Márton Ispány

Subjective assessments of air pollution annoyance reveal that individuals’ focus on specific risks is influenced by their attachment to place, beliefs, values, and behavior rather than the composition or toxic effects of air pollutants. Additionally, the social context plays a role in shaping how communities react to and perceive air pollution impacts. This study examines residents’ environmental perceptions regarding the effects of settleable particles before and after the interruption of a large industrial source in the southern region of Espírito Santo, Brazil (South America). A second objective was to model the relationship between air pollution annoyance and other perceived variables under both scenarios. Data were collected through surveys conducted before and after the interruption of the industrial plant. The Pearson chi-square test and ordinal logistic regression model analyzed the data. Results indicate a shift in residents’ concerns with a focus on social and well-being issues. We also found a small number of items relating to dust annoyance and home ownership that can be used to predict the air pollution impact for individual community members. The findings show that settleable particles are directly perceived by exposed populations and significantly affect community health and quality of life.

Various platforms, such as Google Maps, provide information about the services of public transport companies worldwide. Operators publish the planned (static) timetable using the General Transit Feed Specification (GTFS) format, while the GTFS Realtime (GTFS-RT) specification provides live (dynamic) information about the services. In this paper, we present our dataset that was built by retrieving and pre-processing the data sources of the open data platform of BKK Futár, hosted by the Centre for Budapest Transport Company (BKK). The paper contains a well-detailed description of our methods for retrieving and pre-processing the data among statistical features. The dataset covers a one-year period in which the data collection mechanism used for realtime data was continuously improved from collecting only live vehicle positions to covering all the available feeds and increasing the query frequency. We merged the static data with the vehicle positions to filter them, yielding a clean set of tracked trips. As a result, more than 90% of the daily planned trips could be reconstructed from the responses. We provide an interactive web-based visualization for the analysis of the GTFS schedule’s, and the GTFS-RT Vehicle Positions feed’s, geospatial features. The dataset and also our methodology can serve as input for various research studies to investigate the common characteristics of delays and disruptions or predict real departure times based on the current vehicle positions and historical data.

A spectral criterion involving the model parameters is given for the existence and uniqueness of a periodically correlated and seasonal non‐negative integer‐valued autoregressive process. The structure of the mean and covariance functions of the periodically stationary distribution of the model is derived using its implicit state‐space representation. Two infinite series representations for the process, the moving average, and the immigrant generation, are established. Based on the latter representation, a novel and parallelizable simulation method is proposed to generate the process.

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps in understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic regulations and adapting the traffic management in real time for unexpected disaster events. A mathematically rigorous stochastic model that can be used for traffic analysis was proposed earlier by other researchers which is based on an interplay between graph and Markov chain theories. This model provides a transition probability matrix which describes the traffic’s dynamic with its unique stationary distribution of the vehicles on the road network. In this paper, a new parametrization is presented for this model by introducing the concept of two-dimensional stationary distribution which can handle the traffic’s dynamic together with the vehicles’ distribution. In addition, the weighted least squares estimation method is applied for estimating this new parameter matrix using trajectory data. In a case study, we apply our method on the Taxi Trajectory Prediction dataset and road network data from the OpenStreetMap project, both available publicly. To test our approach, we have implemented the proposed model in software. We have run simulations in medium and large scales and both the model and estimation procedure, based on artificial and real datasets, have been proved satisfactory and superior to the frequency based maximum likelihood method. In a real application, we have unfolded a stationary distribution on the map graph of Porto, based on the dataset. The approach described here combines techniques which, when used together to analyze traffic on large road networks, has not previously been reported.

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic regulations and adapting the traffic management in real time for unexpected disaster events. A mathematically rigorous stochastic model that can be used for traffic analysis was proposed earlier by other researchers which is based on an interplay between graph and Markov chain theories. This model provides a transition probability matrix which describes the traffic's dynamic with its unique stationary distribution of the vehicles on the road network. In this paper, a new parametrization is presented for this model by introducing the concept of two-dimensional stationary distribution which can handle the traffic's dynamic together with the vehicles' distribution. In addition, the weighted least squares estimation method is applied for estimating this new parameter matrix using trajectory data. In a case study, we apply our method on the Taxi Trajectory Prediction dataset and road network data from the OpenStreetMap project, both available publicly. To test our approach, we have implemented the proposed model in software. We have run simulations in medium and large scales and both the model and estimation procedure, based on artificial and real datasets, have been proved satisfactory. In a real application, we have unfolded a stationary distribution on the map graph of Porto, based on the dataset. The approach described here combines techniques whose use together to analyze traffic on large road networks has not previously been reported.