You Zheng

Under the guidance of carbon peak and carbon neutral targets, the industrial structure transformation is vital for carbon emissions reduction in China. However, there is a rebound effect of carbon emissions during the industrial structure transformation. Resource dependence and technological progress have significant impacts on industrial structure transformation and its carbon reduction effect. This paper explores how industrial structure transformation under resource dependence causes the rebound effect from a technological progress perspective. The key results indicate that (1) resource dependence distorts the carbon emissions reduction effect of industrial structure transformation; (2) with the development of technology, the industrial structure upgrading under resource dependence could cause an increase on carbon emissions at the beginning, but the increase would be weakened subsequently, displaying a two-stage feature; (3) the industrial structure rationalization under resource dependence reduces carbon emissions at first, but the reduction would be weakened as the technology develops, then industrial structure’s rationalization shows an insignificant impact on carbon emissions, and finally reduces carbon emissions again, presenting a four-stage characteristic; (4) environmental protection technology can correct the distortion effect of resource dependence on the industrial structure rationalization and amplify the industrial structure rationalization’s reduction effects on carbon emissions; (5) with the development of energy-saving technology, industrial structure rationalization has a paradoxical impact on carbon emissions, the industrial structure rationalization first reduces, then increases, and finally reduces carbon emissions, indicating an inverted “N” relationship. Finally, policy recommendations for carbon emissions reduction are proposed from the perspective of industrial structure transformation and technological progress.

As the world’s largest carbon emitter, China is under enormous pressure to decrease carbon emissions. With the economic development in recent years, China has increased its investment in infrastructure, and the construction industry has become an essential source of carbon emissions. Using the social network analysis (SNA) methodology, this article analyzes the evolutionary characteristics of the spatial correlation network for carbon emissions in the construction industry from 2003–2017 and its affecting factors. The results of the empirical analysis in this paper are: (1) the spatial association of carbon emissions in Chinese inter-provincial construction industry shows an intuitive network layout and the spatial network has gradually stabilized since 2014; (2) according to the results of degree centrality, betweenness centrality and closeness centrality, it can be concluded that the regions with higher level of association with other provinces are the central and the eastern regions (Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Guangdong, Jiangsu, etc.) and Xinjiang; the linkage of construction-related carbon emissions was mainly achieved through the regions of Henan, Anhui, Shanxi, Hebei, Guangdong, and Inner Mongolia; the regions with higher level of construction industry development (Jiangsu, Henan, Hunan, Guangdong, etc.) are more closely associated with other provinces; (3) geographical proximity and reduction of difference in energy intensity and in industrial structure have substantial positive effects on the carbon emission association of the construction industry. Finally, based on the research results, this article proposes corresponding policy recommendations.

Mineral resource security is the premise and foundation of the regional green rise strategy. And the adjustment of industrial structure is an effective way to relieve the pressure of the current green economy transformation. Based on the Shift-share Method and the Spatial Durbin model, this paper takes 30 regions in China from 2006 to 2017 as examples to study the impact of industrial structure adjustment on China’s green development from the perspective of mineral resource security. The empirical results show that: China is still in the process of industrial transfer. The dynamic effect of industrial structure promotes green development from the perspective of mineral resource security, while its static effect inhibits green development from the perspective of mineral resource security. The spatial spillover effect of the industrial structure affecting green development from the perspective of mineral resource security is significant. The static structural effect of the tertiary industry promotes the green development of the region, and it has a significant negative impact on neighboring areas, while the secondary industry’s static structural effect has the opposite effect.