Daegyun Lee

The vertical eddy diffusion process plays a crucial role in PM_2.5 prediction, yet accurately predicting it remains challenging. In the three-dimensional atmospheric chemistry transport model (3-D AQM) CMAQ, a parameter, Kz, is utilized, and it is known that PM_2.5 prediction tendencies vary according to the floor value of this parameter (Kz_min). This study aims to examine prediction characteristics according to Kz_min values, targeting days exceeding the Korean air quality standards, and to derive appropriate Kz_min values for predicting PM_2.5 concentrations in the DJFM Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA). Kz_min values of 0.01, 0.5, 1.0, and 2.0, based on the model version and land cover, were applied as single values. Initially focusing on December 4th to 12th, 2020, the prediction characteristics were examined during periods of local and inflow influence. Results showed that in both periods, as Kz_min increased, surface concentrations over land decreased while those in the upper atmosphere increased, whereas over the sea, concentrations increased in both layers due to the influence of advection and diffusion without emissions. During the inflow period, the increase in vertically diffused pollutants led to increased inflow concentrations and affected contribution assessments. Long-term evaluations from December 2020 to March 2021 indicated that the prediction performance was superior when Kz_min was set to 0.01, but it was not significant for the upwind region (China). To improve trans-boundary effects, optimal values were applied differentially by region (0.01 for Korea, 1.0 for China, and 0.01 for other regions), resulting in significantly improved prediction performance with an R of 0.78, IOA of 0.88, and NMB of 0.7%. These findings highlight the significant influence of Kz_min values on winter season PM_2.5 prediction tendencies in the SMA and underscore the need for considering differential application of optimal values by region when interpreting research and making policy decisions.

The impact of crop residue burning in northeastern China on South Korean PM_2.5 concentrations was assessed via weather conditions, air quality modeling (AQM), and PM_2.5 composition data during two cases exceeding 35 µg·m⁻³ in November 2015. PM_2.5 concentration simulations of Case 1 differed from observations by 3.7–17.6 µg·m⁻³, overestimating the levels by 6–36%; however, Case 2 varied by 20.0–59.8 µg·m⁻³ from observations, with a 53–91% underestimation. Case 1 was generally well simulated, whereas the Case 2 simulation failed because the emissions of crop residue burning in northeastern China, as confirmed through satellite analysis (MODIS fires and thermal anomalies) and previous research, were not considered. The portion of organic/elemental carbon ratio during Case 2 was 1.6–2.3 times higher than that of Case 1. These results suggest that it is necessary to consider the effects of crop residue burning in northeast China to establish countermeasures to improve air quality and air quality forecasting in South Korea.

We investigated the effects of wet deposition on secondary inorganic aerosols (SIAs) in urban areas by coupling the wet deposition module with the three-dimensional computational fluid dynamics atmospheric chemistry model (CFD-Chem). We developed a wet deposition model for the microscale model by improving on the global modeling initiative scheme. We evaluated the model by comparing it to the observed washout ratio from the total wet deposition. The simulated washout ratio calculated using the wet scavenging coefficient (WSC) based on the theoretical calculation is six times lower than that observed, suggesting that the wet deposition amount of SIAs from below-cloud scavenging might be underestimated. When we applied the WSC based on field measurements, the washout ratio was much improved; however, it was slightly overestimated compared to the observed rate. Therefore, we estimated the optimal WSC for SIAs in the urban area using a linear regression approach. We conducted a model using the wet deposition of SIAs in a megacity to understand the effects of wet deposition on the SIA concentration using estimated optimal WSCs. The simulated results indicate that washout processes decrease the surface aerosol concentration, showing that reductions in the average surface concentrations from washout processes were from 7.1% to 11.2%. The simulation results suggest that washout processes can reduce the particulate matter concentration in urban areas, indicating that washout processes should be considered in the microscale model, although the modeling domain can only simulate washout processes.

In this study, domestic and foreign contributions to a severe PM2.5 episode in South Korea, in which “emergency reduction measures against particulate matter” were issued, were analyzed. During the period between 27 February and 7 March in 2019 when high PM2.5 concentrations occurred, the PM2.5 concentration in the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA) in South Korea was approximately 87.3 μg/m³ on average, and a severe PM2.5 concentration level of approximately 113.4 μg/m³ was observed between 3 March and 5 March. The results of the analysis conducted using the HYSPLIT (Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) model and meteorological observation data showed that northwesterly wind or westerly winds were formed during the P1 and P3 periods when the PM2.5 concentration markedly increased. When the PM2.5 concentrations in East Asia were simulated using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ), it was found that the high PM2.5 concentrations that occurred in the SMA of South Korea were mostly affected by PM2.5 transported over long distances and following atmospheric stagnation. When the domestic and foreign contributions were evaluated using the brute-force method (BFM), the foreign and domestic contribution concentrations were found to be 62.8 and 16.8 μg/m³, respectively, during the target period of this study. It was also found that the foreign contribution was 78.8%, while the domestic contribution was 21.2%.