Julien Eynard

The present paper deals with the modelling and control of a solar reactor designed to produce syngas, by exploiting concentrated solar power. A model of the reactor based on the thermodynamic equilibrium is developed. Two model-based predictive control strategies are proposed: the first strategy (MPC strategy 1) aims to maintain the reactor's temperature at its nominal value whereas the second strategy (MPC strategy 2) aims to maintain the reactor's temperature at its nominal value, while maximizing the use of solar energy. Finally, these strategies are compared to a reference strategy, which is based on a combination of a rule-based controller and an adaptive PID controller with optimized gains. The robustness of the MPC controller to forecast errors is also studied by testing different DNI forecasting models. Parts of this paper were published as journal articleKarout, Y.; Curcio, A.; Eynard, J.; Thil, S.; Rodat, S.; Abanades, S.; Vuillerme, V.; Grieu, S. Model-Based Predictive Control of a Solar Hybrid Thermochemical Reactor for High-Temperature Steam Gasification of Biomass. Clean Technol. 2023, 5, 329-351. https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol5010018

The present paper exhibits a hybrid model for intrahour forecasting of direct normal irradiance (DNI). It combines a knowledge-based model, which is used for clear-sky DNI forecasting from DNI measurements, with a machine-learning-based model, that evaluates the impact of atmospheric disturbances on the solar resource, through the processing of high dynamic range sky images provided by a ground-based camera. The performance of the hybrid model is compared with that of two machine learning models based on past DNI observations only. The results highlight the pertinence of combining knowledge-based models with data-driven models, and of integrating sky-imaging data in the DNI forecasting process. Parts of this paper were published as journal articleKarout, Y.; Thil, S.; Eynard, J.; Guillot, E.; Grieu, S. Hybrid intrahour DNI forecast model based on DNI measurements and sky-imaging data. Solar Energy. 2023, 249, 541-558. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2022.11.032

The efficient integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) in buildings is a challenge that can be addressed through the deployment of multienergy microgrids (MGs). In this context, the Interreg SUDOE project IMPROVEMENT was launched at the end of the year 2019 with the aim of developing efficient solutions allowing public buildings with critical loads to be turned into net-zero-energy buildings (nZEBs). The work presented in this paper deals with the development of a predictive energy management system (PEMS) for the management of thermal resources and users’ thermal comfort in public buildings. Optimization-based/optimization-free model predictive control (MPC) algorithms are presented and validated in simulations using data collected in a public building equipped with a multienergy MG. Models of the thermal MG components were developed. The strategy currently used in the building relies on proportional–integral–derivative (PID) and rule-based (RB) controllers. The interconnection between the thermal part and the electrical part of the building-integrated MG is managed by taking advantage of the solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation surplus. The optimization-based MPC EMS has the best performance but is rather computationally expensive. The optimization-free MPC EMS is slightly less efficient but has a significantly reduced computational cost, making it the best solution for in situ implementation.

The present paper deals with both the modeling and the dynamic control of a solar hybrid thermochemical reactor designed to produce syngas through the high-temperature steam gasification of biomass. First, a model of the reactor based on the thermodynamic equilibrium is presented. The Cantera toolbox is used. Then, a model-based predictive controller (MPC) is proposed with the aim of maintaining the reactor’s temperature at its nominal value, thus preserving the reactor’s stability. This is completed by adjusting the mirrors’ defocusing factor or burning a part of the biomass to compensate for variations of direct normal irradiance (DNI) round the clock. This controller is compared to a reference controller, which is defined as a combination of a rule-based controller and an adaptive proportional–integral–derivative (PID) controller with optimized gains. The robustness of the MPC controller to forecast errors is also studied by testing different DNI forecasts: perfect forecasts, smart persistence forecasts and image-based forecasts. Because of a high optimization time, the Cantera function is replaced with a 2D interpolation function. The results show that (1) the developed MPC controller outperforms the reference controller, (2) the integration of image-based DNI forecasts produces lower root mean squared error (RMSE) values, and (3) the optimization time is significantly reduced thanks to the proposed interpolation function.

With the development of predictive management strategies for power distribution grids, reliable information on the expected photovoltaic power generation, which can be derived from forecasts of global horizontal irradiance (GHI), is needed. In recent years, machine learning techniques for GHI forecasting have proved to be superior to classical approaches. This work addresses the topic of multi-horizon forecasting of GHI using Gaussian process regression (GPR) and proposes an in-depth study on some open questions: should time or past GHI observations be chosen as input? What are the appropriate kernels in each case? Should the model be multi-horizon or horizon-specific? A comparison between time-based GPR models and observation-based GPR models is first made, along with a discussion on the best kernel to be chosen; a comparison between horizon-specific GPR models and multi-horizon GPR models is then conducted. The forecasting results obtained are also compared to those of the scaled persistence model. Four performance criteria and five forecast horizons (10 min, 1 h, 3 h, 5 h, and 24 h) are considered to thoroughly assess the forecasting results. It is observed that, when seeking multi-horizon models, using a quasiperiodic kernel and time as input is favored, while the best horizon-specific model uses an automatic relevance determination rational quadratic kernel and past GHI observations as input. Ultimately, the choice depends on the complexity and computational constraints of the application at hand.

Microgrids (MGs) and networked (interconnected) microgrids (NMGs) are emerging as an efficient way for integrating distributed energy resources (DERs) into power distribution systems. MGs and NMGs can disconnect from the main grid and operate autonomously, strengthen grid resilience, and help mitigate grid disturbances and maintain power quality. In addition, when supported by sophisticated and efficient management strategies, MGs and NMGs have the ability to enhance power supply reliability. However, their deployment comes with many challenges, in particular regarding the efficient management of DERs. That is why a survey of recent advances in the smart management—the term refers to a variety of planning and control tasks—of MGs and NMGs is presented in this paper. It aims at establishing a picture of strategies and identifying trends in methods. The reader is provided with an in-depth analysis of a variety of papers recently published in peer-reviewed journals: the way the methods are used and the common issues addressed by the scientific community are discussed. Following this analysis, one can especially observe that (1) model-based predictive control (MPC) is emerging as a competitive alternative to conventional methods, in particular in voltage and frequency regulation and DER management (2) due to their ability to handle complex tasks, data-driven strategies are getting more and more attention from the scientific community (3) game theory (GT) is a very good candidate for efficient management of complex systems as NMGs (4) MPC and artificial intelligence are increasingly being used for proper MG islanded operation or to manage electric vehicles (EVs) efficiently.

In recent years, the penetration of renewable energy sources into the power distribution system has increased significantly. Power generation has evolved from centralized power plants towards a decentralized structure. In this context, microgrids, i.e., small-scale power distribution grids, are being deployed to support distributed generation. Microgrids encounter different challenges as they have to be resilient, reliable, robust, and capable of ensuring power quality and handling intermittent energy sources and new energy usages. This paper focuses on the predictive management of microgrids equipped with a bank of batteries and a fleet of electric vehicles. The reference strategy is rule-based. Two model predictive control (MPC) based strategies - in the first one, all the batteries are managed as a unique (fictitious) battery whereas in the second one, those batteries are managed independently – are discussed and evaluated in simulation. First, the results highlight the benefits of using a predictive strategy when it comes to efficiently manage electricity storage and release in microgrids equipped with electric vehicles. As an interesting result, the strategy proposed to predictively manage the batteries as a unique (fictitious) battery is a litte bit less efficient regarding economical cost and carbon dioxide emissions reduction than the predictive strategy intending to manage the batteries independently but computation time is significantly lower with a large fleet of electric vehicles.

In a context of accelerating deployment of distributed generation in power distribution grid, this work proposes an answer to an important and urgent need for better management tools in order to ‘intelligently’ operate these grids and maintain quality of service. To this aim, a model-based predictive control (MPC) strategy is proposed, allowing efficient re-routing of power flows using flexible assets, while respecting operational constraints as well as the voltage constraints prescribed by ENEDIS, the French distribution grid operator. The flexible assets used in the case study—a low-voltage power distribution grid in southern France—are a biogas plant and a water tower. Non-parametric machine-learning-based models, i.e., Gaussian process regression (GPR) models, are developed for intraday forecasting of global horizontal irradiance (GHI), grid load, and water demand, to better anticipate emerging constraints. The forecasts’ quality decreases as the forecast horizon grows longer, but quickly stabilizes around a constant error value. Then, the impact of forecasting errors on the performance of the control strategy is evaluated, revealing a resilient behaviour where little degradation is observed in terms of performance and computation cost. To enhance the strategy’s resilience and minimise voltage overflow, a worst-case scenario approach is proposed for the next time step and its contribution is examined. This is the main contribution of the paper. The purpose of the min–max problem added upstream of the main optimisation problem is to both anticipate and minimise the voltage overshooting resulting from forecasting errors. In this min–max problem, the feasible space defined by the confidence intervals of the forecasts is searched, in order to determine the worst-case scenario in terms of constraint violation, over the next time step. Then, such information is incorporated into the decision-making process of the main optimisation problem. Results show that these incidents are indeed reduced thanks to the min–max problem, both in terms of frequency of their occurrence and the total surface area of overshooting.