Chunli Dai

Coseismic vertical displacements are important observations that help improve our understanding of fault mechanisms and how earthquakes alter landscapes. It has been a challenge to quantify long‐wavelength topographic changes for thrust earthquakes using optical satellite imagery, as most recent studies focus on strike‐slip earthquakes that produce highly localized, contrasting signals. Here we demonstrate the vertical displacements associated with the 25 April 2015 Gorkha, Nepal earthquake using EarthDEM digital elevation models derived from Maxar stereo‐photogrammetric data. The DEM time series analysis shows that the earthquake caused the high Himalaya to subside for about 2.4 ± 1.7 m, about doubling the model‐predicted subsidence of 1.2 ± 0.2 m. The large uncertainty of measured elevation changes, as well as their significant differences over different land covers shown in this study, highlight the need to correct vegetation bias in retrieving coseismic deformation from DEM data.

Retrogressive thaw slumping (RTS) is a mass-wasting process characterized by upslope backwasting and rapid thawing of ice-rich permafrost. High-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from ArcticDEM enable the volumetric and soil organic carbon quantification of medium to large disturbance areas undergoing RTS ( ≥10,000 m²) for the Northern Hemisphere. Using DEM time-series analysis and deep learning, we retrieve a total of 2747 disturbance areas undergoing active RTS with a total volume loss of (317.0 ± 0.3) × 10⁶m³ between 2012 and 2022. Here we show that climatic drivers of RTS activity exhibit latitudinal and regional variations, specifically, the number of precipitation-driven RTS decreases linearly as latitudes increase, whereas temperature-driven RTS increases sharply. Finally, we estimate that 96% of detected RTS thawed ~1.95 × 10^-3 Pg carbon per year, equivalent to ~0.2% of annual gradual thaw emission estimates. Our results highlight the complexity of regional RTS dynamics and the importance of high resolution, long-term monitoring efforts.

The growth mechanism of the Tibetan Plateau, postulated by a number of hypotheses, remains under intense debate. Our analysis of recent satellite‐based gravity model reveals that Tibetan lithosphere has been decoupled and folded. It is further evidenced by the existence of crustal melts and channel flow that have been observed by seismic and magnetotelluric explorations. Based on 3D geodynamic simulations, we elucidate the exact buckling structures in the upper crust and lithospheric mantle: at mixed wavelengths between ∼240 and ∼400 km, the lower crustal viscosity is smaller than ∼10¹⁹ Pa·s, implicating weak lower crustal flow beneath the Plateau. This mixed wavelength is consistent with the result of our inverse gravity modeling. Our results facilitate a new plausible hypothesis that the decoupled lithospheric folding mechanism can explain the growth mechanism of the anomalously thick and wide Tibetan Plateau by conflating our idea and contemporary hypothesized scientific findings.

We describe and model the evolution of a recent landslide, tsunami, outburst flood, and sediment plume in the southern Coast Mountains, British Columbia, Canada. On November 28, 2020, about 18 million m³ of rock descended 1,000 m from a steep valley wall and traveled across the toe of a glacier before entering a 0.6 km² glacier lake and producing >100‐m high run‐up. Water overtopped the lake outlet and scoured a 10‐km long channel before depositing debris on a 2‐km² fan below the lake outlet. Floodwater, organic debris, and fine sediment entered a fjord where it produced a 60+km long sediment plume and altered turbidity, water temperature, and water chemistry for weeks. The outburst flood destroyed forest and salmon spawning habitat. Physically based models of the landslide, tsunami, and flood provide real‐time simulations of the event and can improve understanding of similar hazard cascades and the risk they pose.

On 28 November 2020, some 18 Mm3 of quartz diorite detached from a steep rock face at the head of Elliot Creek in the southern Coast Mountains of British Columbia. The rock mass fragmented as it descended 1000 m and flowed across a debris-covered glacier. The rock avalanche was recorded on local and distant seismometers, with long-period amplitudes equivalent to a M 4.9 earthquake. Local seismic stations detected several earthquakes of magnitude <2.4 over the minutes and hours preceding the slide, though no causative relationship is yet suggested. Pre-slide optical and radar remote sensing data indicated some slope deformation leading up to failure. More than half of the rock debris entered a 0.6 km2  lake, where it generated a 115 m displacement wave that overtopped the moraine at the far end of the lake. We estimate that some 13.5 Mm3 of water left the lake from the combined impact of the landslide as well as erosion of the dam. The water that left the lake was channelized along Elliot Creek, scouring the valley more than 40 m in some places over a distance of 10 km before depositing debris on a 2 km2 fan in the Southgate River valley. Debris temporarily dammed the river, and turbid water continued down the Southgate River to Bute Inlet, where it produced a 70 km turbidity current and altered turbidity and water chemistry in the inlet for weeks. The landslide followed a century of rapid glacier retreat and thinning that exposed a growing lake basin. The outburst flood extended the damage of the landslide far beyond the limit of the landslide, destroying forest and impacting salmon spawning and rearing habitat. We expect more cascading impacts from landslides in the glacierized mountains of British Columbia as glaciers continue to retreat, exposing water bodies below steep slopes while simultaneously removing buttressing support.

On 28 November 2020, about 18 Mm3 of quartz diorite detached from a steep rock face at the head of Elliot Creek in the southern Coast Mountains of British Columbia. The rock mass fragmented as it descended 1000 m and flowed across a debris-covered glacier. The rock avalanche was recorded on local and distant seismometers, with long-period amplitudes equivalent to a M 4.9 earthquake. Local seismic stations detected several earthquakes of magnitude <2.4 over the minutes and hours preceding the slide, though no causative relationship is yet suggested. More than half of the rock debris entered a 0.6 km2 lake, where it generated a huge displacement wave that overtopped the moraine at the far end of the lake. Water that left the lake was channelized along Elliot Creek, deeply scouring the valley fill over a distance of 10 km before depositing debris on a 2 km2 fan in the Southgate River valley. Debris temporarily dammed the river, and turbid water continued down the Southgate River to Bute Inlet, where it produced a 70 km turbidity current and altered turbidity and water chemistry in the inlet for weeks. The landslide followed a century of rapid glacier retreat and thinning that exposed a growing lake basin. The outburst flood extended the damage of the landslide far beyond the limit of the landslide, destroying forest and impacting salmon spawning and rearing habitat. We expect more cascading impacts from landslides in the glacierized mountains of British Columbia as glaciers continue to retreat, exposing water bodies below steep slopes while simultaneously removing buttressing support.

The retreat of glaciers in response to global warming has the potential to trigger landslides in glaciated regions around the globe. Landslides that enter fjords or lakes can cause tsunamis, which endanger people and infrastructure far from the landslide itself. Here we document the ongoing movement of an unstable slope (total volume of 455 × 10⁶ m³) in Barry Arm, a fjord in Prince William Sound, Alaska. The slope moved rapidly between 2010 and 2017, yielding a horizontal displacement of 120 m, which is highly correlated with the rapid retreat and thinning of Barry Glacier. Should the entire unstable slope collapse at once, preliminary tsunami modeling suggests a maximum runup of 300 m near the landslide, which may have devastating impacts on local communities. Our findings highlight the need for interdisciplinary studies of recently deglaciated fjords to refine our understanding of the impact of climate change on landslides and tsunamis.

Okmok volcano, one of the most active volcanoes in the Aleutian Islands, erupted between 12 July and 19 August 2008 and produced a new tephra cone (Ahmanilix) up to 253 m high. A coeruptive deposit thickness map and the posteruptive elevation change rate map are generated for this phreatomagmatic eruption using the new, high‐resolution (2 m) digital elevation model (DEM) time series provided by ArcticDEM. The total dense rock equivalent (DRE) volume over the proximal deposit field classified from the elevation change map is estimated as 0.147 ± 0.001 km³ DRE (bulk volume of 0.453 ± 0.003 km³). Combined with the distal deposit volume derived from field measurements, the total DRE is 0.25 km³ (bulk volume of 0.76 km³). The estimated erosion rate is up to −15 ± 3 m/year along the flanks of Ahmanilix, and the redeposition rate is about 1 ± 0.3 m/year at the base and 6 ± 1 m/year within the center of Ahmanilix. The surface elevation change also reveals a large ground surface collapse that disrupted the old Cone D lava bench, with a total collapse area of 0.15 km² and a volume of (7.1 ± 0.4) × 10⁻³ km³. We also produce a coeruptive deformation map from satellite interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) using topography from both ArcticDEM and the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and compare the results. Finally, based on historical eruption volumes, the magma supply rate at Okmok is estimated as (1.77 ± 0.1) × 10⁻³ km³/year.