Sandro Tognazzo

In Veneto a regional cancer registry has been operating since 1987 which provides incidence and survival data for the region. It currently covers 48% of the regional population. The aim of this paper is to provide estimates of the incidence, mortality and prevalence of the major cancers for the whole Veneto region in the period 1970-2015. The estimates were obtained by applying the MIAMOD method, a statistical back-calculation approach to derive incidence and prevalence figures starting from mortality and relative survival data. Survival was modeled on the basis of published data from the Italian cancer registries. In 2012 the most frequent cancer sites were colon-rectum, prostate and breast with 4,677, 3,760 and 3,729 new diagnosed cases, respectively. The incidence rates were estimated to increase constantly for female lung cancer, prostate cancer, colorectal cancer and melanoma, while they were decreasing for cervical cancer and stomach cancer. For male lung cancer and female breast cancer the rates increased, reaching a peak, and then decreased. In the last years of the period of analysis, mortality declined for all cancers: the highest number of deaths (2,390 in both sexes) was estimated for lung cancer in 2012. Prevalence was increasing for all the considered cancer sites with the exception of lung cancer in men, for which the prevalence was estimated to increase until 2007 and then stabilize. By contrast, the cervical cancer decreased during the whole period. In 2012 breast cancer had the highest prevalence, with about 52,000 cases. This paper provides a description of the burden of the major cancers in Veneto until 2015. The estimates highlight the continuing reduction of cancer mortality. This decline can be related to the improvement of clinical treatments and to multidisciplinary treatment approaches. In order for this positive trend to continue, implementation and reinforcement of the screening programs is needed, especially for breast and colorectal cancer.

Aims and background: In Veneto a regional cancer registry has been operating since 1987 which provides incidence and survival data for the region. It currently covers 48% of the regional population. The aim of this paper is to provide estimates of the incidence, mortality and prevalence of the major cancers for the whole Veneto region in the period 1970—2015. Methods: The estimates were obtained by applying the MIAMOD method, a statistical back-calculation approach to derive incidence and prevalence figures starting from mortality and relative survival data. Survival was modeled on the basis of published data from the Italian cancer registries. Results: In 2012 the most frequent cancer sites were colon-rectum, prostate and breast with 4,677, 3,760 and 3,729 new diagnosed cases, respectively. The incidence rates were estimated to increase constantly for female lung cancer, prostate cancer, colorectal cancer and melanoma, while they were decreasing for cervical cancer and stomach cancer. For male lung cancer and female breast cancer the rates increased, reaching a peak, and then decreased. In the last years of the period of analysis, mortality declined for all cancers: the highest number of deaths (2,390 in both sexes) was estimated for lung cancer in 2012. Prevalence was increasing for all the considered cancer sites with the exception of lung cancer in men, for which the prevalence was estimated to increase until 2007 and then stabilize. By contrast, the cervical cancer decreased during the whole period. In 2012 breast cancer had the highest prevalence, with about 52,000 cases. Conclusion: This paper provides a description of the burden of the major cancers in Veneto until 2015. The estimates highlight the continuing reduction of cancer mortality. This decline can be related to the improvement of clinical treatments and to multidisciplinary treatment approaches. In order for this positive trend to continue, implementation and reinforcement of the screening programs is needed, especially for breast and colorectal cancer.

Background: In the Venetian Tumour Registry a substantial quota of cases (55%) is accepted using an algorithm that automatically evaluates diagnostic evidence: this study aims at assessing the reliability of the information produced in this way. Methods: A reabstraction study was conducted, which put a stratified sample of 1539 automatically accepted cases through a double-blind manual revision. Results: A significantly higher proportion of prevalent cases were found among breast, prostate and larynx cancer cases without microscopic confirmation, while there is a clear strong inverse relationship between the number of concordant diagnostic sources and the proportions of discordant diagnoses: cases based only on a single cytology record are particularly unreliable. A small number of multiple cancers are not detected because of one of the rules applied. Conclusion: The overall proportion of incorrect decisions is not high and similar to those reported by other registries, but errors are correlated to the diagnostic evidence pattern. As a further check, we decided to revise clinical cases for the three sites mentioned manually, in order to reduce the numbers proportion of both prevalent cases, and all cytology-based diagnoses, so as to reduce the number of ‘false positives’. Coverage of hospital discharge source has been extended in order to decrease the proportion of cases based only on pathology records.

We have considered trends in incidence and mortality in 28 European countries using incidence data from successive volumes of Cancer Incidence in Five Continents and mortality from the WHO database. Countries with the highest rates in the early 1960s included the Nordic countries, Austria, Germany and the United Kingdom, but trends in these areas have tended to decline over recent calendar periods, particularly with regard to mortality. Southern European countries showed upward trends, at least until the early 1980s for France and Italy. Likewise, in most central and eastern European countries, ovarian cancer incidence and mortality rates were originally relatively low, but tended to rise over time. Falls in mortality, but not in incidence, over recent years were observed in the Czech Republic and Hungary. In several countries, mainly in northern Europe, trends were more favorable at younger age (25–49 years) than in the subsequent age groups. Thus, recent trends in ovarian cancer have led to a leveling of rates across various areas of the continent, although a 2.5‐fold variation was still observed in the late 1990s between the highest mortality rate of 9.3/100,000 in Denmark and the lowest one of 3.6 in Portugal. These patterns should be viewed in the light of an observed reduction in parity, mainly in southern and eastern Europe, and the spread of oral contraceptive use, mainly in northern Europe, since these are the best recognized protective factors with regard to ovarian carcinogenesis. The declining mortality trends can also in part be ascribed to improvements in treatment.

The effect of CC–chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5) promoter polymorphisms on the natural history of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease was studied

Between 1992 and 1997, we conducted a case‐control study of oesophageal cancer in 3 areas of northern Italy. Cases were 275 men, ages 39–77 years (median age 60), with a first incident squamous‐cell carcinoma of the oesophagus. Controls were 593 men, ages 36–77 years (median age 60) admitted for acute illnesses, unrelated to tobacco and alcohol, to major hospitals of the areas under surveillance. Number of daily cigarettes was strongly associated with risk [odds ratio (OR) for ≥25 cigarettes/day = 7.0)]. Long‐duration smoking showed particularly elevated ORs (OR = 6.4 for ≥35 years), and excess risk declined after smoking cessation (OR = 1.5 after ≥10 years). Oesophageal cancer risk steeply rose with increasing level of alcohol consumption. ORs were 6.2 for 35–55 drinks and 24.5 for 84 drinks or more per week. No trend in risk emerged for duration of alcohol drinking or age at start of drinking. The risk in the highest joint level of alcohol drinking and current smoking was increased 130 folds (i.e., compatible with a multiplicative model). Excess risk in drinkers chiefly derived from wine. In conclusion, alcohol drinking and cigarette smoking were both important, but the roles of dose and duration of exposure differed. The association with alcohol was stronger than the one with smoking by exposure intensity, but apparently unaffected by duration or other temporal variables. Int. J. Cancer 86:144–149, 2000.

A cancer registration network based on computerised coded diagnoses has been tested in the Veneto region, north-east Italy, with the goal of estimating cancer incidence during 1987-89. The results of the pilot study based on a population of 1,449,513 (33.1% of the total population of the region) indicate that the computer-assisted system successfully ascertained 61.3% of the cases. The quality indices appear to be close to those from other cancer registries in Europe. The increasing availability of computerised coded information from hospitals, pathology departments and death certificates can provide an important contribution to cancer registration, thus reducing the amount of manual work and consequently allowing cancer registration on larger populations at reduced costs.

Epidemiologia&Prevenzione è la rivista della Associazione italiana di epidemiologia che raccoglie buona parte delle migliori e originali esperienze italiane di ricerca epidemiologica e di studio degli interventi per la prevenzione e la sanità pubblica.