Yao-Tsun Li

Low pathogenic avian influenza A(H7N7) virus detected in a poultry worker in Taiwan, 2026 was related to viruses circulating in Asian wild birds and possessed PB2 E627K, a mammalian adaptation marker. Enhanced surveillance for H7 viruses in poultry and rapid characterization of human cases are essential to assess pandemic potential.

A/goose/Guangdong/1/96-like (GsGd) highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5 viruses cause severe outbreaks in poultry when introduced. Since emergence in 1996, control measures in most countries have suppressed local GsGd transmission following introductions, making persistent transmission in domestic birds rare. However, geographical expansion of clade 2.3.4.4 sublineages has raised concern about establishment of endemic circulation, while mechanistic drivers leading to endemicity remain unknown. We reconstructed the evolutionary history of GsGd sublineage, clade 2.3.4.4c, in Taiwan using a time-heterogeneous rate phylogeographic model. During Taiwan’s initial epidemic wave (January 2015 - August 2016), we inferred that localised outbreaks had multiple origins from rapid spread between counties/cities nationwide. Subsequently, outbreaks predominantly originated from a single county, Yunlin, where persistent transmission harbours the trunk viruses of the sublineage. Endemic hotspots determined by phylogeographic reconstruction largely predicted the locations of re-emerging outbreaks in Yunlin. The transition to endemicity involved a shift to chicken-dominant circulation, following the initial bidirectional spread between chicken and domestic waterfowl. Our results suggest that following their emergence in Taiwan, source-sink dynamics from a single county have maintained GsGd endemicity up until 2023, pointing to where control efforts should be targeted to eliminate the disease.

A/goose/Guangdong/1/96-like (GsGd) highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5 viruses cause severe outbreaks in poultry when introduced. Since emergence in 1996, control measures in most countries have suppressed local GsGd transmission following introductions, making persistent transmission in domestic birds rare. However, geographical expansion of clade 2.3.4.4 sublineages has raised concern about establishment of endemic circulation, while mechanistic drivers leading to endemicity remain unknown. We reconstructed the evolutionary history of GsGd sublineage, clade 2.3.4.4c, in Taiwan using a time-heterogeneous rate phylogeographic model. During Taiwan’s initial epidemic wave (January 2015 - August 2016), we inferred that localised outbreaks had multiple origins from rapid spread between counties/cities nationwide. Subsequently, outbreaks predominantly originated from a single county, Yunlin, where persistent transmission harbours the trunk viruses of the sublineage. Endemic hotspots determined by phylogeographic reconstruction largely predicted the locations of re-emerging outbreaks in Yunlin. The transition to endemicity involved a shift to chicken-dominant circulation, following the initial bidirectional spread between chicken and domestic waterfowl. Our results suggest that following their emergence in Taiwan, source-sink dynamics from a single county have maintained GsGd endemicity, pointing to where control efforts should be targeted to eliminate the disease.

The Omicron severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant led to a dramatic global epidemic wave following detection in South Africa in November 2021. The BA.1 Omicron lineage was dominant and responsible for most SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in countries around the world during December 2021–January 2022, while other Omicron lineages, including BA.2, accounted for the minority of global isolates. Here, we describe the Omicron wave in the Philippines by analysing genomic data. Our results identify the presence of both BA.1 and BA.2 lineages in the Philippines in December 2021, before cases surged in January 2022. We infer that only the BA.2 lineage underwent sustained transmission in the country, with an estimated emergence around 18 November 2021 (95 per cent highest posterior density: 6–28 November), while despite multiple introductions, BA.1 transmission remained limited. These results suggest that the Philippines was one of the earliest areas affected by BA.2 and reiterate the importance of whole genome sequencing for monitoring outbreaks.

The Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant led to a dramatic global epidemic wave following detection in South Africa in November, 2021. The Omicron lineage BA.1 was dominant and responsible for most domestic outbreaks during December 2021-January 2022, whilst other Omicron lineages including BA.2 accounted for the minority of global isolates. Here, we describe the Omicron wave in the Philippines by analysing genomic data. Our results identify the presence of both BA.1 and BA.2 lineages in the Philippines in December 2021, before cases surged in January 2022. We infer that only lineage BA.2 underwent sustained transmission in the country, with an estimated emergence around November 18th, 2021 [95% highest posterior density: November 6-28th], whilst despite multiple introductions BA.1 transmission remained limited. These results suggest the Philippines was one of the earliest areas affected by BA.2, and reiterate the importance of whole-genome sequencing for monitoring outbreaks.

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5) viruses belonging to clade 2.3.4.4c of the A/goose/Guangdong/1/96-like (Gs/GD) lineage caused severe global outbreaks in domestic birds from 2014 to 2015, that also represented the first incursions of Gs/GD viruses into Taiwan and the USA. However, few studies have investigated the circulation of clade 2.3.4.4c viruses after 2015. Here, we describe Gs/GD clade 2.3.4.4c and Mexican-like H5N2 viruses that were isolated in Taiwan during active surveillance conducted in chicken farms from February to March 2019. Phylogenetic analysis demonstrated two distinct genome constellations of the clade 2.3.4.4c H5 viruses, with the internal genes of one of the new genotypes closely related to a virus isolated from a pintail (Anas acuta) in Taiwan, providing the first direct evidence that migratory birds play a role in importing viruses into Taiwan. Our study also confirmed the co-circulation of Gs/GD clade 2.3.4.4c and Mexican-like H5 lineage viruses in Taiwan, presenting a rare case where Gs/GD viruses developed sustained transmission alongside another enzootic H5 lineage, raising the possibility that homosubtypic immunity may mask virus transmission, potentially frustrating detection, and the implementation of appropriate control measures. To eradicate H5 viruses from poultry in Taiwan, further studies on the effect of co-circulation in poultry of low pathogenic avian influenza and HPAI viruses are needed. Furthermore, only with continued surveillance efforts globally can we fully discern dispersal patterns and risk factors of virus transmission both to and within Taiwan.