Paolo Paruolo
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Research Subjects
Paolo Paruolo has a total of 61 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Massimo Franchi
Sapienza University of Rome
7 shared publications - Andrea Saltelli
UPF Barcelona School of Management Barcelona Spain
5 shared publications - Karim Maher Abadir
American University in Cairo and Imperial College London
5 shared publications Massimo Franchi
4 shared publications- Rocco Mosconi
Dipartimento di Ingegneria Gestionale, Politecnico di Milano, via Lambruschini 4/b, 20156 Milano, Italy
4 shared publications - Michaela Saisana
European Commission
3 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 7 October 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 1-17
Why This Book?
This chapter presents the book’s motivation, plan and message. The key take-away is that greater systematic access to publicly collected administrative data can generate positive externalities to all stakeholders in the public discourse. The book’s main aim is to lower the information asymmetries surrounding this issue.
- 7 October 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 1-17
Open AccessWhy This Book?
This chapter presents the book’s motivation, plan and message. The key take-away is that greater systematic access to publicly collected administrative data can generate positive externalities to all stakeholders in the public discourse. The book’s main aim is to lower the information asymmetries surrounding this issue.
- Open Access
- 7 October 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 395-409
Cross-Country Networks, Administrative Data and Policy Learning
This chapter provides an overview of structured cross-border interactions in the area of data-driven impact evaluations. Interest in these interactions stems from results in the literature that suggest that human and human-data interactions are driving factors for the development of data-driven policy learning. The chapter discusses policy instruments that could be used to support such interactions, may improve coordination and increase public value.
- 7 October 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 395-409
Open AccessCross-Country Networks, Administrative Data and Policy Learning
This chapter provides an overview of structured cross-border interactions in the area of data-driven impact evaluations. Interest in these interactions stems from results in the literature that suggest that human and human-data interactions are driving factors for the development of data-driven policy learning. The chapter discusses policy instruments that could be used to support such interactions, may improve coordination and increase public value.
- Open Access
- 7 October 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 483-498
Current Challenges and Opportunities in Data-Driven Learning
This chapter discusses some of the current challenges and opportunities in data-driven learning, including the role played by Artificial Intelligence, data protection techniques and human capital. It argues that computational systems can accelerate and support (but not replace) humans in data-driven learning, that advances in data protection can improve privacy and access to microdata for research, and that human capital is a key factor for data-driven learning, both in the production of causal evidence and in its communication and use in society. Finally, the chapter discusses the association between data-driven learning and trust in the public sector in democracies, which further reinforces interest in policy measures that support data-driven learning.
- 7 October 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 483-498
Open AccessCurrent Challenges and Opportunities in Data-Driven Learning
This chapter discusses some of the current challenges and opportunities in data-driven learning, including the role played by Artificial Intelligence, data protection techniques and human capital. It argues that computational systems can accelerate and support (but not replace) humans in data-driven learning, that advances in data protection can improve privacy and access to microdata for research, and that human capital is a key factor for data-driven learning, both in the production of causal evidence and in its communication and use in society. Finally, the chapter discusses the association between data-driven learning and trust in the public sector in democracies, which further reinforces interest in policy measures that support data-driven learning.
- Open Access
- 14 July 2026
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of the American Statistical Association
- p. 1-27
Canonical correlation analysis of stochastic trends via functional approximation
- 14 July 2026
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of the American Statistical Association
- p. 1-27
Open AccessCanonical correlation analysis of stochastic trends via functional approximation
- Open Access
- 30 April 2026
- Published by Wiley in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
- Vol. 88 (4) , 742-764
Confidence Intervals for Price Discovery
This paper discusses asymptotic and bootstrap confidence intervals for multivariate permanent‐transitory decompositions of cointegrated vector autoregressive I(1) systems, with a focus on price discovery. Alternative estimators of the permanent components are compared in terms of efficiency also under separable linear restrictions on the parameters, and it is found that the one based on model residuals is most efficient. Bootstrap implementations are discussed and compared. Asymptotic results are also derived for information and component shares widely used in price discovery to measure the relative importance of different markets. A Monte Carlo study and an application illustrate the findings.
- 30 April 2026
- Published by Wiley in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
- Vol. 88 (4) , 742-764
Open AccessConfidence Intervals for Price Discovery
This paper discusses asymptotic and bootstrap confidence intervals for multivariate permanent‐transitory decompositions of cointegrated vector autoregressive I(1) systems, with a focus on price discovery. Alternative estimators of the permanent components are compared in terms of efficiency also under separable linear restrictions on the parameters, and it is found that the one based on model residuals is most efficient. Bootstrap implementations are discussed and compared. Asymptotic results are also derived for information and component shares widely used in price discovery to measure the relative importance of different markets. A Monte Carlo study and an application illustrate the findings.
- Open Access
- 26 February 2026
- Published by Wiley in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
- Vol. 88 (4) , 643-657
Inference on the Attractor Space via Functional Approximation
This paper discusses semiparametric inference on hypotheses on the cointegration and the attractor spaces for linear processes with moderately large cross‐sectional dimension. The approach is based on sample canonical correlations and functional approximation of Brownian motions, and it can be applied both to the whole system and or to any set of linear combinations of it. The hypotheses of interest are cast in terms of the number of stochastic trends in specified subsystems, and inference is based either on selection criteria or on sequences of tests. This paper derives the limit distribution of these tests in the special one‐dimensional case, and discusses asymptotic properties of the derived inference criteria for hypotheses on the attractor space for sequentially diverging sample size and number of basis elements in the functional approximation. Finite sample properties are analysed via a Monte Carlo study and an empirical illustration on exchange rates is provided.
- 26 February 2026
- Published by Wiley in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
- Vol. 88 (4) , 643-657
Open AccessInference on the Attractor Space via Functional Approximation
This paper discusses semiparametric inference on hypotheses on the cointegration and the attractor spaces for linear processes with moderately large cross‐sectional dimension. The approach is based on sample canonical correlations and functional approximation of Brownian motions, and it can be applied both to the whole system and or to any set of linear combinations of it. The hypotheses of interest are cast in terms of the number of stochastic trends in specified subsystems, and inference is based either on selection criteria or on sequences of tests. This paper derives the limit distribution of these tests in the special one‐dimensional case, and discusses asymptotic properties of the derived inference criteria for hypotheses on the attractor space for sequentially diverging sample size and number of basis elements in the functional approximation. Finite sample properties are analysed via a Monte Carlo study and an empirical illustration on exchange rates is provided.
- Open Access
- 14 October 2023
- Published by Elsevier in Econometrics and Statistics
- Vol. 39, 81-95
Estimating the number of common trends in large T and N factor models via canonical correlations analysis
- 14 October 2023
- Published by Elsevier in Econometrics and Statistics
- Vol. 39, 81-95
Open AccessEstimating the number of common trends in large T and N factor models via canonical correlations analysis
- Open Access
- 15 June 2023
- Published by Elsevier in Economic Modelling
- Vol. 126
Does labour protection influence mental-health responses to employment shocks? Evidence on older workers in Europe
- 15 June 2023
- Published by Elsevier in Economic Modelling
- Vol. 126
Open AccessDoes labour protection influence mental-health responses to employment shocks? Evidence on older workers in Europe
- Open Access
- 20 June 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Journal of Econometrics
- Vol. 235 (2) , 470-483
GARCH density and functional forecasts
- 20 June 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Journal of Econometrics
- Vol. 235 (2) , 470-483
Open AccessGARCH density and functional forecasts
- Open Access
- 16 May 2022
- Published by MDPI AG in Econometrics
- Vol. 10 (2) , 24
Celebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen
This Special Issue collects contributions related to the advances in the theory and practice of Econometrics induced by the research of Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen, whom this Special Issue aims to celebrate
- 16 May 2022
- Published by MDPI AG in Econometrics
- Vol. 10 (2) , 24
Open AccessCelebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen
This Special Issue collects contributions related to the advances in the theory and practice of Econometrics induced by the research of Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen, whom this Special Issue aims to celebrate