Carol Freeman
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Research Subjects
Carol Freeman has a total of 137 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Linda D. Sharples
Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
9 shared publications - Andrew McCarthy
Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 8ST, UK
4 shared publications - Chris Todd
School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
4 shared publications - Colin Bicknell
Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK
4 shared publications - Priya Sastry
Department of Cardiac Surgery, John Radcliffe Hospital , Oxford
4 shared publications - Andrew Cook
Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
3 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 8 February 2025
- Published by Elsevier in Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
- Vol. 181, 111714
Trial emulation to assess the effect of surgery on survival when there are competing risks, with application to patients with thoracic aortic aneurysms
- 8 February 2025
- Published by Elsevier in Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
- Vol. 181, 111714
Open AccessTrial emulation to assess the effect of surgery on survival when there are competing risks, with application to patients with thoracic aortic aneurysms
- Open Access
- 30 August 2024
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in British Journal of Surgery
- Vol. 111 (9)
Longitudinal health-related quality of life in people with thoracic aortic aneurysms
Surgical intervention for thoracic aortic aneurysms is high risk. Understanding changes in health-related quality of life before and after endovascular stent grafting and open surgical repair can aid treatment decision-making. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (‘ETTAA’) study (ISRCTN04044627) was a longitudinal, observational study. Adults with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms greater than or equal to 4 cm in diameter were followed from 2014 to 2022. Five domains of health-related quality of life (Mobility, Self-Care, Usual Activities, Pain/Discomfort, and Anxiety/Depression) were recorded using the EuroQoL, five dimensions, five levels (‘EQ-5D-5L’) questionnaire and analysed using a range of longitudinal mixed models. Of 886 thoracic aortic aneurysm participants, 824 completed at least 2 questionnaires. Patients had slightly worse health-related quality of life than age-matched norms. Without surgery, deterioration occurred over time in Mobility (0.072/year (95% c.i. 0.042 to 0.101), P < 0.001) and Self-Care (0.039/year (95% c.i. 0.018 to 0.061), P < 0.001) in both sexes and Pain/Discomfort in women (0.069/year (95% c.i. 0.020 to 0.118), P = 0.005). For 6 weeks after endovascular stent grafting, there was a significant impairment in Self-Care (0.214 (95% c.i. 0.112 to 0.316), P < 0.001) and (for women only) in Usual Activities (0.625 (95% c.i. 0.338 to 0.911), P < 0.001), which then returned to pre-endovascular stent grafting levels. Six weeks after open surgical repair, the impairment in health-related quality of life was greater (Mobility 0.492 (95% c.i. 0.314 to 0.669), Self-Care 0.474 (95% c.i. 0.364 to 0.583), Usual Activities 1.469 (95% c.i. 1.042 to 1.896), and Pain/Discomfort 0.561 (95% c.i. 0.363 to 0.760), all P < 0.001) and took longer to return to pre-open surgical repair levels, partly due to increased complications and longer hospitalization. Anxiety/Depression decreased after open surgical repair (−0.214 (95% c.i. −0.326 to −0.101), P < 0.001). Age, sex, frailty, smoking, New York Heart Association class, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were significantly associated with health-related quality of life. Without intervention, health-related quality of life declines as age increases. Changes in health-related quality of life should contribute to surgical treatment decision-making.
- 30 August 2024
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in British Journal of Surgery
- Vol. 111 (9)
Open AccessLongitudinal health-related quality of life in people with thoracic aortic aneurysms
Surgical intervention for thoracic aortic aneurysms is high risk. Understanding changes in health-related quality of life before and after endovascular stent grafting and open surgical repair can aid treatment decision-making. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (‘ETTAA’) study (ISRCTN04044627) was a longitudinal, observational study. Adults with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms greater than or equal to 4 cm in diameter were followed from 2014 to 2022. Five domains of health-related quality of life (Mobility, Self-Care, Usual Activities, Pain/Discomfort, and Anxiety/Depression) were recorded using the EuroQoL, five dimensions, five levels (‘EQ-5D-5L’) questionnaire and analysed using a range of longitudinal mixed models. Of 886 thoracic aortic aneurysm participants, 824 completed at least 2 questionnaires. Patients had slightly worse health-related quality of life than age-matched norms. Without surgery, deterioration occurred over time in Mobility (0.072/year (95% c.i. 0.042 to 0.101), P < 0.001) and Self-Care (0.039/year (95% c.i. 0.018 to 0.061), P < 0.001) in both sexes and Pain/Discomfort in women (0.069/year (95% c.i. 0.020 to 0.118), P = 0.005). For 6 weeks after endovascular stent grafting, there was a significant impairment in Self-Care (0.214 (95% c.i. 0.112 to 0.316), P < 0.001) and (for women only) in Usual Activities (0.625 (95% c.i. 0.338 to 0.911), P < 0.001), which then returned to pre-endovascular stent grafting levels. Six weeks after open surgical repair, the impairment in health-related quality of life was greater (Mobility 0.492 (95% c.i. 0.314 to 0.669), Self-Care 0.474 (95% c.i. 0.364 to 0.583), Usual Activities 1.469 (95% c.i. 1.042 to 1.896), and Pain/Discomfort 0.561 (95% c.i. 0.363 to 0.760), all P < 0.001) and took longer to return to pre-open surgical repair levels, partly due to increased complications and longer hospitalization. Anxiety/Depression decreased after open surgical repair (−0.214 (95% c.i. −0.326 to −0.101), P < 0.001). Age, sex, frailty, smoking, New York Heart Association class, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were significantly associated with health-related quality of life. Without intervention, health-related quality of life declines as age increases. Changes in health-related quality of life should contribute to surgical treatment decision-making.
- Open Access
- 2 August 2024
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in British Journal of Surgery
- Vol. 111 (8)
Inequalities for women diagnosed with distal arch and descending thoracic aortic aneurysms: results from the Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA) cohort study
Women with thoracic aortic aneurysms within the arch or descending thoracic aorta have poorer survival than men. Sex differences in relative thoracic aortic aneurysm size may account for some of the discrepancy. The aim of this study was to explore whether basing clinical management on aneurysm size index (maximum aneurysm diameter/body surface area) rather than aneurysm size can restore equality of survival by sex. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA; ISRCTN04044627) study was a prospective, observational cohort study. Adults referred to National Health Service hospitals in England with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aorta aneurysms greater than or equal to 4 cm in diameter were followed from March 2014 to March 2022. Baseline characteristics and survival to intervention and overall were compared for men and women. Survival models were used to assess the association between all-cause survival and sex, with and without adjustment for aneurysm diameter or aneurysm size index. A total of 886 thoracic aortic aneurysm patients were recruited: 321 (36.2%) women and 565 (63.8%) men. The mean(s.d.) aneurysm diameter was the same for women and men (5.7(1.1) versus 5.7(1.2) cm respectively; P = 0.751), but the mean(s.d.) aneurysm size index was greater for women than for men (3.32(0.80) versus 2.83(0.63) respectively; P < 0.001). Women had significantly worse survival without intervention: 110 (34.3%) women and 135 (23.9%) men (log rank test, P < 0.001). All-cause mortality remained greater for women after adjustment for diameter (HR 1.65 (95% c.i. 1.35 to 2.02); P < 0.001), but was attenuated after adjustment for aneurysm size index (HR 1.11 (95% c.i. 0.89 to 1.38); P = 0.359). Similar results were found for all follow-up, with or without intervention, and findings were consistent for descending thoracic aorta aneurysms alone. Guidelines for referral to specialist services should consider including aneurysm size index rather than diameter to reduce inequity due to patient sex.
- 2 August 2024
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in British Journal of Surgery
- Vol. 111 (8)
Open AccessInequalities for women diagnosed with distal arch and descending thoracic aortic aneurysms: results from the Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA) cohort study
Women with thoracic aortic aneurysms within the arch or descending thoracic aorta have poorer survival than men. Sex differences in relative thoracic aortic aneurysm size may account for some of the discrepancy. The aim of this study was to explore whether basing clinical management on aneurysm size index (maximum aneurysm diameter/body surface area) rather than aneurysm size can restore equality of survival by sex. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA; ISRCTN04044627) study was a prospective, observational cohort study. Adults referred to National Health Service hospitals in England with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aorta aneurysms greater than or equal to 4 cm in diameter were followed from March 2014 to March 2022. Baseline characteristics and survival to intervention and overall were compared for men and women. Survival models were used to assess the association between all-cause survival and sex, with and without adjustment for aneurysm diameter or aneurysm size index. A total of 886 thoracic aortic aneurysm patients were recruited: 321 (36.2%) women and 565 (63.8%) men. The mean(s.d.) aneurysm diameter was the same for women and men (5.7(1.1) versus 5.7(1.2) cm respectively; P = 0.751), but the mean(s.d.) aneurysm size index was greater for women than for men (3.32(0.80) versus 2.83(0.63) respectively; P < 0.001). Women had significantly worse survival without intervention: 110 (34.3%) women and 135 (23.9%) men (log rank test, P < 0.001). All-cause mortality remained greater for women after adjustment for diameter (HR 1.65 (95% c.i. 1.35 to 2.02); P < 0.001), but was attenuated after adjustment for aneurysm size index (HR 1.11 (95% c.i. 0.89 to 1.38); P = 0.359). Similar results were found for all follow-up, with or without intervention, and findings were consistent for descending thoracic aorta aneurysms alone. Guidelines for referral to specialist services should consider including aneurysm size index rather than diameter to reduce inequity due to patient sex.
- 1 January 2022
- Published by National Institute for Health and Care Research in Health Technology Assessment
- Vol. 26 (6) , 1-166
Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement for chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms: a systematic review and prospective cohort study
Background: The management of chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms includes conservative management, watchful waiting, endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA) study investigates timing and intervention choice. Objective: To describe pre- and post-intervention management of and outcomes for chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms. Design: A systematic review of intervention effects; a Delphi study of 360 case scenarios based on aneurysm size, location, age, operative risk and connective tissue disorders; and a prospective cohort study of growth, clinical outcomes, costs and quality of life. Setting: Thirty NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. Participants: Patients aged > 17 years who had existing or new aneurysms of ≥ 4 cm in diameter in the arch, descending or thoracoabdominal aorta. Interventions: Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement. Main outcomes: Pre-intervention aneurysm growth, pre-/post-intervention survival, clinical events, readmissions and quality of life; and descriptive statistics for costs and quality-adjusted life-years over 12 months and value of information using a propensity score-matched subsample. Results: The review identified five comparative cohort studies (endovascular stent grafting patients, n = 3955; open surgical replacement patients, n = 21,197). Pooled short-term all-cause mortality favoured endovascular stent grafting (odds ratio 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.98; no heterogeneity). Data on survival beyond 30 days were mixed. Fewer short-term complications were reported with endovascular stent grafting. The Delphi study included 20 experts (13 centres). For patients with aneurysms of ≤ 6.0 cm in diameter, watchful waiting was preferred. For patients with aneurysms of > 6.0 cm, open surgical replacement was preferred in the arch, except for elderly or high-risk patients, and in the descending aorta if patients had connective tissue disorders. Otherwise endovascular stent grafting was preferred. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited (watchful waiting, n = 489; conservative management, n = 112; endovascular stent grafting, n = 150; open surgical replacement, n = 135). Pre-intervention death rate was 8.6% per patient-year; 49.6% of deaths were aneurysm related. Death rates were higher for women (hazard ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 1.25 to 2.57; p = 0.001) and older patients (age 61–70 years: hazard ratio 2.50, 95% confidence interval 0.76 to 5.43; age 71–80 years: hazard ratio 3.49, 95% confidence interval 1.26 to 9.66; age > 80 years: hazard ratio 7.01, 95% confidence interval 2.50 to 19.62; all compared with age < 60 years, p < 0.001) and per 1-cm increase in diameter (hazard ratio 1.90, 95% confidence interval 1.65 to 2.18; p = 0.001). The results were similar for aneurysm-related deaths. Decline per year in quality of life was greater for older patients (additional change –0.013 per decade increase in age, 95% confidence interval –0.019 to –0.007; p < 0.001) and smokers (additional change for ex-smokers compared with non-smokers 0.003, 95% confidence interval –0.026 to 0.032; additional change for current smokers compared with non-smokers –0.034, 95% confidence interval –0.057 to –0.01; p = 0.004). At the time of intervention, endovascular stent grafting patients were older (age difference 7.1 years; 95% confidence interval 4.7 to 9.5 years; p < 0.001) and more likely to be smokers (75.8% vs. 66.4%; p = 0.080), have valve disease (89.9% vs. 71.6%; p < 0.0001), have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (21.3% vs. 13.3%; p = 0.087), be at New York Heart Association stage III/IV (22.3% vs. 16.0%; p = 0.217), have lower levels of haemoglobin (difference –6.8 g/l, 95% confidence interval –11.2 to –2.4 g/l; p = 0.003) and take statins (69.3% vs. 42.2%; p < 0.0001). Ten (6.7%) endovascular stent grafting and 15 (11.1%) open surgical replacement patients died within 30 days of the procedure (p = 0.2107). One-year overall survival was 82.5% (95% confidence interval 75.2% to 87.8%) after endovascular stent grafting and 79.3% (95% confidence interval 71.1% to 85.4%) after open surgical replacement. Variables affecting survival were aneurysm site, age, New York Heart Association stage and time waiting for procedure. For endovascular stent grafting, utility decreased slightly, by –0.017 (95% confidence interval –0.062 to 0.027), in the first 6 weeks. For open surgical replacement, there was a substantial decrease of –0.160 (95% confidence interval –0.199 to –0.121; p < 0.001) up to 6 weeks after the procedure. Over 12 months endovascular stent grafting was less costly, with higher quality-adjusted life-years. Formal economic analysis was unfeasible. Limitations: The study was limited by small numbers of patients receiving interventions and because only 53% of patients were suitable for both interventions. Conclusions: Small (4–6 cm) aneurysms require close observation. Larger (> 6 cm) aneurysms require intervention without delay. Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement were successful for carefully selected patients, but cost comparisons were unfeasible. The choice of intervention is well established, but the timing of intervention remains challenging. Future work: Further research should include an analysis of the risk factors for growth/rupture and long-term outcomes. Trial registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN04044627 and NCT02010892. Funding: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 26, No. 6. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.
- 1 January 2022
- Published by National Institute for Health and Care Research in Health Technology Assessment
- Vol. 26 (6) , 1-166
Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement for chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms: a systematic review and prospective cohort study
Background: The management of chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms includes conservative management, watchful waiting, endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA) study investigates timing and intervention choice. Objective: To describe pre- and post-intervention management of and outcomes for chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms. Design: A systematic review of intervention effects; a Delphi study of 360 case scenarios based on aneurysm size, location, age, operative risk and connective tissue disorders; and a prospective cohort study of growth, clinical outcomes, costs and quality of life. Setting: Thirty NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. Participants: Patients aged > 17 years who had existing or new aneurysms of ≥ 4 cm in diameter in the arch, descending or thoracoabdominal aorta. Interventions: Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement. Main outcomes: Pre-intervention aneurysm growth, pre-/post-intervention survival, clinical events, readmissions and quality of life; and descriptive statistics for costs and quality-adjusted life-years over 12 months and value of information using a propensity score-matched subsample. Results: The review identified five comparative cohort studies (endovascular stent grafting patients, n = 3955; open surgical replacement patients, n = 21,197). Pooled short-term all-cause mortality favoured endovascular stent grafting (odds ratio 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.98; no heterogeneity). Data on survival beyond 30 days were mixed. Fewer short-term complications were reported with endovascular stent grafting. The Delphi study included 20 experts (13 centres). For patients with aneurysms of ≤ 6.0 cm in diameter, watchful waiting was preferred. For patients with aneurysms of > 6.0 cm, open surgical replacement was preferred in the arch, except for elderly or high-risk patients, and in the descending aorta if patients had connective tissue disorders. Otherwise endovascular stent grafting was preferred. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited (watchful waiting, n = 489; conservative management, n = 112; endovascular stent grafting, n = 150; open surgical replacement, n = 135). Pre-intervention death rate was 8.6% per patient-year; 49.6% of deaths were aneurysm related. Death rates were higher for women (hazard ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 1.25 to 2.57; p = 0.001) and older patients (age 61–70 years: hazard ratio 2.50, 95% confidence interval 0.76 to 5.43; age 71–80 years: hazard ratio 3.49, 95% confidence interval 1.26 to 9.66; age > 80 years: hazard ratio 7.01, 95% confidence interval 2.50 to 19.62; all compared with age < 60 years, p < 0.001) and per 1-cm increase in diameter (hazard ratio 1.90, 95% confidence interval 1.65 to 2.18; p = 0.001). The results were similar for aneurysm-related deaths. Decline per year in quality of life was greater for older patients (additional change –0.013 per decade increase in age, 95% confidence interval –0.019 to –0.007; p < 0.001) and smokers (additional change for ex-smokers compared with non-smokers 0.003, 95% confidence interval –0.026 to 0.032; additional change for current smokers compared with non-smokers –0.034, 95% confidence interval –0.057 to –0.01; p = 0.004). At the time of intervention, endovascular stent grafting patients were older (age difference 7.1 years; 95% confidence interval 4.7 to 9.5 years; p < 0.001) and more likely to be smokers (75.8% vs. 66.4%; p = 0.080), have valve disease (89.9% vs. 71.6%; p < 0.0001), have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (21.3% vs. 13.3%; p = 0.087), be at New York Heart Association stage III/IV (22.3% vs. 16.0%; p = 0.217), have lower levels of haemoglobin (difference –6.8 g/l, 95% confidence interval –11.2 to –2.4 g/l; p = 0.003) and take statins (69.3% vs. 42.2%; p < 0.0001). Ten (6.7%) endovascular stent grafting and 15 (11.1%) open surgical replacement patients died within 30 days of the procedure (p = 0.2107). One-year overall survival was 82.5% (95% confidence interval 75.2% to 87.8%) after endovascular stent grafting and 79.3% (95% confidence interval 71.1% to 85.4%) after open surgical replacement. Variables affecting survival were aneurysm site, age, New York Heart Association stage and time waiting for procedure. For endovascular stent grafting, utility decreased slightly, by –0.017 (95% confidence interval –0.062 to 0.027), in the first 6 weeks. For open surgical replacement, there was a substantial decrease of –0.160 (95% confidence interval –0.199 to –0.121; p < 0.001) up to 6 weeks after the procedure. Over 12 months endovascular stent grafting was less costly, with higher quality-adjusted life-years. Formal economic analysis was unfeasible. Limitations: The study was limited by small numbers of patients receiving interventions and because only 53% of patients were suitable for both interventions. Conclusions: Small (4–6 cm) aneurysms require close observation. Larger (> 6 cm) aneurysms require intervention without delay. Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement were successful for carefully selected patients, but cost comparisons were unfeasible. The choice of intervention is well established, but the timing of intervention remains challenging. Future work: Further research should include an analysis of the risk factors for growth/rupture and long-term outcomes. Trial registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN04044627 and NCT02010892. Funding: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 26, No. 6. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.
- Open Access
- 29 November 2021
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in European Heart Journal
- Vol. 43 (25) , 2356-2369
Aneurysm growth, survival, and quality of life in untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms: the effective treatments for thoracic aortic aneurysms study
To observe, describe, and evaluate management and timing of intervention for patients with untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms. Prospective study of UK National Health Service (NHS) patients aged ≥18 years, with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms of ≥4 cm diameter, followed up until death, intervention, withdrawal, or July 2019. Outcomes were aneurysm growth, survival, quality of life (using the EQ-5D-5L utility index), and hospital admissions. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited from 30 NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. Maximum aneurysm diameter was in the descending aorta in 725 (82%) patients, growing at 0.2 cm (0.17–0.24) per year. Aneurysms of ≥4 cm in the arch increased by 0.07 cm (0.02–0.12) per year. Baseline diameter was related to age and comorbidities, and no clinical correlates of growth were found. During follow-up, 129 patients died, 64 from aneurysm-related events. Adjusting for age, sex, and New York Heart Association dyspnoea index, risk of death increased with aneurysm size at baseline [hazard ratio (HR): 1.88 (95% confidence interval: 1.64–2.16) per cm, P < 0.001] and with growth [HR: 2.02 (1.70–2.41) per cm, P < 0.001]. Hospital admissions increased with aneurysm size [relative risk: 1.21 (1.05–1.38) per cm, P = 0.008]. Quality of life decreased annually for each 10-year increase in age [–0.013 (–0.019 to –0.007), P < 0.001] and for current smoking [–0.043 (–0.064 to –0.023), P = 0.004]. Aneurysm size was not associated with change in quality of life. International guidelines should consider increasing monitoring intervals to 12 months for small aneurysms and increasing intervention thresholds. Individualized decisions about surveillance/intervention should consider age, sex, size, growth, patient characteristics, and surgical risk. Predicted incidence of an aneurysm-related event at 1 year (A) and 3 years (B) after recruitment by aneurysm size and age. One-year risk remains below 10% for aneurysms up to 7 cm for patients aged 60, 70, and 80 years.
- 29 November 2021
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in European Heart Journal
- Vol. 43 (25) , 2356-2369
Open AccessAneurysm growth, survival, and quality of life in untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms: the effective treatments for thoracic aortic aneurysms study
To observe, describe, and evaluate management and timing of intervention for patients with untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms. Prospective study of UK National Health Service (NHS) patients aged ≥18 years, with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms of ≥4 cm diameter, followed up until death, intervention, withdrawal, or July 2019. Outcomes were aneurysm growth, survival, quality of life (using the EQ-5D-5L utility index), and hospital admissions. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited from 30 NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. Maximum aneurysm diameter was in the descending aorta in 725 (82%) patients, growing at 0.2 cm (0.17–0.24) per year. Aneurysms of ≥4 cm in the arch increased by 0.07 cm (0.02–0.12) per year. Baseline diameter was related to age and comorbidities, and no clinical correlates of growth were found. During follow-up, 129 patients died, 64 from aneurysm-related events. Adjusting for age, sex, and New York Heart Association dyspnoea index, risk of death increased with aneurysm size at baseline [hazard ratio (HR): 1.88 (95% confidence interval: 1.64–2.16) per cm, P < 0.001] and with growth [HR: 2.02 (1.70–2.41) per cm, P < 0.001]. Hospital admissions increased with aneurysm size [relative risk: 1.21 (1.05–1.38) per cm, P = 0.008]. Quality of life decreased annually for each 10-year increase in age [–0.013 (–0.019 to –0.007), P < 0.001] and for current smoking [–0.043 (–0.064 to –0.023), P = 0.004]. Aneurysm size was not associated with change in quality of life. International guidelines should consider increasing monitoring intervals to 12 months for small aneurysms and increasing intervention thresholds. Individualized decisions about surveillance/intervention should consider age, sex, size, growth, patient characteristics, and surgical risk. Predicted incidence of an aneurysm-related event at 1 year (A) and 3 years (B) after recruitment by aneurysm size and age. One-year risk remains below 10% for aneurysms up to 7 cm for patients aged 60, 70, and 80 years.
- Open Access
Systematic review of endovascular stent grafting versus open surgical repair for the elective treatment of arch/descending thoracic aortic aneurysms
Objective To review comparisons of the effectiveness of endovascular stent grafting (ESG) against open surgical repair (OSR) for treatment of chronic arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAA). Design Systematic review and meta-analysis Data sources MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, WHO International Clinical Trials Routine data collection, current controlled trials, clinical trials and the NIHR portfolio were searched from January 1994 to March 2020. Eligibility criteria for selective studies All identified studies that compared ESG and OSR, including randomised controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-randomised and non-RCTs, comparative cohort studies and case–control studies matched on main outcomes were sought. Participants had to receive elective treatments for arch/descending (TAA). Studies were excluded where other thoracic aortic conditions (eg, rupture or dissection) were reported, unless results for patients receiving elective treatment for arch/descending TAA reported separately. Data extraction and synthesis Data were extracted by one reviewer and checked by another. Risk of Bias was assessed using the ROBINS-I tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using random effects. Where meta-analysis not appropriate, results were reported narratively. Results Five comparative cohort studies met inclusion criteria, reporting 3955 ESG and 21 197 OSR patients. Meta-analysis of unadjusted short-term (30 day) all-cause mortality favoured ESG (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.55 to 1.03)). Heterogeneity identified between larger and smaller studies. Sensitivity analysis of four studies including only descending TAA showed no statistical significance (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.45 to 1.18)), moderate heterogeneity. Meta-analysis of adjusted short-term all-cause mortality favoured ESG (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.98)), no heterogeneity. Longer-term (beyond 30 days) survival from all-cause mortality favoured OSR in larger studies and ESG in smaller studies. Freedom from reintervention in the longer-term favoured OSR. Studies reporting short-term non-fatal complications suggest fewer events following ESG. Conclusions There is limited and increasingly dated evidence on the comparison of ESG and OSR for treatment of arch/descending TAA. PROSPERO registration number CRD42017054565.
Open AccessSystematic review of endovascular stent grafting versus open surgical repair for the elective treatment of arch/descending thoracic aortic aneurysms
Objective To review comparisons of the effectiveness of endovascular stent grafting (ESG) against open surgical repair (OSR) for treatment of chronic arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAA). Design Systematic review and meta-analysis Data sources MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, WHO International Clinical Trials Routine data collection, current controlled trials, clinical trials and the NIHR portfolio were searched from January 1994 to March 2020. Eligibility criteria for selective studies All identified studies that compared ESG and OSR, including randomised controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-randomised and non-RCTs, comparative cohort studies and case–control studies matched on main outcomes were sought. Participants had to receive elective treatments for arch/descending (TAA). Studies were excluded where other thoracic aortic conditions (eg, rupture or dissection) were reported, unless results for patients receiving elective treatment for arch/descending TAA reported separately. Data extraction and synthesis Data were extracted by one reviewer and checked by another. Risk of Bias was assessed using the ROBINS-I tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using random effects. Where meta-analysis not appropriate, results were reported narratively. Results Five comparative cohort studies met inclusion criteria, reporting 3955 ESG and 21 197 OSR patients. Meta-analysis of unadjusted short-term (30 day) all-cause mortality favoured ESG (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.55 to 1.03)). Heterogeneity identified between larger and smaller studies. Sensitivity analysis of four studies including only descending TAA showed no statistical significance (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.45 to 1.18)), moderate heterogeneity. Meta-analysis of adjusted short-term all-cause mortality favoured ESG (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.98)), no heterogeneity. Longer-term (beyond 30 days) survival from all-cause mortality favoured OSR in larger studies and ESG in smaller studies. Freedom from reintervention in the longer-term favoured OSR. Studies reporting short-term non-fatal complications suggest fewer events following ESG. Conclusions There is limited and increasingly dated evidence on the comparison of ESG and OSR for treatment of arch/descending TAA. PROSPERO registration number CRD42017054565.
- Open Access
- 5 January 2019
- Published by BMJ in BMJ Open Respiratory Research
- Vol. 6 (1) , e000368
MesoTRAP: a feasibility study that includes a pilot clinical trial comparing video-assisted thoracoscopic partial pleurectomy decortication with indwelling pleural catheter in patients with trapped lung due to malignant pleural mesothelioma designed to address recruitment and randomisation uncertainties and sample size requirements for a phase III trial
Introduction One of the most debilitating symptoms of malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is dyspnoea caused by pleural effusion. MPM can be complicated by the presence of tumour on the visceral pleura preventing the lung from re-expanding, known as trapped lung (TL). There is currently no consensus on the best way to manage TL. One approach is insertion of an indwelling pleural catheter (IPC) under local anaesthesia. Another is video-assisted thoracoscopic partial pleurectomy/decortication (VAT-PD). Performed under general anaesthesia, VAT-PD permits surgical removal of the rind of tumour from the visceral pleura thereby allowing the lung to fully re-expand. Methods and analysis MesoTRAP is a feasibility study that includes a pilot multicentre, randomised controlled clinical trial comparing VAT-PD with IPC in patients with TL and pleural effusion due to MPM. The primary objective is to measure the SD of visual analogue scale scores for dyspnoea following randomisation and examine the patterns of change over time in each treatment group. Secondary objectives include documenting survival and adverse events, estimating the incidence and prevalence of TL in patients with MPM, examining completion of alternative forms of data capture for economic evaluation and determining the ability to randomise 38 patients in 18 months. Ethics and dissemination This study was approved by the East of England-Cambridge Central Research Ethics Committee and the Health Research Authority (reference number 16/EE/0370). We aim to publish the outputs of this work in international peer-reviewed journals compliant with an Open Access policy. Trial registration NCT03412357.
- 5 January 2019
- Published by BMJ in BMJ Open Respiratory Research
- Vol. 6 (1) , e000368
Open AccessMesoTRAP: a feasibility study that includes a pilot clinical trial comparing video-assisted thoracoscopic partial pleurectomy decortication with indwelling pleural catheter in patients with trapped lung due to malignant pleural mesothelioma designed to address recruitment and randomisation uncertainties and sample size requirements for a phase III trial
Introduction One of the most debilitating symptoms of malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is dyspnoea caused by pleural effusion. MPM can be complicated by the presence of tumour on the visceral pleura preventing the lung from re-expanding, known as trapped lung (TL). There is currently no consensus on the best way to manage TL. One approach is insertion of an indwelling pleural catheter (IPC) under local anaesthesia. Another is video-assisted thoracoscopic partial pleurectomy/decortication (VAT-PD). Performed under general anaesthesia, VAT-PD permits surgical removal of the rind of tumour from the visceral pleura thereby allowing the lung to fully re-expand. Methods and analysis MesoTRAP is a feasibility study that includes a pilot multicentre, randomised controlled clinical trial comparing VAT-PD with IPC in patients with TL and pleural effusion due to MPM. The primary objective is to measure the SD of visual analogue scale scores for dyspnoea following randomisation and examine the patterns of change over time in each treatment group. Secondary objectives include documenting survival and adverse events, estimating the incidence and prevalence of TL in patients with MPM, examining completion of alternative forms of data capture for economic evaluation and determining the ability to randomise 38 patients in 18 months. Ethics and dissemination This study was approved by the East of England-Cambridge Central Research Ethics Committee and the Health Research Authority (reference number 16/EE/0370). We aim to publish the outputs of this work in international peer-reviewed journals compliant with an Open Access policy. Trial registration NCT03412357.
- 1 December 2018
- Published by Elsevier in The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery
- Vol. 156 (6) , 2124-2132.e31
Mini-Stern Trial: A randomized trial comparing mini-sternotomy to full median sternotomy for aortic valve replacement
- 1 December 2018
- Published by Elsevier in The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery
- Vol. 156 (6) , 2124-2132.e31
Mini-Stern Trial: A randomized trial comparing mini-sternotomy to full median sternotomy for aortic valve replacement
- 1 May 2012
- Vol. 21 (3) , 368-73
Histologic analysis of the right atrioventricular junction in the adult human heart.
The human tricuspid valve is conventionally thought to have a fibrous annulus in the septal region. The study aim was to conduct morphological and histological analyses of the right atrioventricular junction (RAVJ), in particular to investigate the fibrous/collagenous content of this structure in the adult human heart. Twelve human hearts from patients who died after cardiac surgery and underwent autopsy were included in the study. Rigid exclusion criteria were practiced to ensure that the hearts studied were not subject to ventricular dilatation or hypertrophy prior to surgery, or had undergone valvular surgery. Gross examination of the RAVJ was performed and the entire circumference of the RAVJ sectioned longitudinally at 5 mm intervals; the tissues were then fixed in 10% neutral buffered formalin for 24 h. All sections were then stained with hematoxylin and eosin and elastic van Geison stains. There were no significant amounts of fibrous or collagenous structures along the free wall segment of the RAVJ. Muscular bars, measuring about 2-4 mm in diameter, were seen to run between the wall of the right ventricle and the RAVJ on its ventricular aspect. The relationship between the base of the tricuspid valve leaflet to the right atrial and right ventricular muscle head varied significantly within, and between, hearts. While the septal aspect of the RAVJ has scant fibrous tissue, the majority of its free wall segment is devoid of fibrous tissue. Right ventricular muscle bridges are inserted into the RAVJ, the functional significance of which, both in normal hearts and in the pathogenesis of functional tricuspid regurgitation, requires further investigation.
- 1 May 2012
- Vol. 21 (3) , 368-73
Histologic analysis of the right atrioventricular junction in the adult human heart.
The human tricuspid valve is conventionally thought to have a fibrous annulus in the septal region. The study aim was to conduct morphological and histological analyses of the right atrioventricular junction (RAVJ), in particular to investigate the fibrous/collagenous content of this structure in the adult human heart. Twelve human hearts from patients who died after cardiac surgery and underwent autopsy were included in the study. Rigid exclusion criteria were practiced to ensure that the hearts studied were not subject to ventricular dilatation or hypertrophy prior to surgery, or had undergone valvular surgery. Gross examination of the RAVJ was performed and the entire circumference of the RAVJ sectioned longitudinally at 5 mm intervals; the tissues were then fixed in 10% neutral buffered formalin for 24 h. All sections were then stained with hematoxylin and eosin and elastic van Geison stains. There were no significant amounts of fibrous or collagenous structures along the free wall segment of the RAVJ. Muscular bars, measuring about 2-4 mm in diameter, were seen to run between the wall of the right ventricle and the RAVJ on its ventricular aspect. The relationship between the base of the tricuspid valve leaflet to the right atrial and right ventricular muscle head varied significantly within, and between, hearts. While the septal aspect of the RAVJ has scant fibrous tissue, the majority of its free wall segment is devoid of fibrous tissue. Right ventricular muscle bridges are inserted into the RAVJ, the functional significance of which, both in normal hearts and in the pathogenesis of functional tricuspid regurgitation, requires further investigation.