Current Organizations / Institutes

The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article


Nawar Diar Bakerly has a total of 269 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:


Latest Publications

  • Open Access

    Harnessing Exhaled Breath for Lung Cancer Early Detection—Results From the ExPeL Study

    by Danita Kasi Patel, Leon D'CRuz, Waqar Ahmed, Anoop Chauhan, Nawar Diar Bakerly, Seamus Grundy, Drupad K. Trivedi, Sean Knight

    Scalable, non‐invasive tools are critically needed to improve early lung cancer detection and optimize primary care referral pathways. We evaluated Inflammacheck, a point‐of‐care device utilizing exhaled breath condensate (EBC) H 2 O 2 and physiological parameters with machine learning for non‐invasive lung cancer detection in a real‐world screening population. Exhaled Hydrogen Peroxide for Early Lung Cancer Detection (ExPeL) study participants, from the UK Targeted Lung Health Check (TLHC) programme, included individuals with suspected lung cancer and low‐risk ever‐smoker controls. EBC was collected via Inflammacheck, measuring H 2 O 2 , end‐tidal CO 2 , humidity, temperature, and exhalation flow rate. Multivariate analyses (PCA, LDA and Mahalanobis distance) assessed intrinsic group separation. SMOTE‐balanced data trained supervised machine learning models (stacked and voting ensembles), which were then evaluated on held‐out test sets. In parallel, untargeted LC–MS metabolomics was performed to identify discriminatory molecular features. Analyzing 34 participants with valid EBC data, 83% of cancer cases were early‐stage (I–II), reflecting a screening population. Multivariate analysis clearly separated lung cancer and controls across PCA, LDA, and Mahalanobis mapping. The voting ensemble model achieved: Accuracy 85.7%, Sensitivity 80%, Specificity 100%, Precision (PPV) 100%, ROC–AUC 0.90 and MCC 0.73. Crucially, no false positives were identified. EBC variables revealed greater dispersion in cancer patients, reflecting physiological heterogeneity missed by univariate analysis. Untargeted metabolomics identified 2132 features, with four key metabolites yielding an AUC of 0.969 for cancer discrimination. Inflammacheck effectively distinguishes early‐stage lung cancer via a rapid, non‐invasive breath test, findings which are highly relevant for primary care and screening triage, where non‐specific symptoms and low prevalence pose challenges.


    • 1 April 2026
      • Vol. 29  (2) , e70607
    Open Access

    'What Do People With Long Covid Want From Healthcare Services?' A Qualitative Exploration From Lived Experience.

    by Clare Rayner, Nikki Smith, Ruairidh Milne, Ghazala Mir, Johannes de Kock, Nawar Diar Bakerly, LOCOMOTION Consortium

    Long COVID (LC) is a chronic, multisystem condition affecting millions globally, with significant personal, social and economic consequences. Despite increasing recognition of its impact, healthcare services for LC remain inconsistent with patients frequently encountering fragmented services, scepticism and delays leading to patient-voiced frustration. Therefore, understanding patient priorities is crucial for optimising service provision. To explore what individuals with LC want from healthcare services-drawing on their lived experience and collaborative insights with clinicians and researchers, to inform principles for improving care delivery, barriers to access, expectations for service improvement, and the role of multidisciplinary care in managing LC. A qualitative study using thematic analysis was conducted, incorporating multiple data sources, including semi-structured interviews, workshops, and a patient-led audit. Key themes were identified, focusing on healthcare access, clinical assessments, treatment options, and service organisation. Twenty-seven LC sufferers from the LOCOMOTION Patient Advisory Group (PAG) and Patient Advisory Network (PAN), along with clinicians and researchers involved in LC service provision across the United Kingdom, participated in the study. Three major themes emerged: (1) Who the services are for: Equity of access for all those with LC. Barriers such as stigma, inequitable access and lack of clinician awareness need to be addressed. (2) What services should do: Consistent and standardised assessments and diagnostic clarity-particularly for modifiable conditions like autonomic dysfunction-and an emphasis on the need for early medical intervention, not just rehabilitation. (3) How services should operate: Care should be coordinated, proactive and adaptable to evolving evidence. Patients should not be discharged without ongoing review. Multidisciplinary collaboration should be patient-centred and informed by up-to-date research. LC services should be designed to provide equitable, standardised and evidence-based care. Early intervention, appropriate medical testing and sustained follow-up are critical to improving patient outcomes. Patients emphasised the importance of being heard and the value of receiving timely care that reflects the latest scientific understanding and recognises their condition as real, treatable and deserving of ongoing clinical attention. Incorporating these insights into healthcare design may improve outcomes, service efficiency and trust between patients and providers. Patients led all phases of this study, including design, analysis and writing, through active co-production with the LOCOMOTION research team. The paper was born out of discussions within the LOCOMOTION study's Patient Advisory Group (PAG). It was taken forward by C.R., N.S. and R.M., all members of the PAG, working closely with N.B., H.d.K. and G.M.


  • Open Access

    ‘What Do People With Long Covid Want From Healthcare Services?’ A Qualitative Exploration From Lived Experience

    by Clare Rayner, Nikki Smith, Ruairidh Milne, Ghazala Mir, Johannes de Kock, Nawar Diar Bakerly

    Background: Long COVID (LC) is a chronic, multisystem condition affecting millions globally, with significant personal, social and economic consequences. Despite increasing recognition of its impact, healthcare services for LC remain inconsistent with patients frequently encountering fragmented services, scepticism and delays leading to patient‐voiced frustration. Therefore, understanding patient priorities is crucial for optimising service provision. Objectives: To explore what individuals with LC want from healthcare services—drawing on their lived experience and collaborative insights with clinicians and researchers, to inform principles for improving care delivery, barriers to access, expectations for service improvement, and the role of multidisciplinary care in managing LC. Methods: A qualitative study using thematic analysis was conducted, incorporating multiple data sources, including semi‐structured interviews, workshops, and a patient‐led audit. Key themes were identified, focusing on healthcare access, clinical assessments, treatment options, and service organisation. Study Participants: Twenty‐seven LC sufferers from the LOCOMOTION Patient Advisory Group (PAG) and Patient Advisory Network (PAN), along with clinicians and researchers involved in LC service provision across the United Kingdom, participated in the study. Results: Three major themes emerged: (1) Who the services are for: Equity of access for all those with LC. Barriers such as stigma, inequitable access and lack of clinician awareness need to be addressed. (2) What services should do: Consistent and standardised assessments and diagnostic clarity—particularly for modifiable conditions like autonomic dysfunction—and an emphasis on the need for early medical intervention, not just rehabilitation. (3) How services should operate: Care should be coordinated, proactive and adaptable to evolving evidence. Patients should not be discharged without ongoing review. Multidisciplinary collaboration should be patient‐centred and informed by up‐to‐date research. Conclusions: LC services should be designed to provide equitable, standardised and evidence‐based care. Early intervention, appropriate medical testing and sustained follow‐up are critical to improving patient outcomes. Patients emphasised the importance of being heard and the value of receiving timely care that reflects the latest scientific understanding and recognises their condition as real, treatable and deserving of ongoing clinical attention. Incorporating these insights into healthcare design may improve outcomes, service efficiency and trust between patients and providers. Patient and Public Contribution: Patients led all phases of this study, including design, analysis and writing, through active co‐production with the LOCOMOTION research team. The paper was born out of discussions within the LOCOMOTION study's Patient Advisory Group (PAG). It was taken forward by C.R., N.S. and R.M., all members of the PAG, working closely with N.B., H.d.K. and G.M.


  • Open Access

    Sputum colour charts to guide antibiotic self-treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: the Colour-COPD RCT

    by Eleni Gkini, Rachel L Adams, Daniella Spittle, Paul Ellis, Katherine Allsopp, Sanya Saleem, Matthew McKenna, Nick le Mesurier, Nicola Gale, Sarah Tearne, et al.

    Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) are characterised by increased sputum volume, purulence and breathlessness. Patients are encouraged to recognise and treat acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease as part of a self-management plan. Only half of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease are caused by bacterial infection, but self-management plans generally advocate use of antibiotics and steroids for all events, hence antibiotics may be overused. Sputum colour relates closely to bacterial load; thus it could determine whether antibiotics are appropriate. This pragmatic randomised controlled trial tested whether use of a sputum colour chart is safe and effective in United Kingdom primary care. Methods: Colour chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was a multicentre, randomised controlled trial in adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease who had ≥ 2 acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or ≥ 1 hospital admission for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the preceding year. The primary objective was to demonstrate that the Bronkotest® (London) sputum colour chart is non-inferior to usual care (safe). The primary outcome was rate of hospital admission for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease at 12 months; secondary outcomes included requirement for second courses of treatment and quality of life (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease assessment test score). Nested substudies examining daily symptoms via an e-diary and sputum culture assessed untreated acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease rate and antibiotic resistance, respectively. A process evaluation examined trial fidelity and acceptability of the intervention, employing qualitative research methods incorporating patients as co-researchers. Limitations: The study was terminated early due to low recruitment (115/2954 planned sample size). Results: One hundred and fifteen patients were recruited and randomised 1 : 1 to colour chart use or usual care; they generally had severe Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease D chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, with significant breathlessness (54% Medical Research Council score of 4 or 5) and poor quality of life (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease assessment test score at baseline 24). Comorbid respiratory and systemic disease was common. Self-management was delivered well in both arms, and the colour chart acceptable to patients and staff; no specific issues for patients with multiple long-term conditions were identified. Hospital admissions for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease tended to occur more in colour chart users [32 vs. 16%, relative risk 1.95 (0.92 to 4.18)], and antibiotic courses within 14 days of initial acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease treatment were also more common [34 vs. 18%, adjusted relative risk 1.80 (0.85 to 3.79)]. Despite this, quality of life was better in colour chart users at 12 months [chronic obstructive pulmonary disease assessment test 19.9 vs. −24.5, adjusted mean difference −2.95 (−5.93 to −0.04)]. Thirty-eight patients consented to the sputum substudy, and 57 samples were received (42 stable state, 15 during acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), of which 30% contained a potentially pathogenic bacterium. Sputum was more likely to be purulent in subjects with bronchiectasis, independent of disease state (stable vs. exacerbation) or whether the sample was positive for a potentially pathogenic bacterium, suggesting that colour alone cannot be used to guide antibiotic use. Eleven patients completed the e-diary study, and 42 symptom-defined acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease events were captured, many of which were untreated, exhibiting lower EXAcerbations of Chronic Pulmonary Disease Tool scores than those which were treated. Untreated events were slower to settle. Differences between study arms were not meaningful to compute due to low numbers. Conclusion and future work: Our results imply that the Bronkotest sputum colour chart is unlikely to be a useful addition to self-management for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients in primary care, but further work is required to confirm this. Funding: This synopsis presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme as award number 17/128/04.


  • Open Access

    Improving quality in adult long covid services: Findings from the LOCOMOTION quality improvement collaborative

    by Julie Darbyshire, Trisha Greenhalgh, Nawar D. Bakerly, Kumaran Balasundaram, Sareeta Baley, Megan Ball, Emily Bullock, Rowena Cooper, Helen Davies, Johannes H. De Kock, et al.


  • Open Access

    Monitoring of Long COVID Symptoms Using Digitalised COVID-19 Yorkshire Rehabilitation Scale (C19-YRS) in Patients Attending Long COVID Rehabilitation Clinic

    by Hsu Myat Noe, Sean Knight, Laura Diar Bakerly, L Kay Richardson, Harmeet Kaur Momi, Clare Gibbons, Sheila Ramjug, Nawar Diar Bakerly

    Introduction: Long COVID (LC) affects multiple systems and has a significant health impact on patients and society. Therefore, long COVID services should address patients’ needs through a holistic assessment and monitoring of patients’ symptoms. Aim: The aim was to understand which of the symptoms were most and least likely to improve, after our rehabilitation intervention so that the rehabilitation measures in the clinic could be modified to meet patients’ needs. At the same time, we wanted to assess the feasibility of using C19-YRS ELAROS application in monitoring of LC symptoms during and after the rehabilitation clinic attendance. Methodology: In this study, a total of 50 patients who have attended long COVID rehabilitation clinic in Salford, UK; were assessed by using digitalised C19-YRS ELAROS application. A total of 100 eligible initial and final post rehabilitation assessments were analysed. Conclusion: Pain and anxiety symptoms were the two most likely symptoms to improve after intervention at LC rehabilitation clinic, whereas swallowing difficulty is least likely to improve. Issues with caring for family/ social life (symptoms affecting social role) are likely to worsen even after treatment. It is feasible to monitor and track Long COVID symptoms utilising the digitalised version of C19-YRS via the ELAROS App. This also allows the tracking of symptoms overtime.

  • Open Access

    Menopause symptom prevalence in three post–COVID-19 syndrome clinics in England: A cross-sectional analysis

    by Stuart Stewart, Adrian Heald, Yvette Pyne, Nawar Diar Bakerly


  • Open Access

    Pathophysiological Mechanisms in Long COVID: A Mixed Method Systematic Review

    by Nawar Diar Bakerly, Nikki Smith, Julie L. Darbyshire, Joseph Kwon, Emily Bullock, Sareeta Baley, Manoj Sivan, Brendan Delaney

    Introduction: Long COVID (LC) is a global public health crisis affecting more than 70 million people. There is emerging evidence of different pathophysiological mechanisms driving the wide array of symptoms in LC. Understanding the relationships between mechanisms and symptoms helps in guiding clinical management and identifying potential treatment targets. Methods: This was a mixed-methods systematic review with two stages: Stage one (Review 1) included only existing systematic reviews (meta-review) and Stage two (Review 2) was a review of all primary studies. The search strategy involved Medline, Embase, Emcare, and CINAHL databases to identify studies that described symptoms and pathophysiological mechanisms with statistical analysis and/or discussion of plausible causal relationships between mechanisms and symptoms. Only studies that included a control arm for comparison were included. Studies were assessed for quality using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute quality assessment tools. Results: 19 systematic reviews were included in Review 1 and 46 primary studies in Review 2. Overall, the quality of reporting across the studies included in this second review was moderate to poor. The pathophysiological mechanisms with strong evidence were immune system dysregulation, cerebral hypoperfusion, and impaired gas transfer in the lungs. Other mechanisms with moderate to weak evidence were endothelial damage and hypercoagulation, mast cell activation, and auto-immunity to vascular receptors. Conclusions: LC is a complex condition affecting multiple organs with diverse clinical presentations (or traits) underpinned by multiple pathophysiological mechanisms. A ‘treatable trait’ approach may help identify certain groups and target specific interventions. Future research must include understanding the response to intervention based on these mechanism-based traits.


  • Open Access

    One year health outcomes associated with systemic corticosteroids for COVID-19: a longitudinal cohort study

    by Olivia C Leavy, Richard J Russell, Ewen M Harrison, Nazir I Lone, Steven Kerr, Annemarie B Docherty, Aziz Sheikh, Matthew Richardson, Omer Elneima, Neil J Greening, et al.

    Background: In patients with COVID-19 requiring supplemental oxygen, dexamethasone reduces acute severity and improves survival, but longer-term effects are unknown. We hypothesised that systemic corticosteroid administration during acute COVID-19 would be associated with improved health-related quality of life (HRQoL) one year after discharge. Methods: Adults admitted to hospital between February 2020 and March 2021 for COVID-19 and meeting current guideline recommendations for dexamethasone treatment were included using two prospective UK cohort studies. HRQoL, assessed by EQ-5D-5L utility index, pre-hospital and one year after discharge were compared between those receiving corticosteroids or not after propensity weighting for treatment. Secondary outcomes included patient reported recovery, physical and mental health status, and measures of organ impairment. Sensitivity analyses were undertaken to account for survival and selection bias. Findings: In 1,888 participants included in the primary analysis, 1,149 received corticosteroids. There was no between-group difference in EQ-5D-5L utility index at one year (mean difference 0.004, 95% CI: -0.026 to 0.034, p = 0.77). A similar reduction in EQ-5D-5L was seen at one year between corticosteroid exposed and non-exposed groups (mean (SD) change -0.12 (0.22) vs -0.11 (0.22), p = 0.32). Overall, there were no differences in secondary outcome measures. After sensitivity analyses modelled using a larger cohort of 109,318 patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19, EQ-5D-5L utility index at one year remained similar between the two groups. Interpretation: Systemic corticosteroids for acute COVID-19 have no impact on the large reduction in HRQoL one year after hospital discharge. Treatments to address this are urgently needed. Take home message: Systemic corticosteroids given for acute COVID-19 do not affect health-related quality of life or other patient reported outcomes, physical and mental health outcomes, and organ function one year after hospital discharge