power [0.798, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.793–0.803] better than MELD (0.582, 95% CI 0.575–0.588), Child–Turcotte–Pugh (0.687, 95% CI 0.681–0.693), MELD‐sodium (0.721, 95% CI 0.715–0.727) and MELD‐ascites‐sodium (0.729, 95% CI 0.724–0.735), with a remarkable calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow test: P = 0.91; R² = 0.911). Considering all study patients, the risk of wait list dropout increased with the rise in LIRER. The survival benefit analysis comparing the wait list dropout risk with the mortality of the 216 transplanted patients with same LIRER showed an important benefit for LT in patients with LIRER > 15.9.Conclusions: In patients with low MELD (<18), combination of ascites, sodium, albumin, bilirubin and renal function in a new score (LIRER) discriminates patients at high risk of medium‐term adverse outcome from those in whom LT may be safely deferred.

Salvage liver transplantation (SLT) is an attractive sequential strategy which combines liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), followed by liver transplant (LT) in the event of HCC recurrence or progressive liver deterioration. To compare the long-term results of SLT with primary liver transplant (PLT). Between 2000 and 2011, 125 patients (72 transplantable) underwent LR and 226 underwent LT in our unit. The outcome of SLT was analysed in a two-step fashion: firstly, SLT (n = 28) was compared with PLT (n = 198), secondly an intention-to-treat analysis was performed on all transplantable HCC patients who underwent LR (LRT group = 72) compared to PLT (n = 198). The five-year overall survival (OS) was 65.4% vs. 49.2% (P = 0.63), and disease-free survival (DFS) was 89.7% vs. 80.6% (P = 0.31) for PLT and SLT respectively. Predictive factors for DFS after LT included HCC total diameter [hazard ratio (HR) 1.29 P = 0.003], alpha-foetoprotein (HR 1.002 P < 0.001) and number of HCC nodules (HR 1.317 P = 0.035), whereas viral hepatitis C positivity (HR 1.911 P = 0.03) and outside Up-to-seven criteria (HR 2.652 P < 0.001) were negative independent prediction factors of OS. Intention-to-treat analysis showed that OS at 5 years was improved in PLT vs. LRT (LRT n = 72 including SLT plus LR group) and was 69.4% vs. 42.2% (P < 0.004), with an additional increase in DFS (89.2% vs. 54.5% respectively P < 0.001). Salvage liver transplantation is a safe treatment strategy, as it does not impair long-term survival. At intention-to-treat analysis, PLT showed improved survival compared with LRT.

Background Prognostic factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after liver transplantation (LT) are still a matter of debate. The absence of viable tumor in the native liver, due to effectiveness of pre-LT locoregional treatment or liver resection, is an intriguing prognostic factor that had never been evaluated. Methods Between November 2000 and December 2011, 210 LTs were performed in patients with evidence of HCC and cirrhosis. Results Fifty-three (25.2%) patients did not show any evidence of active residual HCC in the native liver (Group NVH), whereas 157 (74.8%) patients showed viable HCC (Group VH). All patients in Group NVH were treated before LT with a multimodal approach combining transarterial chemoembolization, liver resection, radiofrequency ablation, percutaneous ethanol injection, or sorafenib, whereas, in Group VH, 110 of the 157 (70.1%) patients received bridging therapy (PP=0.003). Liver resection was the most effective treatment in obtaining absence of HCC on liver explantation. The results of multivariate analysis showed that existence of pathologic HCC findings outside of the University of California-San Francisco criteria (P=0.001; odds ratio, 4; confidence interval, 1.7–9.2) and the presence of viable HCC (P=0.003; odds ratio, 5.9; confidence interval, 1.5–17.6) were independently associated with HCC recurrence. Conclusions The histologic absence of viable HCC in the native liver after LT and morphologic criteria, due to the high effectiveness of pre-LT bridging treatments, is a highly positive prognostic factor against HCC recurrence after LT.