Cristian David Correa-Álvarez
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Cristian David Correa-Álvarez has a total of 54 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Osnamir Elias Bru-Cordero
Dirección Académica, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede de La Paz, Kilómetro 9 Vía Valledupar-La Paz, Valledupar 202017, Colombia
18 shared publications - Erika María López-López
Dirección Académica, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede de La Paz, Kilómetro 9 Vía Valledupar-La Paz, Valledupar 202017, Colombia
8 shared publications - Diógenes de Jesus Ramirez-Ramirez
Departamento de Matemáticas y Estadística, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Manizales, Kilómetro 7 Vía al Aeropuerto, Manizales 170003, Colombia
5 shared publications - Julián Sánchez Corredor
Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Aplicadas, Instituto Tecnológico Metropolitano (ITM), Calle 73 No. 76A-354, Vía al Volador, Medellín 050034, Colombia
4 shared publications - Marta Luz Arango Uribe
Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Aplicadas, Instituto Tecnológico Metropolitano (ITM), Calle 73 No. 76A-354, Vía al Volador, Medellín 050034, Colombia
4 shared publications - Enrique Quiceno Rúa
Grupo de Calidad, Metrología y Producción, Instituto Tecnológico Metropolitano-ITM, Calle 73 No. 76A-354, Vía al Volador, Medellín 050034, Colombia
3 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
Comparative Performance Assessment of 4G and 5G Mobile Networks: Evidence from Municipal-Level Measurements in Colombia
This study compares 4G and 5G mobile network performance across Colombian municipalities using regulatory crowdsourced data. The dataset contains 471,800 indicator records from June 2023 through June 2026. Download speed, upload speed, latency, jitter, and packet loss were matched by municipality, operator, and reporting period. Because published values are rolling three-month means, the primary analysis uses March and June 2026, yielding 1461 complete paired observations across 634 municipalities. Geometric mean ratios with equal municipality weights and municipality-block bootstrap intervals summarize the comparisons. The 5G/4G download ratio is 1.94 (95% bootstrap interval: 1.80–2.09); the corresponding ratios are 1.19 for upload, 0.90 for latency, 0.78 for jitter, and 0.68 for packet loss. All five indicators strictly favor 5G in 38.5% of municipality-weighted observations; this share is 25.9% when each indicator must improve by at least 10%. The download ratio rises to 2.59 with equal observation weights and to 5.49 in the 69 municipalities with complete reporting for all three 5G operators at both periods. Thus, average differences favor 5G, but their magnitude varies with sample composition and weighting, and improvements are not uniform across indicators. The findings describe a first-half-2026 performance snapshot, not causal deployment effects or long-term evolution; second-quarter data remain preliminary.
Open AccessComparative Performance Assessment of 4G and 5G Mobile Networks: Evidence from Municipal-Level Measurements in Colombia
This study compares 4G and 5G mobile network performance across Colombian municipalities using regulatory crowdsourced data. The dataset contains 471,800 indicator records from June 2023 through June 2026. Download speed, upload speed, latency, jitter, and packet loss were matched by municipality, operator, and reporting period. Because published values are rolling three-month means, the primary analysis uses March and June 2026, yielding 1461 complete paired observations across 634 municipalities. Geometric mean ratios with equal municipality weights and municipality-block bootstrap intervals summarize the comparisons. The 5G/4G download ratio is 1.94 (95% bootstrap interval: 1.80–2.09); the corresponding ratios are 1.19 for upload, 0.90 for latency, 0.78 for jitter, and 0.68 for packet loss. All five indicators strictly favor 5G in 38.5% of municipality-weighted observations; this share is 25.9% when each indicator must improve by at least 10%. The download ratio rises to 2.59 with equal observation weights and to 5.49 in the 69 municipalities with complete reporting for all three 5G operators at both periods. Thus, average differences favor 5G, but their magnitude varies with sample composition and weighting, and improvements are not uniform across indicators. The findings describe a first-half-2026 performance snapshot, not causal deployment effects or long-term evolution; second-quarter data remain preliminary.
- Open Access
- 5 November 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Urban Science
- Vol. 10 (11) , 637
Urban Work-Zone Safety Beyond Crash Counts: A Source-Audited Analysis of Sign Loss and Corridor Monitoring in Medellín
Urban work-zone safety monitoring requires integrating operational records with road-incident information collected through different reporting systems. This study examines sign loss, data-source compatibility, and monthly associations between operational indicators and corridor-level incidents along Carrera 62 in Medellín, Colombia. A retrospective longitudinal observational design was applied to records covering November 2023–February 2025. The analysis included 288 supervision entries recorded on 278 dates, 96 sign-loss records representing 137 recorded stolen units, and incident summaries available for 13 of the 16 study months. The available monthly summaries contained 371 incidents, while three months with unavailable information were retained as missing rather than treated as zero. Recorded sign loss showed a positive monthly association with corridor incidents (Spearman ; unadjusted ), although the association weakened after Holm adjustment (). Supervision-entry count was negatively associated with incident counts (), whereas the nighttime share of supervision entries showed a positive association (). A paired-month bootstrap for the sign-loss association yielded a 95% percentile interval from to , and adjacent-month changes did not reproduce the positive relationship observed in the level-based comparison. Because traffic and pedestrian exposure, date-specific work-front records, and the event-level incident extract were unavailable, the analysis focuses on what the archived records can support for safety monitoring rather than on estimating exposure-adjusted risk or causal effects of roadworks or temporary traffic management. The findings highlight the importance of traceable data sources, dated work-front locations, explicit data-availability coding, exposure measures, and sign-restoration times for strengthening safety monitoring in urban work zones.- 5 November 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Urban Science
- Vol. 10 (11) , 637
Open AccessUrban Work-Zone Safety Beyond Crash Counts: A Source-Audited Analysis of Sign Loss and Corridor Monitoring in Medellín
Urban work-zone safety monitoring requires integrating operational records with road-incident information collected through different reporting systems. This study examines sign loss, data-source compatibility, and monthly associations between operational indicators and corridor-level incidents along Carrera 62 in Medellín, Colombia. A retrospective longitudinal observational design was applied to records covering November 2023–February 2025. The analysis included 288 supervision entries recorded on 278 dates, 96 sign-loss records representing 137 recorded stolen units, and incident summaries available for 13 of the 16 study months. The available monthly summaries contained 371 incidents, while three months with unavailable information were retained as missing rather than treated as zero. Recorded sign loss showed a positive monthly association with corridor incidents (Spearman ; unadjusted ), although the association weakened after Holm adjustment (). Supervision-entry count was negatively associated with incident counts (), whereas the nighttime share of supervision entries showed a positive association (). A paired-month bootstrap for the sign-loss association yielded a 95% percentile interval from to , and adjacent-month changes did not reproduce the positive relationship observed in the level-based comparison. Because traffic and pedestrian exposure, date-specific work-front records, and the event-level incident extract were unavailable, the analysis focuses on what the archived records can support for safety monitoring rather than on estimating exposure-adjusted risk or causal effects of roadworks or temporary traffic management. The findings highlight the importance of traceable data sources, dated work-front locations, explicit data-availability coding, exposure measures, and sign-restoration times for strengthening safety monitoring in urban work zones. - Open Access
- 9 October 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Journal of Intelligence
- Vol. 14 (10) , 250
Learning Preference Profiles and Visual Narratives in Higher Education: Relevance to Human Intelligence Research
University students differ in how they approach unfamiliar information, yet learning-style labels provide a weak basis for matching instruction to individuals. This study examined learning preference profiles and visual narratives in higher education, considering their relevance and limits for human intelligence research. A convergent mixed-methods secondary analysis included 144 complete questionnaire records and 12 interpretable drawings at a Colombian public university. The adapted 80-item instrument used five response categories, with Frequently and Always counted as endorsements. Reflective scores were highest, followed by Theoretical, Pragmatic, and Active scores (, ; Kendall’s ). The analytic composite exceeded the action-oriented composite (, ). This ordering persisted across four scoring representations, although effect sizes and tied maxima varied. Drawings mainly represented learning through direction, staged progress, obstacles, and internal processing. Missing participant explanations, incomplete coding records, and absent participant-level linkage restricted integration to exploratory descriptive comparison. The study offers methodological considerations for human intelligence research by distinguishing descriptive patterns from claims about cognitive capacities. Neither intelligence nor metacognitive performance was assessed, and instructional implications remain hypotheses requiring prospective evaluation.- 9 October 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Journal of Intelligence
- Vol. 14 (10) , 250
Open AccessLearning Preference Profiles and Visual Narratives in Higher Education: Relevance to Human Intelligence Research
University students differ in how they approach unfamiliar information, yet learning-style labels provide a weak basis for matching instruction to individuals. This study examined learning preference profiles and visual narratives in higher education, considering their relevance and limits for human intelligence research. A convergent mixed-methods secondary analysis included 144 complete questionnaire records and 12 interpretable drawings at a Colombian public university. The adapted 80-item instrument used five response categories, with Frequently and Always counted as endorsements. Reflective scores were highest, followed by Theoretical, Pragmatic, and Active scores (, ; Kendall’s ). The analytic composite exceeded the action-oriented composite (, ). This ordering persisted across four scoring representations, although effect sizes and tied maxima varied. Drawings mainly represented learning through direction, staged progress, obstacles, and internal processing. Missing participant explanations, incomplete coding records, and absent participant-level linkage restricted integration to exploratory descriptive comparison. The study offers methodological considerations for human intelligence research by distinguishing descriptive patterns from claims about cognitive capacities. Neither intelligence nor metacognitive performance was assessed, and instructional implications remain hypotheses requiring prospective evaluation. - Open Access
- 17 September 2026
- Published by Universidad EIA in Revista EIA
- Vol. 23 (46) , 1-40
Desarrollo de una herramienta interactiva en R para el análisis no paramétrico de asociaciones en datos experimentales de ingeniería aplicada
Este artículo presenta una herramienta metodológica diseñada para el cálculo e interpretación de coeficientes de correlación no paramétricos, orientada a profesionales y estudiantes sin formación estadística formal que requieren analizar asociaciones entre variables en contextos donde no se cumplen los supuestos de normalidad. La propuesta abarca la descripción detallada de los principales coeficientes no paramétricos utilizados en estadística aplicada (Spearman, Kendall, Gamma, Lambda, C de Cramér, Phi y Somers D), incluyendo sus fundamentos teóricos, criterios de aplicabilidad y las condiciones que determinan su uso adecuado. Como parte del desarrollo metodológico, se implementaron estos coeficientes en el lenguaje de programación R, acompañados de ejemplos prácticos con su respectivo código y la creación de una aplicación interactiva en Shiny. Esta aplicación permite al usuario cargar archivos, seleccionar variables y visualizar resultados sin necesidad de conocimientos en programación, lo que amplía su accesibilidad en entornos multidisciplinarios. Para validar la herramienta, se llevaron a cabo estudios de caso en distintos campos, entre ellos un análisis en ingeniería de materiales, en el que se identificó una relación inversa entre la dureza y la resistencia al desgaste en piezas metálicas sometidas a tratamiento térmico. Los resultados obtenidos evidencian que la elección del coeficiente de correlación incide de manera significativa en las conclusiones del análisis, especialmente cuando se trabaja con datos no normales o escalas categóricas. Se concluye que el enfoque no paramétrico constituye una alternativa robusta para el análisis de asociaciones, y que la herramienta propuesta facilita su aplicación en investigaciones técnicas, educativas y científicas que requieren rigor metodológico sin complejidad computacional.
- 17 September 2026
- Published by Universidad EIA in Revista EIA
- Vol. 23 (46) , 1-40
Open AccessDesarrollo de una herramienta interactiva en R para el análisis no paramétrico de asociaciones en datos experimentales de ingeniería aplicada
Este artículo presenta una herramienta metodológica diseñada para el cálculo e interpretación de coeficientes de correlación no paramétricos, orientada a profesionales y estudiantes sin formación estadística formal que requieren analizar asociaciones entre variables en contextos donde no se cumplen los supuestos de normalidad. La propuesta abarca la descripción detallada de los principales coeficientes no paramétricos utilizados en estadística aplicada (Spearman, Kendall, Gamma, Lambda, C de Cramér, Phi y Somers D), incluyendo sus fundamentos teóricos, criterios de aplicabilidad y las condiciones que determinan su uso adecuado. Como parte del desarrollo metodológico, se implementaron estos coeficientes en el lenguaje de programación R, acompañados de ejemplos prácticos con su respectivo código y la creación de una aplicación interactiva en Shiny. Esta aplicación permite al usuario cargar archivos, seleccionar variables y visualizar resultados sin necesidad de conocimientos en programación, lo que amplía su accesibilidad en entornos multidisciplinarios. Para validar la herramienta, se llevaron a cabo estudios de caso en distintos campos, entre ellos un análisis en ingeniería de materiales, en el que se identificó una relación inversa entre la dureza y la resistencia al desgaste en piezas metálicas sometidas a tratamiento térmico. Los resultados obtenidos evidencian que la elección del coeficiente de correlación incide de manera significativa en las conclusiones del análisis, especialmente cuando se trabaja con datos no normales o escalas categóricas. Se concluye que el enfoque no paramétrico constituye una alternativa robusta para el análisis de asociaciones, y que la herramienta propuesta facilita su aplicación en investigaciones técnicas, educativas y científicas que requieren rigor metodológico sin complejidad computacional.
- Open Access
- 17 September 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Sustainability
- Vol. 18 (18) , 9539
Environmental Degradation and Sustainability Governance in Colombia: An Integrative Review
Environmental degradation in Colombia is often studied through separate sectoral lenses, although air pollution, emerging water contaminants, urban noise, mining-related soil contamination, artisanal-mining exposure, and material throughput arise from overlapping institutional and economic conditions. This review compares these domains to identify how environmental-health protection, social equity, resource use, and implementation capacity can inform sustainability governance. A structured integrative synthesis of 62 peer-reviewed, institutional, and conceptual sources organized evidence into cross-domain matrices and six ordinal dimensions: structural entrenchment, human-health burden, ecological propagation, persistence, financing attribution, and implementation complexity. A pattern was treated as convergent when it recurred in at least four domains and retained its meaning under a three-domain sensitivity threshold. Four convergences were identified: lock-in in mobility, production, and livelihood systems; coupled health–ecosystem effects; disproportionate exposure under informality and territorial inequality; and the need for policy portfolios rather than single instruments. Three divergences shaped feasible action: flow versus stock pollution, short versus long response horizons, and concentrated versus diffuse financing responsibility. The synthesis supports a proposed dual-track framework. Immediate measures prioritize source control, surveillance, safer work, and protection of exposed populations; longer-term measures address clean infrastructure, remediation, and the redesign of production and consumption. The profiles, horizons, and portfolio shares are interpretive planning tools, not measured effects, aggregate rankings, or optimized allocations. The contribution is the integration of established governance concepts into a Colombian comparison that connects urgent exposure reduction with equitable, sustained environmental improvement.
- 17 September 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Sustainability
- Vol. 18 (18) , 9539
Open AccessEnvironmental Degradation and Sustainability Governance in Colombia: An Integrative Review
Environmental degradation in Colombia is often studied through separate sectoral lenses, although air pollution, emerging water contaminants, urban noise, mining-related soil contamination, artisanal-mining exposure, and material throughput arise from overlapping institutional and economic conditions. This review compares these domains to identify how environmental-health protection, social equity, resource use, and implementation capacity can inform sustainability governance. A structured integrative synthesis of 62 peer-reviewed, institutional, and conceptual sources organized evidence into cross-domain matrices and six ordinal dimensions: structural entrenchment, human-health burden, ecological propagation, persistence, financing attribution, and implementation complexity. A pattern was treated as convergent when it recurred in at least four domains and retained its meaning under a three-domain sensitivity threshold. Four convergences were identified: lock-in in mobility, production, and livelihood systems; coupled health–ecosystem effects; disproportionate exposure under informality and territorial inequality; and the need for policy portfolios rather than single instruments. Three divergences shaped feasible action: flow versus stock pollution, short versus long response horizons, and concentrated versus diffuse financing responsibility. The synthesis supports a proposed dual-track framework. Immediate measures prioritize source control, surveillance, safer work, and protection of exposed populations; longer-term measures address clean infrastructure, remediation, and the redesign of production and consumption. The profiles, horizons, and portfolio shares are interpretive planning tools, not measured effects, aggregate rankings, or optimized allocations. The contribution is the integration of established governance concepts into a Colombian comparison that connects urgent exposure reduction with equitable, sustained environmental improvement.
- Open Access
- 16 September 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Trends in Higher Education
- Vol. 5 (3) , 101
Exploratory Evidence on ChatGPT Adoption Among Undergraduate Engineering Students in Medellín, Colombia: A 2023 Logistic Regression and a 2025 Descriptive Pilot
Evidence on generative artificial intelligence adoption remains limited in Latin American engineering education, particularly for undergraduate populations in which paid employment may shape study practices. This exploratory study examined reported ChatGPT (GPT-4o model) use among students enrolled in two undergraduate engineering programs at the Instituto Tecnológico Metropolitano in Medellín, Colombia. Technology Acceptance Model and Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology research were used as background literature; their core constructs were not measured or tested. The primary 2023 analytic file contained 64 complete records, including 41 “yes” and 23 “no” responses to the direct-use item. Descriptive statistics and a prespecified binary logistic regression evaluated associations with age, gender, and employment status. Age was negatively associated with reported use (odds ratio = 0.910 per year, 95% CI: 0.834–0.993; ). No statistically significant association was detected for gender () or employment status (), and the wide confidence intervals preclude conclusions of no effect. The apparent AUC was 0.719 (95% CI: 0.589–0.849). A separate 2025 pilot (), based on an expanded questionnaire and an independent convenience sample, was analyzed descriptively and not as a replication. In that pilot, all respondents selected ChatGPT, 93.3% selected Gemini (Gemini 2.5 Flash model), and 53.3% selected Copilot (powered by OpenAI’s GPT-4o model); the most frequent activities were writing-related support (63.3%) and both idea generation and concept explanation (60.0% each). The findings provide context-specific, hypothesis-generating evidence and support larger multi-institutional studies that directly measure acceptance constructs, use intensity, verification behavior, and educational outcomes.- 16 September 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Trends in Higher Education
- Vol. 5 (3) , 101
Open AccessExploratory Evidence on ChatGPT Adoption Among Undergraduate Engineering Students in Medellín, Colombia: A 2023 Logistic Regression and a 2025 Descriptive Pilot
Evidence on generative artificial intelligence adoption remains limited in Latin American engineering education, particularly for undergraduate populations in which paid employment may shape study practices. This exploratory study examined reported ChatGPT (GPT-4o model) use among students enrolled in two undergraduate engineering programs at the Instituto Tecnológico Metropolitano in Medellín, Colombia. Technology Acceptance Model and Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology research were used as background literature; their core constructs were not measured or tested. The primary 2023 analytic file contained 64 complete records, including 41 “yes” and 23 “no” responses to the direct-use item. Descriptive statistics and a prespecified binary logistic regression evaluated associations with age, gender, and employment status. Age was negatively associated with reported use (odds ratio = 0.910 per year, 95% CI: 0.834–0.993; ). No statistically significant association was detected for gender () or employment status (), and the wide confidence intervals preclude conclusions of no effect. The apparent AUC was 0.719 (95% CI: 0.589–0.849). A separate 2025 pilot (), based on an expanded questionnaire and an independent convenience sample, was analyzed descriptively and not as a replication. In that pilot, all respondents selected ChatGPT, 93.3% selected Gemini (Gemini 2.5 Flash model), and 53.3% selected Copilot (powered by OpenAI’s GPT-4o model); the most frequent activities were writing-related support (63.3%) and both idea generation and concept explanation (60.0% each). The findings provide context-specific, hypothesis-generating evidence and support larger multi-institutional studies that directly measure acceptance constructs, use intensity, verification behavior, and educational outcomes. - Open Access
- 26 August 2026
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Cogent Education
- Vol. 13 (1)
Socioeconomic and academic correlates of dropout intention in higher education: Cross-sectional evidence from a colombian public university
Student retention has become a central concern for higher education systems because it relates directly to access, equity, academic quality, and institutional efficiency. When students leave before...
- 26 August 2026
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Cogent Education
- Vol. 13 (1)
Open AccessSocioeconomic and academic correlates of dropout intention in higher education: Cross-sectional evidence from a colombian public university
Student retention has become a central concern for higher education systems because it relates directly to access, equity, academic quality, and institutional efficiency. When students leave before...
- Open Access
A Georeferenced Dataset of Electromagnetic Field Exposure Measurements in Colombia
This Data Descriptor presents a georeferenced dataset of electromagnetic-field exposure measurements collected in Colombia between 2 November 2023 and 30 June 2024. The records originate from the Sistema de Monitoreo de Campos of the Agencia Nacional del Espectro (ANE), which uses isotropic probes to monitor broadband radiofrequency electromagnetic fields from 100 kHz to 8 GHz and reports six-minute averages of incident power density in W/m2. The comma-separated value file contains 1,286,346 timestamped records and seven source variables, including Well-Known Text (WKT) point geometry. The principal 2024 subset comprises 995,238 records from 24 monitoring stations. We provide a reproducible workflow for timestamp and coordinate parsing, structural and numeric validation, station-level aggregation, and spatial sensitivity analysis using inverse distance weighting with the mean, median, and 95th percentile. The dataset does not provide frequency-resolved measurements, calibration certificates, or measurement-uncertainty budgets; these omissions limit the use of the public file for formal regulatory-compliance assessment. The accompanying repository includes validated station-level summaries, descriptive tables, figures, and reproducible R code. The package supports environmental monitoring, geospatial analysis, methodological comparison, and reproducible reuse of electromagnetic-field exposure data.
Open AccessA Georeferenced Dataset of Electromagnetic Field Exposure Measurements in Colombia
This Data Descriptor presents a georeferenced dataset of electromagnetic-field exposure measurements collected in Colombia between 2 November 2023 and 30 June 2024. The records originate from the Sistema de Monitoreo de Campos of the Agencia Nacional del Espectro (ANE), which uses isotropic probes to monitor broadband radiofrequency electromagnetic fields from 100 kHz to 8 GHz and reports six-minute averages of incident power density in W/m2. The comma-separated value file contains 1,286,346 timestamped records and seven source variables, including Well-Known Text (WKT) point geometry. The principal 2024 subset comprises 995,238 records from 24 monitoring stations. We provide a reproducible workflow for timestamp and coordinate parsing, structural and numeric validation, station-level aggregation, and spatial sensitivity analysis using inverse distance weighting with the mean, median, and 95th percentile. The dataset does not provide frequency-resolved measurements, calibration certificates, or measurement-uncertainty budgets; these omissions limit the use of the public file for formal regulatory-compliance assessment. The accompanying repository includes validated station-level summaries, descriptive tables, figures, and reproducible R code. The package supports environmental monitoring, geospatial analysis, methodological comparison, and reproducible reuse of electromagnetic-field exposure data.
- Open Access
- 16 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Big Data and Cognitive Computing
- Vol. 10 (8) , 274
Benchmarking Supervised Classifiers for Concurrent Multidomain Dropout-Intention Attributions in Higher Education: Evidence from a Colombian Public University
Student retention analytics often treats withdrawal as a single outcome, although students may attribute dropout intention to personal, socioeconomic, and academic pressures simultaneously. We benchmarked nine supervised classifiers for identifying a concurrent three-domain attribution profile in a cross-sectional survey of 333 undergraduates at a Colombian public university campus. The response came from a semi-structured weight-allocation item; an audit found that literal label matching altered 21 classifications because of spelling variants and decimal notation. Nine classifiers—logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, neural network, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, k-nearest neighbors, AdaBoost, gradient boosting, and XGBoost—were fitted using six pre-specified predictors. Models were compared by repeated nested stratified cross-validation (five outer folds, three repeats), inner tuning, fold-contained preprocessing, and training-only threshold selection. The concurrent profile occurred in 256 students (76.9%). Logistic regression achieved the highest mean held-out ROC AUC (0.674, 95% CI 0.644–0.704), closely followed by random forest (0.671, 0.641–0.702); their paired difference was nonsignificant after Holm adjustment. Logistic regression had the highest F1 score (0.788), whereas random forest had the highest balanced accuracy (0.617). AdaBoost did not retain its apparent single-holdout advantage. Housing and financial aid had the largest held-out permutation importance. The predictors provided moderate discrimination of a perceptual profile, not a validated prediction of future dropout. Outcome auditing and leakage-free validation materially changed the model ranking.
- 16 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Big Data and Cognitive Computing
- Vol. 10 (8) , 274
Open AccessBenchmarking Supervised Classifiers for Concurrent Multidomain Dropout-Intention Attributions in Higher Education: Evidence from a Colombian Public University
Student retention analytics often treats withdrawal as a single outcome, although students may attribute dropout intention to personal, socioeconomic, and academic pressures simultaneously. We benchmarked nine supervised classifiers for identifying a concurrent three-domain attribution profile in a cross-sectional survey of 333 undergraduates at a Colombian public university campus. The response came from a semi-structured weight-allocation item; an audit found that literal label matching altered 21 classifications because of spelling variants and decimal notation. Nine classifiers—logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, neural network, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, k-nearest neighbors, AdaBoost, gradient boosting, and XGBoost—were fitted using six pre-specified predictors. Models were compared by repeated nested stratified cross-validation (five outer folds, three repeats), inner tuning, fold-contained preprocessing, and training-only threshold selection. The concurrent profile occurred in 256 students (76.9%). Logistic regression achieved the highest mean held-out ROC AUC (0.674, 95% CI 0.644–0.704), closely followed by random forest (0.671, 0.641–0.702); their paired difference was nonsignificant after Holm adjustment. Logistic regression had the highest F1 score (0.788), whereas random forest had the highest balanced accuracy (0.617). AdaBoost did not retain its apparent single-holdout advantage. Housing and financial aid had the largest held-out permutation importance. The predictors provided moderate discrimination of a perceptual profile, not a validated prediction of future dropout. Outcome auditing and leakage-free validation materially changed the model ranking.
- Open Access
- 13 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Computation
- Vol. 14 (8) , 186
Recovering Latent Association from Likert-Type Responses: A Monte Carlo Comparison of Pearson, Spearman, Kendall, and Polychoric Correlations Under Discretization, Response Perturbation, and Gumbel-Copula Dependence
Likert-type responses are often analyzed as continuous scores, although their categories are ordered rather than truly metric. This study uses Monte Carlo simulation to examine how ordinal discretization, response perturbation, and non-Gaussian dependence affect four association estimators: Pearson correlation, Spearman correlation, Kendall’s , and latent-normal polychoric correlation. In the main latent-normal design, bivariate normal variables with known correlations were discretized into 3-, 5-, and 7-category scales using equal-probability thresholds, with and 200 replications per scenario. Responses were either left unchanged or modified by adjacent-category error and central-tendency shifts. A complementary Gumbel-copula extension used , 1500 replications, categories, and upper-tail dependence at Kendall’s . In the unperturbed latent-normal setting, Pearson and Spearman underestimated the latent association, especially with three categories, whereas the polychoric estimator closely recovered the latent correlation. Under response perturbation, this advantage weakened; at , , and 20% adjacent error, polychoric bias increased to . In the Gumbel design, the preferred estimator changed because the target changed: Kendall’s showed the smallest bias and mean squared error for copula-scale dependence, while polychoric correlation returned larger Pearson-type latent associations and overestimated . Overall, Pearson may be reasonable for many-category, symmetric observed-score questions; polychoric correlation is preferable when latent-normal assumptions are plausible; and Kendall’s is the natural choice for ordinal concordance or copula-scale dependence.- 13 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Computation
- Vol. 14 (8) , 186
Open AccessRecovering Latent Association from Likert-Type Responses: A Monte Carlo Comparison of Pearson, Spearman, Kendall, and Polychoric Correlations Under Discretization, Response Perturbation, and Gumbel-Copula Dependence
Likert-type responses are often analyzed as continuous scores, although their categories are ordered rather than truly metric. This study uses Monte Carlo simulation to examine how ordinal discretization, response perturbation, and non-Gaussian dependence affect four association estimators: Pearson correlation, Spearman correlation, Kendall’s , and latent-normal polychoric correlation. In the main latent-normal design, bivariate normal variables with known correlations were discretized into 3-, 5-, and 7-category scales using equal-probability thresholds, with and 200 replications per scenario. Responses were either left unchanged or modified by adjacent-category error and central-tendency shifts. A complementary Gumbel-copula extension used , 1500 replications, categories, and upper-tail dependence at Kendall’s . In the unperturbed latent-normal setting, Pearson and Spearman underestimated the latent association, especially with three categories, whereas the polychoric estimator closely recovered the latent correlation. Under response perturbation, this advantage weakened; at , , and 20% adjacent error, polychoric bias increased to . In the Gumbel design, the preferred estimator changed because the target changed: Kendall’s showed the smallest bias and mean squared error for copula-scale dependence, while polychoric correlation returned larger Pearson-type latent associations and overestimated . Overall, Pearson may be reasonable for many-category, symmetric observed-score questions; polychoric correlation is preferable when latent-normal assumptions are plausible; and Kendall’s is the natural choice for ordinal concordance or copula-scale dependence.