Kun Ren

Inter-basin water transfer projects are core infrastructure for achieving sustainable water resource allocation and addressing regional water scarcity, and pumping station units, as their critical energy-consuming and operation-controlling components, are vital to the projects’ sustainable performance. With the growing complexity and scale of these projects, pumping station units have become more intricate, leading to a gradual rise in failure rates. However, existing fault diagnosis methods are relatively backward, failing to promptly detect potential faults—this not only threatens operational safety but also undermines sustainable development goals: equipment failures cause excessive energy consumption (violating energy efficiency requirements for sustainability), unplanned downtime disrupts stable water supply (impairing reliable water resource access), and even leads to water waste or environmental risks. To address this sustainability-oriented challenge, this paper focuses on the fault characteristics of pumping station units and proposes a comprehensive and accurate fault diagnosis model, aiming to enhance the sustainability of water transfer projects through technical optimization. The model utilizes advanced algorithms and data processing technologies to accurately identify fault types, thereby laying a technical foundation for the low-energy, reliable, and sustainable operation of pumping stations. Firstly, continuous wavelet transform (CWT) converts one-dimensional time-domain signals into two-dimensional time-frequency graphs, visually displaying dynamic signal characteristics to capture early fault features that may cause energy waste. Next, the multi-head attention mechanism (MHA) segments the time-frequency graphs and correlates feature-location information via independent self-attention layers, accurately capturing the temporal correlation of fault evolution—this enables early fault warning to avoid prolonged inefficient operation and energy loss. Finally, the improved convolutional neural network (CNN) layer integrates feature information and temporal correlation, outputting predefined fault probabilities for accurate fault determination. Experimental results show the model effectively solves the difficulty of feature extraction in pumping station fault diagnosis, considers fault evolution timeliness, and significantly improves prediction accuracy and anti-noise performance. Comparative experiments with three existing methods verify its superiority. Critically, this model strengthens sustainability in three key ways: (1) early fault detection reduces unplanned downtime, ensuring stable water supply (a core sustainable water resource goal); (2) accurate fault localization cuts unnecessary maintenance energy consumption, aligning with energy-saving requirements; (3) reduced equipment failure risks minimize water waste and environmental impacts. Thus, it not only provides a new method for pumping station fault diagnosis but also offers technical support for the sustainable operation of water conservancy infrastructure, contributing to global sustainable development goals (SDGs) related to water and energy.

In the development of data-driven models for streamflow forecasting, choosing appropriate input variables is crucial. Although random forest (RF) has been successfully applied to streamflow forecasting for input variable selection (IVS), comparative analysis of different random forest-based IVS (RF-IVS) methods is yet absent. Here, we investigate performance of five RF-IVS methods in four data-driven models (RF, support vector regression (SVR), Gaussian process regression (GP), and long short-term memory (LSTM)). A case study is implemented in the contiguous United States for one-month-ahead streamflow forecasting. Results indicate that RF-IVS methods enable to acquire enhanced performance in comparison to widely used partial Pearson correlation and conditional mutual information. Meanwhile, performance-based RF-IVS methods appear to be superior to test-based methods, and the test-based methods tend to select redundant variables. The RF with a forward selection strategy is finally recommended to connect with GP model as a promising combination having potential to yield favorable performance.

A more accurate hourly prediction of day-ahead wind power can effectively reduce the uncertainty of wind power integration and improve the competitiveness of wind power in power auction markets. However, due to the inherent stochastic and intermittent nature of wind energy, it is very difficult to sharply improve the multi-step wind power forecasting (WPF) accuracy. According to theory of direct and recursive multi-step prediction, this study firstly proposes the models of R (recursive)-VMD (variational model decomposition)-LSTM (long short-term memory) and D (direct)-VMD-LSTM for the hourly forecast of day-ahead wind power by using a combination of a novel and in-depth neural network forecasting model called LSTM and the variational model decomposition (VMD) technique. The data from these model tests were obtained from two real-world wind power series from a wind farm located in Henan, China. The experimental results show that LSTM can achieve more precise predictions than traditional neural networks, and that VMD has a good self-adaptive ability to remove the stochastic volatility and retain more adequate data information than empirical mode decomposition (EMD). Secondly, the R-VMD-LSTM and D-VMD-LSTM are comparatively studied to analyze the accuracy of each step. The results verify the effectiveness of the combination of the two models: The R-VMD-LSTM model provides a more accurate prediction at the beginning of a day, while the D-VMD-LSTM model provides a more accurate prediction at the end of a day.