Hongxia Luo

Vegetation serves as a critical ecological barrier on tropical islands, but conventional assessments often emphasize greening magnitude while overlooking persistence, structural quality, and scale-dependent attribution. In this study, we reconstructed a high-precision fractional vegetation cover (FVC) dataset for Hainan Island, China, covering the period from 2000 to 2024 using Google Earth Engine (GEE). We then combined trend analysis, emerging hot spot analysis (EHSA), the coupling coordination degree model (CCDM), RESTREND, and Geodetector to examine vegetation change from complementary perspectives. The results show that FVC increased overall and gradually shifted toward a more stable state over time. EHSA further revealed a distinct core-periphery pattern, with persistent hot spots concentrated in the central mountainous region, persistent cold spots distributed along the coastal urban belt, and oscillating hot spots occurring within agricultural transition zones. Regarding quantity-structure coupling, FVC and the aggregation index (AI) generally improved together across the island; however, some agricultural ecotones exhibited weaker structural improvement despite increasing vegetation cover, suggesting potential risks of homogenization and structural simplification. In the broad attribution analysis, vegetation recovery was primarily associated with the combined influence of climatic and human-related improvement. In the factor-specific analysis, land cover and slope showed the strongest explanatory power, and their interactions with other variables further enhanced spatial differentiation. These results demonstrate that greening magnitude alone is insufficient for evaluating vegetation change on tropical islands. Structural coordination and scale-dependent attribution should also be considered when interpreting ecological improvement and related management implications.

The betel palm is a critical economic crop on Hainan Island. Accurate and timely maps of betel palms are fundamental for the industry’s management and ecological environment evaluation. To date, mapping the spatial distribution of betel palms across a large regional scale remains a significant challenge. In this study, we propose an integrated framework that combines knowledge-based and machine learning approaches to produce a map of betel palms at 10 m spatial resolution based on Sentinel-1/2 data and Google Earth Engine (GEE) for 2023 on Hainan Island, which accounts for 95% of betel nut acreage in China. The forest map was initially delineated based on signature information and the Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (GNDVI) acquired from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data, respectively. Subsequently, patches of betel palms were extracted from the forest map using a random forest classifier and feature selection method via logistic regression (LR). The resultant 10 m betel palm map achieved user’s, producer’s, and overall accuracy of 86.89%, 88.81%, and 97.51%, respectively. According to the betel palm map in 2023, the total planted area was 189,805 hectares (ha), exhibiting high consistency with statistical data (R² = 0.74). The spatial distribution was primarily concentrated in eastern Hainan, reflecting favorable climatic and topographic conditions. The results demonstrate the significant potential of Sentinel-1/2 data for identifying betel palms in complex tropical regions characterized by diverse land cover types, fragmented cultivated land, and frequent cloud and rain interference. This study provides a reference framework for mapping tropical crops, and the findings are crucial for tropical agricultural management and optimization.

The Ångström–Prescott formula is commonly used in climatological calculation methods of solar radiation simulation. Aiming at the characteristics of a vast area, few meteorological stations, and uneven distribution in the tropical regions of China, in order to obtain the optimal parameters of the global solar radiation calculation model, this study proposes a suitable monthly global solar radiation model based on the single-station approach and the between-groups linkage of the A–P model, which utilizes monthly measured meteorological data from 80 meteorological stations spanning the period from 1996 to 2016 in the tropical zone of China, considering the similarity in changes of monthly sunshine percentage between stations. The applicability and accuracy of the correction parameters (a and b coefficients) were tested and evaluated, and then the modified parameters were extended to conventional meteorological stations through Thiessen polygons. Finally, the spatial distribution of solar radiation in the tropical region of China was simulated by kriging, IDW, and spline interpolation techniques. The results show the following: (1) The single-station model exhibited the highest accuracy in simulating the average annual global solar radiation, followed by the model based on the between-groups linkage. After optimizing the a and b coefficients, the simulation accuracy of the average annual global solar radiation increased by 5.3%, 8.1%, and 4.4% for the whole year, dry season, and wet season, respectively. (2) Through cross-validation, the most suitable spatial interpolation methods for the whole year, dry season, and wet season in the tropical zone of China were IDW, Kriging, and Spline, respectively. This research has positive implications for improving the accuracy of solar radiation prediction and guiding regional agricultural production.

Betel palms and mango plantations are two crucial commercial crops in tropical agricultural areas. Accurate spatial distributions of these two crops are essential in tropical agricultural regional planning and management. However, the characteristics of small patches, scattering, and perennation make it challenging to map betel palms and mango plantations in complex tropical agricultural regions. Furthermore, the excessive features of very-high-resolution (VHR) imaging might lead to a reduction in classification accuracy and an increase in computation times. To address these challenges, we selected five feature selection (FS) methods (random forest means a decrease in accuracy (RFMDA), ReliefF, random forest-recursive feature elimination (RFE), aggregated boosted tree (ABT), and logistic regression (LR)) and four machine learning algorithms (random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), classification and regression tree (CART), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost)). Then, the optimal combinations of FS and machine learning algorithms suited for object-oriented classification of betel palms and mango plantations were explored using VHR Gaofen-2 imagery. In terms of overall accuracy, all optimal classification schemes exceeded 80%, and the classifiers using selected features increased the overall accuracy between 1% and 4% compared with classification without FS methods. Specifically, LR was appropriate to RF and SVM classifiers, which produced the highest classification accuracy (89.1% and 89.88% for RF and SVM, respectively). In contrast, ABT and ReliefF were found to be suitable FS methods for CART and AdaBoost classifiers, respectively. Overall, all four optimal combinations of FS methods and classifiers could precisely recognize mango plantations, whereas betel palms were best depicted by using the RF-LR method with 26 features. The results indicated that combination of feature selection and machine learning algorithms contributed to the object-oriented classification of complex tropical crops using Gaofen-2 imagery, which provide a useful methodological reference for precisely recognizing small tropical agricultural patterns.

Using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer-normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) dataset, we analyzed the predicted NDVI values variation and the influence of human activities on vegetation on Hainan Island during 2001-2015. We investigated the roles of human activities in vegetation variation, particularly from 2002 when implemented the Grain-for-Greenprogram on Hainan Island. The trend analysis, linear regression model and residual analysis were used to analyze the data. The results of the study showed that (1) The predicted vegetation on Hainan Island showed an general upward trend with a linear growth rate of 0.0025/10y (p<0.05) over the past 15 years. The areas where vegetation increasedaccounted for 52.28%, while the areas where vegetation decreased accounted for 47.72%. (2) The residual NDVI values across the region significantly increased, with a growth rate of 0.023/10y.The vegetation increased across 35.95% of Hainan Island, while it decreased in 20.2% of the area as a result of human activities. (3) In general, human activities had played a positive role in the vegetation increase on Hainan Island, and the residual NDVI trend of this region showed positive outcomes for vegetation variation after implementing ecological engineering projects. However, it indicated a growing risk of vegetation degradation in the coastal region of Hainan Island as a result of rapid urbanization, land reclamation.