Oliver Popov

Identifying potential system attacks that define security requirements is crucial to building secure cyber systems. Moreover, the attack frequency makes their subsequent analysis challenging and arduous in cyber–physical systems (CPS). Since CPS include people, organisations, software, and infrastructure, a thorough security attack analysis must consider both strategic (social and organisational) aspects and technical (software and physical infrastructure) aspects. Studying cyberattacks and their potential impact on internal and external assets in cyberspace is essential for maintaining cyber security. The importance is reflected in the work of the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB), which receives IT incident reports from essential service providers mandated by the NIS directive of the European Union and Swedish government agencies. To tackle this problem, a multi-realm security attack event monitoring framework was proposed to monitor, model, and analyse security events in social(business process), cyber, and physical infrastructure components of cyber–physical systems. This paper scrutinises security attack patterns and the corresponding security solutions for Swedish government agencies and organisations within the EU’s NIS directive. A pattern analysis was conducted on 254 security incident reports submitted by critical service providers. A total of five critical security attacks, seven vulnerabilities (commonly known as threats), ten attack patterns, and ten parallel attack patterns were identified. Moreover, we employed standard mitigation techniques obtained from recognised repositories of cyberattack knowledge, namely, CAPEC and Mitre, in order to conduct an analysis of the behavioural patterns

The transformation of the contemporary societies through digital technologies has had a profound effect on all human activities including those that are in the realm of illegal, unlawful, and criminal deeds. Moreover, the affordances provided by the anonymity creating techniques such as the Tor protocol which are beneficial for preserving civil liberties, appear to be highly profitable for various types of miscreants whose crimes range from human trafficking, arms trading, and child pornography to selling controlled substances and racketeering. The Tor similar technologies are the foundation of a vast, often mysterious, sometimes anecdotal, and occasionally dangerous space termed as the Dark Web. Using the features that make the Internet a uniquely generative knowledge agglomeration, with no borders, and permeating different jurisdictions, the Dark Web is a source of perpetual challenges for both national and international law enforcement agencies. The anonymity granted to the wrong people increases the complexity and the cost of identifying both the crimes and the criminals, which is often exacerbated with lack of proper human resources. Technologies such as machine learning and artificial intelligence come to the rescue through automation, intensive data harvesting, and analysis built into various types of web crawlers to explore and identify dark markets and the people behind them. It is essential for an effective and efficient crawling to have a pool of dark sites or onion URLs. The research study presents a way to build a crawling mechanism by extracting onion URLs from malicious executables by running them in a sandbox environment and then analysing the log file using machine learning algorithms. By discerning between the malware that uses the Tor network and the one that does not, we were able to classify the Tor using malware with an accuracy rate of 91% with a logistic regression algorithm. The initial results suggest that it is possible to use this machine learning approach to diagnose new malicious servers on the Tor network. Embedding this kind of mechanism into the crawler may also induce predictability, and thus efficiency in recognising dark market activities, and consequently, their closure.

Strong encryption algorithms and reliable anonymity routing have made cybercrime investigation more challenging. Hence, one option for law enforcement agencies (LEAs) is to search through unencrypted content on the Internet or anonymous communication networks (ACNs). The capability of automatically harvesting web content from web servers enables LEAs to collect and preserve data prone to serve as potential leads, clues, or evidence in an investigation. Although scientific studies have explored the field of web crawling soon after the inception of the web, few research studies have thoroughly scrutinised web crawling on the "dark web" or via ACNs such as I2P, IPFS, Freenet, and Tor. The current paper presents a systematic literature review (SLR) that examines the prevalence and characteristics of dark web crawlers. From a selection of 58 peer-reviewed articles mentioning crawling and the dark web, 34 remained after excluding irrelevant articles. The literature review showed that most dark web crawlers were programmed in Python, using either Selenium or Scrapy as the web scraping library. The knowledge gathered from the systematic literature review was used to develop a Tor-based web crawling model into an already existing software toolset customised for ACN-based investigations. Finally, the performance of the model was examined through a set of experiments. The results indicate that the developed crawler was successful in scraping web content from both clear and dark web pages, and scraping dark marketplaces on the Tor network. The scientific contribution of this paper entails novel knowledge concerning ACN-based web crawlers. Furthermore, it presents a model for crawling and scraping clear and dark websites for the purpose of digital investigations. The conclusions include practical implications of dark web content retrieval and archival, such as investigation clues and evidence, and the related future research topics.

The first step that forensic examiners perform is identifying and acquiring data. Both are among the most critical segments in the forensic process since they are sine qua non for completing the examination and analysis phases. The evidence acquisition must be managed in a deliberate, ethical and legal manner. On many occasions, the outcome of the investigation depends mainly on the relevance and precision of the evidence acquired. The goal of this research is to identify both legal and ethical issues that forensic investigators face during evidence acquisition and to design a framework using design science, which recognises and resolves the problems identified. The framework must preserve the forensic soundness of the investigation, overall integrity, effectiveness, and efficiency. The elicitation of the requirements for the framework is based on a literature review and ex-ante expert interviews, while the validation and evaluation of the framework stem from ex-post expert interviews. The designed framework aims to minimise hazardous practices that lead to negative consequences and to effectively align the new technologies in digital forensics with human expertise for improved results during the phase of digital evidence acquisition.

Strategic planning is a decisive process toward sustainable development for any organization. Mozambique has developed many tools toward good governance, among which Poverty Alleviation Strategy Paper (PARPA) is an umbrella. PARPA includes different key decisive segments of society, particularly the Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) as the pool for development. This chapter investigates to what extent e-Governance, particularly the development of strategies based on ICTs, can contribute to minimize the impact of floods at local governments by addressing best practice and decision-making process. The authors address backcasting methodology as an approach to consider in a participatory strategic planning for long-term decision-making processes. They use Chókwe District as a showcase where e-governance has an impact in mitigating and preventing the impact of floods.

In this work, a survey was conducted to help quantify the relevance of nineteen types of evidence (such as SMS) to seven types of digital investigations associated with mobile devices (MD) (such as child pornography). 97 % of the respondents agreed that every type of digital evidence has a different level of relevance to further or solve a particular investigation. From 55 serious participants, a dataset of 5,772 responses regarding the relevance of nineteen types of digital evidence for all the seven types of digital investigations was obtained. The results showed that (i) SMS belongs to the most relevant type of digital evidence for all the seven types of investigations; (ii) MMS belongs to the most relevant type of digital evidence for all the types of digital investigations except espionage and eavesdropping where it is the second most relevant type of digital evidence; (iii) Phonebook and Contacts is the most relevant type of digital evidence for all types of digital investigations except child pornography; (iv) Audio Calls is the most relevant type of digital evidence for all types of digital investigations except credit card fraud and child pornography; and (v) Standalone Files are the least relevant type of digital evidence for most of the digital investigations. The size of the response dataset was fairly reasonable to analyze and then delineate by generalization, relevance based best practices for mobile device forensics, which can supplement any forensics process model, including digital triage. For the reliability of these best practices, the impact of responses from the participants with more than five years of experience was analyzed by using one hundred and thirty three (133) instances of One-Way ANOVA tests. The results of this research can help investigators concentrate on the relevant types of digital evidence when investigating a specific case, consequently saving time and effort.

The proliferation of mobile communication and computing devices, in particular smart mobile phones, is almost paralleled with the increasing number of mobile device forensics tools in the market. Each mobile forensics tool vendor, on one hand claims to have a tool that is best in terms of performance, while on the other hand each tool vendor seems to be using different standards for testing their tools and thereby defining what support means differently. To overcome this problem, a testing framework based on a series of tests ranging from basic forensics tasks such as file system reconstruction up to more complex ones countering antiforensic techniques is proposed. The framework, which is an extension of an existing effort done in 2010, prescribes a method to clearly circumscribe the term support into precise levels. It also gives an idea of the standard to be developed and accepted by the forensic community that will make it easier for forensics investigators to quickly select the most appropriate tool for a particular mobile device.

This paper focuses on the application of both Balanced Scorecard (BSC) conceptual framework and Multi-criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) a tool for Scenario Planning as a tool for Strategic Decision Thinking, on hazard risk management within Limpopo River Basin. We discuss best practices in four main domains areas, namely Politic (as pool for country raking worldwide), Economic, Social Development and Technology and how they can contribute to build a viable scenario for the management of the basin.