Brian S. Fadely

Natural infections of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have been documented in over 60 animal species, some distantly related. Several marine mammals have been predicted as highly susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection based on the homology of their ACE2 receptors to those of humans. To assess potential exposure of marine mammals to SARS-CoV-2, we conducted an opportunistic survey from 2020 to 2025 and tested 1,808 swabs and 378 serum samples from 21 marine mammal species in the United States. All the swabs tested by RT-qPCR were negative, indicating the absence of active infection. A low level of SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies was detected in three pinniped species, including Phoca vitulina (harbor seal, 13.6%, 95% CI: 5.2–27.4%), Zalophus californianus (California sea lion, 7%, 95% CI: 1.9–17.0%), and Halichoerus grypus (grey seal, 3.7%, 95% CI: 0.5–12.7%). These findings represent the first serological evidence of SARS-CoV-2 exposure in marine mammals in the United States, highlighting the need for continued monitoring of these populations and further research on SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in wildlife.

Marine megafauna species are affected by a wide range of anthropogenic threats. To evaluate the risk of such threats, species’ vulnerability to each threat must first be determined. We build on the existing threats classification scheme and ranking system of the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species by assessing the vulnerability of 256 marine megafauna species to 23 at‐sea threats. The threats we considered included individual fishing gear types, climate‐change‐related subthreats not previously assessed, and threats associated with coastal impacts and maritime disturbances. Our ratings resulted in 70 species having high vulnerability ( v > 0.778 out of 1) to at least 1 threat, primarily drifting longlines, temperature extremes, or fixed gear. These 3 threats were also considered to have the most severe effects (i.e., steepest population declines). Overall, temperature extremes and plastics and other solid waste were rated as affecting the largest proportion of populations. Penguins, pinnipeds, and polar bears had the highest vulnerability to temperature extremes. Bony fishes had the highest vulnerability to drifting longlines and plastics and other solid waste; pelagic cetaceans to 4 maritime disturbance threats; elasmobranchs to 5 fishing threats; and flying birds to drifting longlines and 2 maritime disturbance threats. Sirenians and turtles had the highest vulnerability to at least one threat from all 4 categories. Despite not necessarily having severe effects for most taxonomic groups, temperature extremes were rated among the top threats for all taxa except bony fishes. The vulnerability scores we provide are an important first step in estimating the risk of threats to marine megafauna. Importantly, they help differentiate scope from severity, which is key to identifying threats that should be prioritized for mitigation.

Effective monitoring is fundamental to estimating wildlife population parameters with a level of accuracy and precision that is adequate to inform management decisions. However, managers must balance trade‐offs between the costs of monitoring and the resulting data quality to identify cost‐effective monitoring survey designs. As such, evaluating the expected performance of monitoring surveys relative to monitoring objectives prior to survey implementation is critical. In this study, we present a simulation framework for examining the accuracy and precision of age‐specific survival estimates and the probability of detecting a change in survival within the context of mark–resight monitoring programs. We consider 90 survey designs that vary across marked cohort size, marking frequency, study duration, and resight probability (i.e., detection of marked individuals). We apply this approach to the design of a monitoring program for Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus), which is complicated by heterogeneity in rookery accessibility, population sizes, and abundance trends across the species' range. To identify cost‐effective survey designs in the absence of actual survey costs, we evaluated performance with respect to a relative‐costs schema. Our results highlight survey designs that reliably meet pre‐defined precision targets, with precision and accuracy strongly affected by marked cohort size, marking frequency, and study duration. We found that historical mark–resight survey effort for Steller sea lions has been sufficient to reliably achieve precision targets for younger age class survival probabilities only for rookeries where abundance has been stable or increasing. In contrast, the probability of achieving survival estimates with target levels of precision at rookeries where abundance has been declining is low (<25%) due to smaller marked cohort sizes, less frequent marking at remote sites, and fewer years of available data. Our results indicate that the precision of survival estimates for subpopulations of conservation concern can be improved by longer‐term monitoring, although the constraints of monitoring small populations may limit the ability of biologists to detect changes in population dynamics on management‐relevant time horizons. Our survey design evaluation framework can be applied in a variety of contexts to assist natural resource managers in developing cost‐effective monitoring programs.

Geographic differences in population growth trends are well-documented in Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus), a species of North Pacific pinniped listed under the U.S. Endangered Species Act in 1990 following a marked decline in population abundance that began during the 1970s. As population growth is intrinsically linked to pup production and survival, examining factors related to pup physiological condition provides useful information to management authorities regarding potential drivers of regional differences. During dam foraging trips, pups predictably transition among three fasting phases, distinguished by the changes in the predominant metabolic byproduct. We used standardized ranges of two plasma metabolites (blood urea nitrogen and β–hydroxybutyrate) to assign pups to fasting categories (n = 1528, 1990–2016, 12 subpopulations): Recently Fed–Phase I (digestion/assimilation–expected hepatic/muscle glycogen usage), Phase II (expected lipid utilization), transitioning between Phases II–III (expected lipid utilization with increased protein reliance), or Phase III (expected protein catabolism). As anticipated, the majority of pups were classified as Recently Fed–Phase I (overall mean proportion = 0.72) and few pups as Phase III (overall mean proportion = 0.04). By further comparing pups in Short (Recently Fed–Phase II) and Long (all other pups) duration fasts, we identified three subpopulations with significantly (P < 0.03) greater proportions of pups dependent upon endogenous sources of energy for extended periods, during a life stage of somatic growth and development: the 1) central (0.27 ± 0.09) and 2) western (0.36 ± 0.13) Aleutian Island (declining population trend) and 3) southern Southeast Alaska (0.32 ± 0.06; increasing population trend) subpopulations had greater Long fast proportions than the eastern Aleutian Islands (0.10 ± 0.05; stabilized population). Due to contrasting population growth trends among these highlighted subpopulations over the past 50+ years, both density-independent and density-dependent factors likely influence the dam foraging trip duration, contributing to longer fasting durations for pups at some rookeries.

Steller sea lion (SSL) contaminants research is an important North Pacific Ocean sentinel approach for examining conservation concerns and food webs. Some SSL rookeries not recovering from population declines (e.g., Western Aleutian Islands; WAI) have relatively higher organochlorine (OCs) and total mercury (THg) tissue concentrations. We assess some drivers (e.g., lipids, location) of OCs and THg cumulative exposure. Pups had significantly higher mean whole blood concentrations of summed chlordanes (∑CHLDs), DDTs (∑DDTs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (∑PCBs) than adult females; some pups had ∑PCBs > 8,600 ng/g lw (threshold of concern). Lipid classes proportions were significant factors for whole blood OC concentrations. Adult female blubber ∑DDT and summed hexachlorocyclohexane concentrations positively correlated with δ 15 N values (trophic level). Top models for ∑DDTs, ∑PCBs, and ∑CHLDs identified regional effects, with each class greater in WAI SSL pups. Young pup whole blood PCB concentrations were significantly affected by δ 15 N, and location as well for PCBs 138 and 153. Concurrently higher exposure to multiple contaminants was documented, with many significant, relative to thresholds, indicating numerous pups (most WAI) with elevated blood concentrations for THg, PCBs, or both. We conclude contaminant exposure of WAI SSLs is of concern requiring cumulative exposure perspectives and risk assessment.

The duration of offspring care is critical to female fitness and population resilience by allowing flexibility in life‐history strategies in a variable environment. Yet, for many mammals capable of extended periods of maternal care, estimates of the duration of offspring dependency are not available and the relative importance of flexibility of this trait on fitness and population viability has rarely been examined. We used data from 4,447 Steller sea lions Eumetopias jubatus from the Gulf of Alaska and multistate hidden Markov mark–recapture models to estimate age‐specific weaning probabilities. Maternal care beyond age 1 was common: Weaning was later for animals from Southeast Alaska (SEAK) and Prince William Sound (PWS, weaning probabilities: 0.536–0.648/0.784–0.873 by age 1/2) compared with animals born to the west (0.714–0.855/0.798–0.938). SEAK/PWS animals were also smaller than those born farther west, suggesting a possible link. Females weaned slightly earlier (+0.080 at age 1 and 2) compared with males in SEAK only. Poor survival for weaned versus unweaned yearlings occurred in southern SEAK (female survival probabilities: 0.609 vs. 0.792) and the central Gulf (0.667 vs. 0.901), suggesting poor conditions for juveniles in these areas. First‐year survival increased with neonatal body mass (NBM) linearly in the Gulf and nonlinearly in SEAK. The probability of weaning at age 1 increased linearly with NBM for SEAK animals only. Rookeries where juveniles weaned at earlier ages had lower adult female survival, but age at weaning was unrelated to population trends. Our results suggest the time to weaning may be optimized for different habitats based on long‐term average conditions (e.g., prey dynamics), that may also shape body size, with limited short‐term plasticity. An apparent trade‐off of adult survival in favor of juvenile survival and large offspring size in the endangered Gulf of Alaska population requires further study.

Climate change-driven alterations in Arctic environments can influence habitat availability, species distributions and interactions, and the breeding, foraging, and health of marine mammals. Phocine distemper virus (PDV), which has caused extensive mortality in Atlantic seals, was confirmed in sea otters in the North Pacific Ocean in 2004, raising the question of whether reductions in sea ice could increase contact between Arctic and sub-Arctic marine mammals and lead to viral transmission across the Arctic Ocean. Using data on PDV exposure and infection and animal movement in sympatric seal, sea lion, and sea otter species sampled in the North Pacific Ocean from 2001–2016, we investigated the timing of PDV introduction, risk factors associated with PDV emergence, and patterns of transmission following introduction. We identified widespread exposure to and infection with PDV across the North Pacific Ocean beginning in 2003 with a second peak of PDV exposure and infection in 2009; viral transmission across sympatric marine mammal species; and association of PDV exposure and infection with reductions in Arctic sea ice extent. Peaks of PDV exposure and infection following 2003 may reflect additional viral introductions among the diverse marine mammals in the North Pacific Ocean linked to change in Arctic sea ice extent.