Marcus Reitz

The growing worldwide penetration of solar energy into power grids has increased the need for accurate forecasting to reduce supply–demand imbalances and grid congestion. Physics-based models perform well for average conditions. However, edge cases such as very low or high irradiance are challenging for traditional physics-based models, which often underperform under these conditions. Data-driven models offer improved performance in these conditions but typically lack interpretability and insight into the underlying physical mechanisms. To address these limitations, this article presents a combined modeling framework that integrates physics-based principles with machine learning inspired by Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). The main novelty of this work is a machine learning architecture for solar energy power prediction that explicitly isolates angle of incidence losses and temperature losses in the form of the respective parameters entering a PV power equation as a strict output constraint, which improves interpretability and generalizability, while maintaining high forecasting precision. The methodology is demonstrated using only commonly available commercial system data and validated on both a small-scale research system and a commercial floating solar installation. The results demonstrate significantly improved accuracy over basic physics-based models (0.018 and 0.018 versus 0.023 and 0.029 normalized mean absolute error), particularly for non-standard conditions, and isolate key loss mechanisms.

A bstract: Using numerical data coming from Monte Carlo simulations of four-dimensional Causal Dynamical Triangulations, we study how automated machine learning algorithms can be used to recognize transitions between different phases of quantum geometries observed in lattice quantum gravity. We tested seven supervised and seven unsupervised machine learning models and found that most of them were very successful in that task, even outperforming standard methods based on order parameters.

We use a result of Hawking and Gilkey to define a Euclidean path integral of gravity and matter which has the special property of being independent of the choice of basis in the space of fields. This property allows the path integral to also describe physical regimes that do not admit position bases. These physical regimes are pregeometric in the sense that they do not admit a mathematical representation of the physical degrees of freedom in terms of fields that live on a spacetime. In regimes in which a spacetime representation does emerge, the geometric properties of the emergent spacetime, such as its dimension and volume, depend on the balance of fermionic pressure and bosonic and gravitational pull. That balance depends, at any given energy scale, on the number of bosonic and fermionic species that contribute, which in turn depends on their masses. This yields an explicit mechanism by which the effective spacetime dimension can depend on the energy scale.

We use a result of Hawking and Gilkey to define a Euclidean path integral of gravity and matter which has the special property of being independent of the choice of basis in the space of fields. This property allows the path integral to describe also physical regimes that do not admit position bases. These physical regimes are pre-geometric in the sense that they do not admit a mathematical representation of the physical degrees of freedom in terms of fields that live on a spacetime. In regimes in which a spacetime representation does emerge, the geometric properties of the emergent spacetime, such as its dimension and volume, depend on the balance of fermionic pressure and bosonic and gravitational pull. That balance depends, at any given energy scale, on the number of bosonic and fermionic species that contribute, which in turn depends on their masses. This yields an explicit mechanism by which the effective spacetime dimension can depend on the energy scale.

The seemingly universal phenomenon of scale-dependent effective dimensions in non-perturbative theories of quantum gravity has been shown to be a potential source of quantum gravity phenomenology. The scale-dependent effective dimension from quantum gravity has only been considered for scalar fields. It is, however, possible that the non-manifold like structures, that are expected to appear near the Planck scale, have an effective dimension that depends on the type of field under consideration. To investigate this question, we have studied the spectral dimension associated to the Laplace–Beltrami operator generalised to k-form fields on spatial slices of the non-perturbative model of quantum gravity known as causal dynamical triangulations. We have found that the two-form, tensor and dual scalar spectral dimensions exhibit a flow between two scales at which an effective dimension appears. However, the one-form and vector spectral dimensions show only a single effective dimension. The fact that the one-form and vector spectral dimension do not show a flow of the effective dimension can potentially be related to the absence of a dispersion relation for the electromagnetic field, but dynamically generated instead of as an assumption.

The seemingly universal phenomenon of scale-dependent effective dimensions in non-perturbative theories of quantum gravity has been shown to be a potential source of quantum gravity phenomenology. The scale-dependent effective dimension from quantum gravity has only been considered for scalar fields. It is however possible that the non-manifold like structures, that are expected to appear near the Planck scale, have an effective dimension that depends on the type of field under consideration. To investigate this question, we have studied the spectral dimension associated to the Laplace-Beltrami operator generalised to $k$-form fields on spatial slices of the non-perturbative model of quantum gravity known as Causal Dynamical Triangulations. We have found that the two-form, tensor and dual scalar spectral dimensions exhibit a flow between two scales at which an effective dimension appears. However, the one-form and vector spectral dimensions show only a single effective dimension. The fact that the one-form and vector spectral dimension do not show a flow of the effective dimension can potentially be related to the absence of a dispersion relation for the electromagnetic field, but dynamically generated instead of as an assumption.

We study the notion of approximate Killing vector fields in several toy models of non-perturbative two-dimensional quantum gravity. Using the framework of discrete exterior calculus, we show how to formulate quantum observables related to such approximate Killing vector fields. Using these methods, we aim to investigate symmetry properties of the space–time geometry produced by the quantum gravitational model at hand. Since we expect quantum fluctuations to dominate at small scales, our goal is to construct a scale-dependent notion of symmetry that might be used to determine whether the emergent (semi-)classical geometry admits any approximate Killing symmetries. We have evaluated one particular choice of such an observable on three ensembles of discrete geometry. We find that the method is useful in the setting where fluctuations are small, but that more work is needed before these ideas can be applied in the deep quantum regime.

Finding diffeomorphism-invariant observables to characterize the properties of gravity and spacetime at the Planck scale is essential for making progress in quantum gravity. The holonomy and Wilson loop of the Levi-Civita connection are potentially interesting ingredients in the construction of quantum curvature observables. Motivated by recent developments in nonperturbative quantum gravity, we establish new relations in three and four dimensions between the holonomy of a finite loop and certain curvature integrals over the surface spanned by the loop. They are much simpler than a gravitational version of the nonabelian Stokes’ theorem, but require the presence of totally geodesic surfaces in the manifold, which follows from the existence of suitable Killing vectors. We show that the relations are invariant under smooth surface deformations, due to the presence of a conserved geometric flux.

Finding diffeomorphism-invariant observables to characterize the properties of gravity and spacetime at the Planck scale is essential for making progress in quantum gravity. The holonomy and Wilson loop of the Levi-Civita connection are potentially interesting ingredients in the construction of quantum curvature observables. Motivated by recent developments in nonperturbative quantum gravity, we establish new relations in three and four dimensions between the holonomy of a finite loop and certain curvature integrals over the surface spanned by the loop. They are much simpler than a gravitational version of the nonabelian Stokes' theorem, but require the presence of totally geodesic surfaces in the manifold, which follows from the existence of suitable Killing vectors. We show that the relations are invariant under smooth surface deformations, due to the presence of a conserved geometric flux.

Network topology is a flourishing interdisciplinary subject that is relevant for different disciplines including quantum gravity and brain research. The discrete topological objects that are investigated in network topology are simplicial complexes. Simplicial complexes generalize networks by not only taking pairwise interactions into account, but also taking into account many-body interactions between more than two nodes. Higher-order Laplacians are topological operators that describe higher-order diffusion on simplicial complexes and constitute the natural mathematical objects that capture the interplay between network topology and dynamics. We show that higher-order up and down Laplacians can have a finite spectral dimension, characterizing the long time behaviour of the diffusion process on simplicial complexes that depends on their order m. We provide a renormalization group theory for the calculation of the higher-order spectral dimension of two deterministic models of simplicial complexes: the Apollonian and the pseudo-fractal simplicial complexes. We show that the RG flow is affected by the fixed point at zero mass, which determines the higher-order spectral dimension d _S of the up-Laplacians of order m with m ⩾ 0.