Sjef Van Der Linden

Introduction Ankylosing spondylitis (AS), and carriage of HLA-B27 gene in otherwise healthy individuals, are reportedly associated with increased mortality. We evaluated this hypothesis, using data from both a 35-year AS follow-up study and UK Biobank data. Methods In 1985, 363 members of the Swiss AS Patient Society and 806 relatives were screened clinically and then radiographically for AS/axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA). Life expectancy was analysed in 377 axSpA patients having available pelvic radiographs and HLA-B27 status, comparing with matched Swiss population data. Survival in relation to HLA-B27 status in the general population was studied in UK Biobank European-ancestry participants (n=407 480, n=30 419 deaths). Results AS patients have increased standardised mortality rate (SMR) compared with the general population (1.37, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.62). This increase was significant for HLA-B27-positive AS (SMR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.65). Shortened life expectancy was observed among both HLA-B27-positive AS women (SMR 1.77, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.70) and men (SMR 1.31, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.59). Patients with non-radiographic axSpA (nr-axSpA) had significantly lower SMR: 0.44 (95% CI 0.23 to 0.77), compared with the general population. In the UK Biobank European-ancestry population cohort, HLA-B27 carriage was not significantly associated with any change in mortality (HR 1, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.1, p=0.349, adjusted by sex), in either males (HR 1, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.1, p=0.281) or females (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.9 to 1, p=0.232), and no increase in vascular disease mortality was observed. Discussion AS patients, but not nr-axSpA patients, have a significantly shortened life expectancy. Increased mortality is particularly significant among women with HLA-B27-positive AS. HLA-B27 carriage in the European-ancestry general population does not influence survival, or the risk of death due to vascular disease.

Objective The lifetime recurrence rate (RR) of axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) among first-degree relatives (FDR) and the effect of proband’s gender, HLA-B27 and radiographic status is unclear. Our 35-year-follow-up family study has enabled these issues to be addressed. Methods In 1985, 363 ankylosing spondylitis (AS) probands (members of the Swiss AS Patient Society) and 806 FDR recruited into the study, completed questionnaires regarding axSpA manifestations, underwent a physical examination and most also underwent pelvic radiography and HLA-B27 typing. At follow-up in 2018–2019, of the former participants whose current addresses could be retrieved, 162 had died and 485 (125 patients with AS plus 360 FDR) completed a postal questionnaire. Results At follow-up, 48 of 177 HLA-B27(+) FDR had developed axSpA, an RR of 27.1% (95% CI 20.6% to 33.7%). 27/148 (18.2%) children of AS probands (modified New York (mNY) criteria) were affected versus 2/50 (4.0%) children of non-radiographic axSpA probands (p=0.0138, OR=5.36; 95% CI 1.23 to 23.40). Children of female probands were more often affected (12/22; 54.5%) than of male probands (15/78; 19.2%) (p=0.0003; OR=4.89; 95% CI 1.96 to 12.23). This increased risk applies equally to sons and daughters. Conclusion The lifetime RR of axSpA for HLA-B27(+) FDR is substantial (27.1%), and disease severity (as defined by radiographic sacroiliitis by the mNY criteria) is an additional risk factor. Affected mothers pass on the disease significantly more often to their offspring than do affected fathers. These findings may lead to better assessment of lifetime risk for axSpA in the offspring. Moreover, investigation of this gender effect may uncover additional putative disease susceptibility factors.

Objective Axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) comprises both radiographic and non-radiographic disease. However, the paucity of specific objective measures for the disease and current classification criteria showing suboptimal specificity contribute to disease heterogeneity observed in clinical practice and research. We used a historical cohort of patients with axSpA to assess sources of heterogeneity. Methods The study involved 363 axSpA probands recruited from membership of the Swiss Ankylosing Spondylitis Patient Society. Participants underwent examination by a rheumatologist, completed questionnaires and provided blood samples for HLA typing. Patients underwent radiography of sacroiliac joints and were categorised according to the New York (NY) criteria (ankylosing spondylitis (AS) or non-radiographic axSpA (nr-axSpA)) and HLA-B27 status. Genetic characterisation by single nucleotide polymorphism microarray was performed and AS polygenic risk scores (PRS) were calculated. Results Considerable heterogeneity was observed. The male to female ratio for AS (NY+) was 3:1, but 1:1 for nr-axSpA. For HLA-27(+) AS, the ratio was 2.5:1, but nearly 1:1 for HLA-B27(−) disease. Women with nr-axSpA had strikingly lower mean PRS and lower HLA-B27 prevalence than men with nr-axSpA or NY(+) male and female patients with AS. PRS was able to distinguish male but not female patients with nr-axSpA from related healthy first-degree relatives. Radiographic sacroiliitis was strongly associated with HLA-B27, especially in men. Conclusion Women clinically diagnosed with axSpA but without radiographic sacroiliitis as a group have a disease that is distinct from AS by the modified New York criteria overall and from nr-axSpA in men. Given the high degree of heterogeneity, stratified or adjusted analysis of effectiveness studies is indicated, taking genetics, sex and radiographic damage (sacroiliitis) into account.

Objective Factors predicting axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) among first-degree relatives (FDRs) of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) patients need to be defined. We investigated the predictive value of the probands’ HLA-B27 and radiographic sacroiliitis status on disease occurrence among their FDR. We also assessed the predictive value of features of the clinical history, including chronic inflammatory back pain (CIBP) and acute anterior uveitis (AAU), among the FDR and how they can be used to improve classification and diagnosis of axSpA. Methods In 1985, we studied 363 AS probands and 806 FDR who underwent rheumatologic examination, completed questionnaires, provided blood samples for HLA-typing and underwent radiography of sacroiliac joints. At follow-up in 2018–2019, 125 patients and 360 FDR were available for study, and completed a postal questionnaire about axSpA features. FDRs were asked to report whether after 1985 they had been diagnosed by Swiss rheumatologists as having axSpA. Results Among HLA-B27(+) FDR, axSpA occurred in 25.4%–26.3%, independent of the radiographic sacroiliitis status of the proband. AAU occurred in 13/34 (38.2%) FDR with axSpA vs 29/251 (11.6%) FDR without axSpA (p=0.00004, OR=4.74 95% CI 2.15 to 10.47). The presence of CIBP at baseline did not predict later occurrence of axSpA but combining CIBP and pain/discomfort at the thoracic spine and at anterior (ventral) chest wall ever, assessed at follow-up in 2018–2019, provided 83.1% sensitivity and 87.2% specificity for current axSpA. Conclusion Occurrence of AAU among FDR of axSpA probands should prompt screening for axSpA. Moreover, co-occurrence of CIBP and pain/discomfort in the thoracic spine and at anterior chest wall as a three-question tool may further enhance clinical suspicion of axSpA among these FDR.

The axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) disease concept has undergone substantial change from when the entity ankylosing spondylitis was defined by the modified New York criteria in 1984. Developments in imaging, therapy and genetics have all contributed to changing the concept of axSpA from one of erosions in the sacroiliac joints to a spectrum of disease with and without changes evident on plain radiographs. Changes to the previously held concept and construct of the disease have also necessitated new classification criteria. The use of MRI, primarily of the sacroiliac joints, has substantially altered the diagnosis and differential diagnosis of axSpA. Many in the axSpA community believe that the current classification criteria lack specificity, and the CLASSIC study is underway to examine this area. Although much about the evolving axSpA disease concept is universally agreed, there remains disagreement about operationalizing aspects of it, such as the requirement for the objective demonstration of axial inflammation for the classification of axSpA. New imaging technologies, biomarkers and genetics data will probably necessitate ongoing revision of axSpA classification criteria. Advances in our knowledge of the biology of axSpA will settle some differences in opinion as to how the disease concept is applied to the classification and diagnosis of patients.