Ernest L. Mazzaferri

Recent studies have provided new information regarding the optimal surveillance protocols for low-risk patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This article summarizes the main issues brought out in a consensus conference of thyroid cancer specialists who analyzed and discussed this new data. There is growing recognition of the value of serum thyroglobulin (Tg) as part of routine surveillance. An undetectable serum Tg measured during thyroid hormone suppression of TSH (THST) is often misleading. Eight studies show that 21% of 784 patients who had no clinical evidence of tumor with baseline serum Tg levels usually below 1 μg/liter during THST had, in response to recombinant human TSH (rhTSH), a rise in serum Tg to more than 2 μg/liter. When this happened, 36% of the patients were found to have metastases (36% at distant sites) that were identified in 91% by an rhTSH-stimulated Tg above 2 μg/liter. Diagnostic whole body scanning, after either rhTSH or thyroid hormone withdrawal, identified only 19% of the cases of metastases. Ten studies comprising 1599 patients demonstrate that a TSH-stimulated Tg test using a Tg cutoff of 2 μg/liter (either after thyroid hormone withdrawal or 72 h after rhTSH) is sufficiently sensitive to be used as the principal test in the follow-up management of low-risk patients with DTC and that the routine use of diagnostic whole body scanning in follow-up should be discouraged. On the basis of the foregoing, we propose a surveillance guideline using TSH-stimulated Tg levels for patients who have undergone total or near-total thyroidectomy and ¹³¹I ablation for DTC and have no clinical evidence of residual tumor with a serum Tg below 1 μg/liter during THST.

The incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) has increased in many places around the world over the past three decades, yet this has been associated with a significant decrease in DTC mortality rates in some countries. While the best 10-year DTC survival rates are about 90%, long-term relapse rates remain high, in the order of 20-40%, depending upon the patient's age and tumor stage at the time of initial treatment. About 80% of patients appear to be rendered disease-free by initial treatment, but the others have persistent tumor, sometimes found decades later. Optimal treatment for tumors that are likely to relapse or cause death is total thyroidectomy and ablation by iodine-131 ((131)I), followed by long-term levothyroxine suppression of thyrotropin (TSH). On the basis of regression modeling of 1510 patients without distant metastases at the time of initial treatment and including surgical and (131)I treatment, the likelihood of death from DTC is increased by several factors, including age >45 years, tumor size >1.0 cm, local tumor invasion or regional lymph-node metastases, follicular histology, and delay of treatment >12 months. Cancer mortality is favorably and independently affected by female sex, total or near-total thyroidectomy, (131)I treatment and levothyroxine suppression of TSH. Treatments with (131)I to ablate thyroid remnants and residual disease are independent prognostic variables favorably influencing distant tumor relapse and cancer death rates. Delay in treatment of persistent disease has a profound impact on outcome. Optimal long-term follow-up using serum thyroglobulin (Tg) measurements and diagnostic whole-body scans (DxWBS) require high concentrations of TSH, which until recently were possible to achieve only by withdrawing levothyroxine treatment, producing symptomatic hypothyroidism. New paradigms, however, provide alternative pathways to prepare patients for (131)I treatment and to optimize follow-up. Patients with undetectable or low Tg concentrations and persistent occult disease can now be identified within the first year after initial treatment by recombinant human (rh)TSH-stimulated serum Tg concentrations greater than 2 microg/l, without performing DxWBS. These new follow-up paradigms promptly identify patients with lung metastases that are not evident on routine imaging, but which respond to (131)I treatment. In addition, rhTSH can be given to prepare patients for (131)I remnant ablation or (131)I treatment for metastases, especially those who are unable to withstand hypothyroidism because of concurrent illness or advanced age, or whose hypothyroid TSH fails to increase.

Mortality rates from thyroid cancer have fallen significantly in recent decades, almost certainly as the result of earlier diagnosis and improved treatment of differentiated (papillary and follicular) thyroid cancer. Enhanced survival is likely a result of early diagnosis and therapy applied at a disease stage when treatment is most effective. In the United States and Europe, most patients at high risk for relapse and death from thyroid cancer are treated with total or near-total thyroidectomy and receive radioiodine ablation of residual normal or malignant thyroid tissue, followed by treatment with thyroid hormone, a strategy that cures more than 80% of patients. Still, some die of the disease and nearly 15% have local recurrences, while another 5% to 10% develop distant metastases. Over 50% of recurrences appear in the first five years, but distant metastases may surface years, and sometimes decades, after initial therapy. Much has been learned about risk stratification to predict recurrence and death from thyroid cancer but individual patients continue to have adverse outcomes not always foreseen by a low tumor stage. Follow-up must accordingly be meticulous and prolonged. The National Cancer Center Network (NCCN) has recently established consensus practice guidelines that give explicit advice about the diagnosis and management of benign and malignant thyroid tumors, including paradigms for long-term follow-up and the treatment of recurrent disease. The guidelines confirm that diagnostic scanning with ¹³¹I and measurement of serum thyroglobulin (Tg) levels are the mainstay of follow-up, offering the opportunity to detect recurrent or persistent cancer at very early stages. These guidelines advocate TSH-stimulated serum Tg measurements, done either during thyroid hormone withdrawal or stimulation with recombinant human TSH (rhTSH, Thyrogen™), that often identify the presence of cancer well before diagnostic whole-body scanning or other imaging studies can spot the tumor, which offers the opportunity to treat recurrent disease at an early stage. The use of rhTSH adds a new dimension to long-term follow-up that avoids putting patients through the symptoms of hypothyroidism, and offers the opportunity to follow some patients with rhTSH-stimulated serum Tg levels without performing ¹³¹I wholebody scans. A multicenter international study has shown that serum Tg measurements alone are not as sensitive in the identification of patients with persistent or recurrent tumor as are rhTSH-stimulated serum Tg determinations. Although not yet approved for preparation of patients for ¹³¹I therapy, rhTSH has been used successfully in a compassionate use program for this purpose in a relatively large number of patients. Formal clinical investigations now planned to provide guidelines for the use of rhTSH for therapeutic ¹³¹I portend a new set of effective therapeutic paradigms for the management of differentiated thyroid cancer.