Samuel Y. Ash

Emphysema’s significant morbidity and mortality underscore the need for reliable outcome metrics in clinical trials. However, commonly accepted chronic obstructive pulmonary disease outcome measures do not adequately capture emphysema severity or progression. Computed tomography (CT) metrics have been validated as accurate indicators of pathological emphysema and predictors of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease progression, exacerbations, and mortality. This position paper reviews the evidence supporting CT densitometry as a biomarker for emphysema, establishes implementation standards, and highlights areas for future research. A systematic literature review addressed three key questions: whether CT densitometry can be used as a diagnostic biomarker of emphysema, whether CT densitometry can be used as a prognostic biomarker, and whether longitudinal change in densitometry can be used as a disease progression monitoring biomarker. Emphysema metrics, such as the percentage of low attenuation areas below −950 Hounsfield units, are validated, highly reproducible diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. Volume-adjusted lung density is recommended for disease monitoring. Both metrics demonstrate a scan–rescan intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.99 with proper technique. The paper also discusses relevant CT physics, techniques, and sources of variation, including technical factors, physiological changes, and software analysis. Key recommendations for clinical trials include using standardized CT techniques, proper subject selection, and longitudinal evaluation with volume-adjusted lung density.

Rationale: Quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIAs) are a computed tomography (CT) measure of early parenchymal lung disease associated with worse clinical outcomes, including exercise capacity and symptoms. The presence of pulmonary vasculopathy in QIAs and its role in the QIA–outcome relationship is unknown. Objectives: To quantify radiographic pulmonary vasculopathy in QIAs and determine whether this vasculopathy mediates the QIA–outcome relationship. Methods: Ever-smokers with QIAs, outcomes, and pulmonary vascular mediator data were identified from the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study cohort. CT-based vascular mediators were right ventricle–to–left ventricle ratio, pulmonary artery–to–aorta ratio, and preacinar intraparenchymal arterial dilation (pulmonary artery volume, 5–20 mm2in cross-sectional area, normalized to total arterial volume). Outcomes were 6-minute walk distance and a modified Medical Council Research Council Dyspnea Scale score of 2 or higher. Adjusted causal mediation analyses were used to determine whether the pulmonary vasculature mediated the QIA effect on outcomes. Associations of preacinar arterial dilation with select plasma biomarkers of pulmonary vascular dysfunction were examined. Measurements and Main Results: Among 8,200 participants, QIA burden correlated positively with vascular damage measures, including preacinar arterial dilation. Preacinar arterial dilation mediated 79.6% of the detrimental impact of QIA on 6-minute walk distance (56.2–100%; P < 0.001). Pulmonary artery–to–aorta ratio was a weak mediator, and right ventricle–to–left ventricle ratio was a suppressor. Similar results were observed in the relationship between QIA and modified Medical Council Research Council dyspnea score. Preacinar arterial dilation correlated with increased pulmonary vascular dysfunction biomarker levels, including angiopoietin-2 and N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide. Conclusions: Parenchymal QIAs deleteriously impact outcomes primarily through pulmonary vasculopathy. Preacinar arterial dilation may be a novel marker of pulmonary vasculopathy in QIAs.

Rationale: Quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIAs) are early measures of lung injury automatically detected on chest computed tomography scans. QIAs are associated with impaired respiratory health and share features with advanced lung diseases, but their biological underpinnings are not well understood. Objectives: To identify novel protein biomarkers of QIAs using high-throughput plasma proteomic panels within two multicenter cohorts. Methods: We measured the plasma proteomics of 4,383 participants in an older, ever-smoker cohort (COPDGene [Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease]) and 2,925 participants in a younger population cohort (CARDIA [Coronary Artery Disease Risk in Young Adults]) using the SomaLogic SomaScan assays. We measured QIAs using a local density histogram method. We assessed the associations between proteomic biomarker concentrations and QIAs using multivariable linear regression models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and study center (Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate–corrected P ≤ 0.05). Measurements and Main Results: In total, 852 proteins were significantly associated with QIAs in COPDGene and 185 in CARDIA. Of the 144 proteins that overlapped between COPDGene and CARDIA, all but one shared directionalities and magnitudes. These proteins were enriched for 49 Gene Ontology pathways, including biological processes in inflammatory response, cell adhesion, immune response, ERK1/2 regulation, and signaling; cellular components in extracellular regions; and molecular functions including calcium ion and heparin binding. Conclusions: We identified the proteomic biomarkers of QIAs in an older, smoking population with a higher prevalence of pulmonary disease and in a younger, healthier community cohort. These proteomics features may be markers of early precursors of advanced lung diseases.

In individuals with a history of smoking, progression of quantitative interstitial abnormalities at CT was associated with severe acute respiratory events, independent of comorbidities such as emphysema and small airway disease.

Introduction/rationale Protein biomarkers may help enable the prediction of incident interstitial features on chest CT. Methods We identified which protein biomarkers in a cohort of smokers (COPDGene) differed between those with and without objectively measured interstitial features at baseline using a univariate screen (t-test false discovery rate, FDR pResults In COPDGene, 1305 biomarkers were available and 20 differed between those with and without interstitial features at baseline. Of these, 11 were associated with feature progression over a mean of 5.5 years of follow-up, and of these 4 were available in PLuSS, (angiopoietin-2, matrix metalloproteinase 7, macrophage inflammatory protein 1 alpha) over a mean of 8.8 years of follow-up. The area under the curve (AUC) of classifiers using demographics and imaging features in COPDGene and PLuSS were 0.69 and 0.59, respectively. In COPDGene, the AUC of the univariate screen classifier was 0.78 and of the multivariable confirmation classifier was 0.76. The AUC of the final classifier in COPDGene was 0.75 and in PLuSS was 0.76. The outcome for all of the models was the development of incident interstitial features. Conclusions Multiple novel and previously identified proteomic biomarkers are associated with interstitial features on chest CT and may enable the prediction of incident interstitial diseases such as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Background CT attenuation is affected by lung volume, dosage, and scanner bias, leading to inaccurate emphysema progression measurements in multicenter studies. Purpose To develop and validate a method that simultaneously corrects volume, noise, and interscanner bias for lung density change estimation in emphysema progression at CT in a longitudinal multicenter study. Materials and Methods In this secondary analysis of the prospective Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) study, lung function data were obtained from participants who completed baseline and 5-year follow-up visits from January 2008 to August 2017. CT emphysema progression was measured with volume-adjusted lung density (VALD) and compared with the joint volume-noise-bias-adjusted lung density (VNB-ALD). Reproducibility was studied under change of dosage protocol and scanner model with repeated acquisitions. Emphysema progression was visually scored in 102 randomly selected participants. A stratified analysis of clinical characteristics was performed that considered groups based on their combined lung density change measured by VALD and VNB-ALD. Results A total of 4954 COPDGene participants (mean age, 60 years ± 9 [SD]; 2511 male, 2443 female) were analyzed (1329 with repeated reduced-dose acquisition in the follow-up visit). Mean repeatability coefficients were 30 g/L ± 0.46 for VALD and 14 g/L ± 0.34 for VNB-ALD. VALD measurements showed no evidence of differences between nonprogressors and progressors (mean, -5.5 g/L ± 9.5 vs -8.6 g/L ± 9.6; P = .11), while VNB-ALD agreed with visual readings and showed a difference (mean, -0.67 g/L ± 4.8 vs -4.2 g/L ± 5.5; P < .001). Analysis of progression showed that VNB-ALD progressors had a greater decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (-42 mL per year vs -32 mL per year; Tukey-adjusted P = .002). Conclusion Simultaneously correcting volume, noise, and interscanner bias for lung density change estimation in emphysema progression at CT improved repeatability analyses and agreed with visual readings. It distinguished between progressors and nonprogressors and was associated with a greater decline in lung function metrics. Clinical trial registration no. NCT00608764 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Goo in this issue.

Introduction: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) often represent early fibrotic changes that can portend a progressive fibrotic phenotype. In particular, the fibrotic subtype of ILA is associated with increased mortality and rapid decline in lung function. Understanding the differential gene expression that occurs in the lungs of participants with fibrotic ILA may provide insight into development of a useful biomarker for early detection and therapeutic targets for progressive pulmonary fibrosis. Methods: Measures of ILA and gene expression data were available in 213 participants in the Detection of Early Lung Cancer Among Military Personnel (DECAMP1 and DECAMP2) cohorts. ILA was defined using Fleischner Society guidelines and determined by sequential reading of computed tomography (CT) scans. Primary analysis focused on comparing gene expression in ILA with usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern with those with no ILA. Results: ILA was present in 51 (24%) participants, of which 16 (7%) were subtyped as ILA with a UIP pattern. One gene, pro platelet basic protein (PPBP) and seventeen pathways (e.g. TNF-α signalling) were significantly differentially expressed between those with a probable or definite UIP pattern of ILA compared to those without ILA. 16 of these 17 pathways, but no individual gene, met significance when comparing those with ILA to those without ILA. Conclusion: Our study demonstrates that abnormal inflammatory processes are apparent in the bronchial airway gene expression profiles of smokers with and without lung cancer with ILA. Future studies with larger and more diverse populations will be needed to confirm these findings.

Rationale: Although studies have evaluated emphysema and fibrotic interstitial lung abnormality individually, less is known about their combined progression. Objectives: To define clinically meaningful progression of fibrotic interstitial lung abnormality in smokers without interstitial lung disease and evaluate the effects of fibrosis and emphysema progression on mortality. Methods: Emphysema and pulmonary fibrosis were assessed on the basis of baseline and 5-year follow-up computed tomography scans of 4,450 smokers in the COPDGene Study using deep learning algorithms. Emphysema was classified as absent, trace, mild, moderate, confluent, or advanced destructive. Fibrosis was expressed as a percentage of lung volume. Emphysema progression was defined as an increase by at least one grade. A hybrid distribution and anchor-based method was used to determine the minimal clinically important difference in fibrosis. The relationship between progression and mortality was evaluated using multivariable shared frailty models using an age timescale. Measurements and Main Results: The minimal clinically important difference for fibrosis was 0.58%. On the basis of this threshold, 2,822 (63%) had progression of neither emphysema nor fibrosis, 841 (19%) had emphysema progression alone, 512 (12%) had fibrosis progression alone, and 275 (6.2%) had progression of both. Compared with nonprogressors, hazard ratios for mortality were 1.42 (95% confidence interval, 1.11–1.82) in emphysema progressors, 1.49 (1.14–1.94) in fibrosis progressors, and 2.18 (1.58–3.02) in those with progression of both emphysema and fibrosis. Conclusions: In smokers without known interstitial lung disease, small changes in fibrosis may be clinically significant, and combined progression of emphysema and fibrosis is associated with increased mortality.