MBMichael B. Bellamy

Michael B. Bellamy

*This is an algorithmically generated author record based on publicly available information.

Current Organizations / Institutes

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Previous Organizations / Institutes

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Michael B. Bellamy has a total of 85 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:


Latest Publications

  • Open Access

    Mortality among workers at the Rocky Flats Plant, 1951-2017

    by Sara Howard, Michael Mumma, Caleigh Samuels, M Bellamy, Richard W Leggett, Keith F F Keith F Eckerman, Elizabeth Ellis, Lawrence T Dauer, Ashley Pedigo Golden

    Background: The Rocky Flats (RF) Plant operated from 1951-1989 as part of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) nuclear complex. Its primary mission was weapons component fabrication, whereby workers were potentially exposed to radioactive and non-radioactive hazards. RF worker mortality was compared to the general population, and dose-response relationships between mortality and radiation organ doses were examined. Methods: RF workers first employed between 1951 through 1979 for ≥30 days were identified (n=9,397). Vital status was determined using national and state death records through 2017. Organ doses from external photons and neutrons irridation and internalized plutonium, americium, and uranium were modeled as cumulative lagged total dose per year. Beryllium exposure was evaluated as an effect modifier using data from the DOE Nationwide Beryllium Medical Program. Statistical analyses included standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), Cox proportional hazard models, and excess relative risk (ERR) models. Results: Approximately 53.2% were deceased by the end of study. Nearly 90% were monitored for radiation exposure, with mean weighted absorbed dose of 59.0 mGy for lung. Nearly 45% of workers had intakes of alpha-particle emitting radionuclides, and 46.7% were monitored for neutrons. Leading causes of death included ischemic heart disease (n=999) and lung cancer (n=361). The highest SMRs were observed for berylliosis (SMR: 176.9; 95% CI: 76.2, 348.7; n<10) and asbestosis (SMR: 4.65; 95% CI: 2.23, 8.55;n=10). Dose-response analyses showed no statistical increase in risk from low-dose radiation including lung cancer (ERR per 100 mGy: -0.02; 95% CI: -0.11, 0.08; n=361) and Parkinson’s disease (ERR per 100 mGy: 0.13; 95% CI: -0.26, 0.31; n=57). Approximately 45% of workers were monitored for beryllium, with a weak non-significant indication of effect modification for lung cancer risk. Conclusion: The RF cohort showed no evidence of statistically significant increase in mortality from occupational radiation exposure. However, this study was limited by low statistical power, which inhibits the ability to detect effects. Future pooling of MPS cohorts will provide further insights, particularly regarding plutonium as a carcinogen.

  • Open Access

    To BPE or not to BPE: neutron tenth-value layers in polyethylene with variable boron content for LINAC shielding

    by M Bellamy, A Jinia, L Carter, B Quinn, A Pérez-Andújar, B Chu, L Dauer

    Borated polyethylene (PE) is an effective neutron moderator and absorber in medical linear accelerator shielding; however, there is limited data regarding the required material thickness for adequate neutron attenuation. To address the gap in shielding data, our study systematically quantifies first and equilibrium tenth-value layers (TVLs1 and TVLe) for PE containing 0%, 5% and 30% natural boron by weight from thermal to fast neutrons. Comprehensive Monte Carlo simulations ( n = 3504) were performed to estimate TVL thicknesses from thermal to 20 MeV neutrons. A current tally was used to count neutrons exiting the shield and determine thicknesses corresponding to 10% and 1% transmission. Sixteen energies and 73 thicknesses of materials were modelled with statistical uncertainties below 3%. TVL thicknesses were independently validated with particle and heavy ion transport code system using identical simulation parameters. We found that TVL values ranged from 1.3 mm for thermal neutrons in borated polyethylene (BPE), to 50 cm for 20 MeV neutrons in pure PE. In all cases, adding boron to PE reduced the TVL, with the greatest effect at thermal energies, and a smallest effect at 12 MeV. Here we provide the first comprehensive characterisation of BPE’s ability to attenuate neutrons, supporting shielding design for medical linear accelerators.

  • Open Access

    Reconstructing Hanford worker external doses from photons for epidemiology

    by Michael B Bellamy, Helen A Grogan, David Girardi, Sara C Howard, Ashley P Golden, Caleigh E Samuels, Lawrence T Dauer

    The accurate reconstruction of external photon doses is essential for credible radiation epidemiology. This article presents the methodology used to derive dose estimates for 37 012 Hanford Site workers included in the Million Person Study. The approach employs historical dose records from the Hanford Radiation Exposure database and a previous epidemiology study. Bias correction factors specific to dosimeter type and period of use were applied and missing annual doses were estimated using a hierarchical nearby method to estimate deep dose equivalent for each worker. For early years with limited detection sensitivity, missed doses were quantified based on expected time-period-specific, low-dose statistical distributions. The revised dose estimates resulted in lower median and mean career doses than unadjusted data, while increasing the number of person-years with nonzero dose. Sensitivity analyses assessed the influence of bias in dosimetry measurements, missed doses and gap years on dose estimates. Differences in cumulative dose estimates between unadjusted and revised annual estimates are most prominent in the early operational years due to the highest bias during that time period.


  • Exploring Auger electron-emitting radionuclides for targeted DNA damage in mismatch repair-deficient cells: a theoretical study of 99 Rh- and 123 I-labeled metalloinsertors

    by Alexandre França Velo, Lukas Carter, Michael Bellamy, Mike A. Cornejo, Brian M. Zeglis, John L. Humm

    Preserving the integrity of the genome is critical to healthy cellular growth and development. Under normal circumstances, the eukaryotic mismatch repair (MMR) machinery is effective at detecting DNA polymerase errors and maintaining the fidelity of the genome. However, cells with inactivated MMR machinery are prone to the accumulation of mutations and tumorigenesis. This study explores the theoretical potential of rhodium-99- and iodine-123-labeled DNA metalloinsertors as Auger electron-emitting radiotherapeutics for cancers characterized by MMR deficiency. A Monte Carlo code was developed in MATLAB® to obtain Auger electron energy spectra for 99Rh and 123I. Using Geant4 track structure simulations, we determined the difference in effectiveness of these two Auger electron-emitting radionuclides in direct damage to DNA and the ability to produce double strand break damage (dsb) to the DNA comparing two different constructors 'G4EmDNAPhysics_option2' and 'G4EmDNAPhysics_option4'. Differences in the Auger electron emission spectra of 99Rh and 123I arise from their electronic structure: 123I favors more complex cascades and ultra-low-energy electrons, while 99Rh produces electrons with energies more suited to DNA damage. Despite similar total electron yields, the emissions of 99Rh are more effective at causing dsb (0.71 vs. 0.60 dsb/decay for 99Rh and 123I, respectively, using constructor 'G4EmDNAPhysics_option2' and 0.81 dsb/decay for 99Rh vs. 0.71 dsb/decay for 123I when using 'G4EmDNAPhysics_option4'. This theoretical study leverages both simulation and comparative analyses to identify 99Rh as a promising Auger electron-emitting nuclide for radiotheranostics, as it offers superior DNA damage efficacy compared to 123I.


  • Mortality among workers at the Los Alamos National Laboratory, 1943–2017

    by John D. Boice, Sarah S. Cohen, Michael T. Mumma, Ashley P. Golden, Sara C. Howard, David J. Girardi, Elizabeth Dupree Ellis, Michael B. Bellamy, Lawrence T. Dauer, Caleigh Samuels, et al.

    Background: During World War II (WWII), the Manhattan Engineering District established a secret laboratory in the mountains of northern New Mexico. The mission was to design, construct and test the first atomic weapon, nicknamed ‘The Gadget’ that was detonated at the TRINITY site in Alamogordo, NM. After WWII, nuclear weapons research continued, and the laboratory became the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). Materials and methods: The mortality experience of 26,328 workers first employed between 1943 and 1980 at LANL was determined through 2017. Included were 6157 contract workers employed by the ZIA Company. Organ dose estimates for each worker considered all sources of exposure, notably photons, neutrons, tritium, 238Pu and 239Pu. Vital status determination included searches within the National Death Index, Social Security Administration and New Mexico State Mortality Files. Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMR) and Cox regression models were used in the analyses. Results: Most workers (55%) were hired before 1960, 38% had a college degree, 25% were female, 81% white, 13% Hispanic and 60% had died. Vital status was complete, with only 0.1% lost to follow-up. The mean dose to the lung for the 17,053 workers monitored for radiation was 28.6 weighted-mGy (maximum 16.8 weighted-Gy) assuming a Dose Weighting Factor of 20 for alpha particle dose to lung. The Excess Relative Risk (ERR) at 100 weighted-mGy was 0.01 (95%CI −0.02, 0.03; n = 839) for lung cancer. The ERR at 100 mGy was −0.43 (95%CI −1.11, 0.24; n = 160) for leukemia other than chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), −0.06 (95%CI −0.16, 0.04; n = 3043) for ischemic heart disease (IHD), and 0.29 (95%CI 0.02, 0.55; n = 106) for esophageal cancer. Among the 6499 workers with measurable intakes of plutonium, an increase in bone cancer (SMR 2.44; 95%CI 0.98, 5.03; n = 7) was related to dose. The SMR for berylliosis was significantly high, based on 4 deaths. SMRs for Hispanic workers were significantly high for cancers of the stomach and liver, cirrhosis of the liver, nonmalignant kidney disease and diabetes, but the excesses were not related to radiation dose. Conclusions: There was little evidence that radiation increased the risk of lung cancer or leukemia. Esophageal cancer was associated with radiation, and plutonium intakes were linked to an increase of bone cancer. IHD was not associated with radiation dose. More precise evaluations will await the pooled analysis of workers with similar exposures such as at Rocky Flats, Savannah River and Hanford.

  • Mortality among Tennessee Eastman Corporation (TEC) uranium processing workers

    by John D. Boice, Sarah S. Cohen, Michael T. Mumma, Ashley P. Golden, Sara C. Howard, David J. Girardi, Elizabeth D. Ellis, Michael B. Bellamy, Lawrence T. Dauer, Keith F. Eckerman, et al.

    Background: There are few occupational studies of women exposed to ionizing radiation. During World War II, the Tennessee Eastman Corporation (TEC) operated an electromagnetic field separation facility of 1152 calutrons to obtain enriched uranium (235U) used for the Hiroshima atomic bomb. Thousands of women were involved in these operations. Materials and methods: A new study was conducted of 13,951 women and 12,699 men employed at TEC between 1943 and 1947 for at least 90 days. Comprehensive dose reconstruction techniques were used to estimate lung doses from the inhalation of uranium dust based on airborne measurements. Vital status through 2018/2019 was obtained from the National Death Index, Social Security Death Index, Tennessee death records and online public record databases. Analyses included standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Most workers were hourly (77.7%), white (95.6%), born before 1920 (58.3%), worked in dusty environments (57.0%), and had died (94.9%). Vital status was confirmed for 97.4% of the workers. Women were younger than men when first employed: mean ages 25.0 years and 33.0 years, respectively. The estimated mean absorbed dose to the lung was 32.7 mGy (max 1048 mGy) for women and 18.9 mGy (max 501 mGy) for men. The mean dose to thoracic lymph nodes (TLNs) was 127 mGy. Statistically significant SMRs were observed for lung cancer (SMR 1.25; 95% CI 1.19, 1.31; n = 1654), nonmalignant respiratory diseases (NMRDs) (1.23; 95% CI 1.19, 1.28; n = 2585), and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD) (1.13; 95% CI 1.08, 1.18; n = 1945). For lung cancer, the excess relative rate (ERR) at 100 mGy (95% CI) was 0.01 (–0.10, 0.12; n = 652) among women, and −0.15 (–0.38, 0.07; n = 1002) among men based on a preferred model for men with lung doses


  • Open Access

    Recommendations on statistical approaches to account for dose uncertainties in radiation epidemiologic risk models

    by Michael B. Bellamy, Jonine L. Bernstein, Harry M. Cullings, Benjamin French, Helen A. Grogan, Kathryn D. Held, Mark P. Little, Carmen D. Tekwe

    Epidemiological studies of stochastic radiation health effects such as cancer, meant to estimate risks of the adverse effects as a function of radiation dose, depend largely on estimates of the radiation doses received by the exposed group under study. Those estimates are based on dosimetry that always has uncertainty, which often can be quite substantial. Studies that do not incorporate statistical methods to correct for dosimetric uncertainty may produce biased estimates of risk and incorrect confidence bounds on those estimates. This paper reviews commonly used statistical methods to correct radiation risk regressions for dosimetric uncertainty, with emphasis on some newer methods. We begin by describing the types of dose uncertainty that may occur, including those in which an uncertain value is shared by part or all of a cohort, and then demonstrate how these sources of uncertainty arise in radiation dosimetry. We briefly describe the effects of different types of dosimetric uncertainty on risk estimates, followed by a description of each method of adjusting for the uncertainty. Each of the method has strengths and weaknesses, and some methods have limited applicability. We describe the types of uncertainty to which each method can be applied and its pros and cons. Finally, we provide summary recommendations and touch briefly on suggestions for further research.


  • Open Access

    Radioactive seed localization is a safe and effective tool for breast cancer surgery: an evaluation of over 25,000 cases

    by D Miodownik, D Bierman, C Thornton, T Moo, K Feigin, A Damato, T Le, M Williamson, K Prasad, B Chu, et al.

    Radioactive seed localization (RSL) provides a precise and efficient method for removing non-palpable breast lesions. It has proven to be a valuable addition to breast surgery, improving perioperative logistics and patient satisfaction. This retrospective review examines the lessons learned from a high-volume cancer center’s RSL program after 10 years of practice and over 25 000 cases. We provide an updated model for assessing the patient’s radiation dose from RSL seed implantation and demonstrate the safety of RSL to staff members. Additionally, we emphasize the importance of various aspects of presurgical evaluation, surgical techniques, post-surgical management, and regulatory compliance for a successful RSL program. Notably, the program has reduced radiation exposure for patients and medical staff.


  • Open Access

    Artificial intelligence model GPT4 narrowly fails simulated radiological protection exam

    by G Roemer, A Li, U Mahmood, L Dauer, M Bellamy

    This study assesses the efficacy of Generative Pre-Trained Transformers (GPT) published by OpenAI in the specialised domains of radiological protection and health physics. Utilising a set of 1064 surrogate questions designed to mimic a health physics certification exam, we evaluated the models’ ability to accurately respond to questions across five knowledge domains. Our results indicated that neither model met the 67% passing threshold, with GPT-3.5 achieving a 45.3% weighted average and GPT-4 attaining 61.7%. Despite GPT-4’s significant parameter increase and multimodal capabilities, it demonstrated superior performance in all categories yet still fell short of a passing score. The study’s methodology involved a simple, standardised prompting strategy without employing prompt engineering or in-context learning, which are known to potentially enhance performance. The analysis revealed that GPT-3.5 formatted answers more correctly, despite GPT-4’s higher overall accuracy. The findings suggest that while GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 show promise in handling domain-specific content, their application in the field of radiological protection should be approached with caution, emphasising the need for human oversight and verification.


  • Open Access

    Impact of shield location on staff and caregiver dose rates for I-131 radiopharmaceutical therapy patients

    by M Bellamy, B Chu, B Serencsits, B Quinn, K Prasad, J Altamirano, M Williamson, D Miodownik, N Abrahams, F Chen, et al.

    The goal of this study is to investigate the effect of the location and width of a single lead shield on the dose rate of staff and caregivers in a hospital room with an I-131 patient. The best orientation of the patient and caregiver relative to the shield was determined based on minimizing staff and caregiver radiation dose rates. Shielded and unshielded dose rates were simulated using a Monte Carlo computer simulation and validated using real-world ionisation chamber measurements. Based on a radiation transport analysis using an adult voxel phantom published by the International Commission on Radiological Protection, placing the shield near the caregiver yielded the lowest dose rates. However, this strategy reduced the dose rate in only a tiny area of the room. Furthermore, positioning the shield near the patient in the caudal direction provided a modest dose rate reduction while shielding a large room area. Finally, increased shield width was associated with decreasing dose rates, but only a four-fold dose-rate reduction was observed for standard width shields. The recommendations of this case study may be considered as potential candidate room configurations where radiation dose rates are minimized, however these findings must be weighed against additional clinical, safety, and comfort considerations.