Ming Lin

Transient analyses of liquid-fueled molten salt reactors involve strong coupling among neutronics, delayed neutron precursor transport, thermal–hydraulics, and solid heat transfer, leading to high computational costs for repeated high-fidelity simulations. To enable fast multi-physics prediction at unseen operating conditions, a parametric non-intrusive reduced-order model (ROM) combining proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and higher-order dynamic mode decomposition (HODMD) is developed. Coupled full-order snapshots generated from an OpenFOAM-based one-eighth symmetric core model based on a simplified MSRE benchmark configuration are used to construct reduced representations for 11 physical fields. The POD truncation rank, HODMD delay dimension, and interpolation model are selected using leave-one-out cross-validation, with polynomial, radial basis function, and Gaussian process regression models considered as interpolation candidates. For unseen parameter points, the model maintains high accuracy in both the interpolation stage and the temporal extrapolation stage. In the temporal extrapolation stage, the highest mean relative $L_2$ error for the inlet-temperature-step case is $2.112\%$, whereas all mean relative $L_2$ errors for the inlet-velocity-step case remain below $0.177\%$. The results indicate that, under the present cases and parameter settings, the proposed framework provides an accurate and rapid surrogate for multi-physics transient prediction.