Celina Dittmer

Biogas plants have the great advantage that they produce electricity according to demand and can thus compensate for fluctuating production from weather-dependent sources such as wind power and photovoltaics. A prerequisite for flexible biogas plant operation is a suitable feeding strategy for an adjusted conversion of biomass into biogas. This research work is the first to demonstrate a practical, integrated model predictive control (MPC) for load-flexible, demand-orientated biogas production and the results show promising options for practical application on almost all full-scale biogas plants with no or only minor adjustments to the standardly existing measurement technology. Over an experimental period of 36 days, the biogas production of a full-scale plant was adjusted to the predicted electricity demand of a “real-world laboratory”. Results with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of less than 20% when comparing biogas demand and production were consistently obtained.

Future biogas plants must be able to produce biogas according to demand, which requires proactive feeding management. Therefore, the simulation of biogas production depending on the substrate supply is assumed. Most simulation models are based on the complex Anaerobic Digestion Model No. 1 (ADM1). The ADM1 includes a large number of parameters for all biochemical and physicochemical process steps, which have to be carefully adjusted to represent the conditions of a respective full-scale biogas plant. Due to a deficiency of reliable measurement technology and process monitoring, nearly none of these parameters are available for full-scale plants. The present research investigation shows a simulation model, which is based on the principle of time series analysis and uses only historical data of biogas formation and solid substrate supply, without differentiation of individual substrates. The results of an extensive evaluation of the model over 366 simulations with 48-h horizon show a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 14–18%. The evaluation is based on two different digesters and demonstrated that the model is self-learning and automatically adaptable to the respective application, independent of the substrate’s composition.