Feiyu Feng

This study addresses the critical need for accurate sea wind speed predictions to support ocean wind farm operations, equipment maintenance, and maritime navigation safety. To enhance prediction accuracy for any location within target sea areas, we propose a short-to-medium-term wind speed prediction method that effectively explores spatiotemporal correlations in ocean reanalysis grid data. The method involves collecting and reanalyzing data, as well as spatial processing, to reconstruct the historical wind speed sequence at the target point. Finally, a future wind speed time series is generated using an LSTM network and a Transformer encoder. Test results validated against NOAA buoy data demonstrate the effectiveness of our spatiotemporal prediction model, achieving RMSE values of 1.161 m/s, 1.500 m/s, and 1.854 m/s for 1 h, 6 h, and 12 h predictions, respectively, outperforming comparative methods. The conclusions are threefold: (1) The proposed hybrid model effectively captures spatiotemporal dependencies and achieves more accurate spatiotemporal predictions compared to the benchmark model; (2) taking into account seasonal factors and forecasting time periods, the method proposed in this paper maintains good stability; (3) this framework provides a reliable technical approach for generating operational references in maritime navigation and wind power maintenance, with potential applications in wind farm siting and resource assessment.

This study investigates the influencing factors that impact ridesourcing service usage frequency and explore the potential similarities and differences among groups of population based on their primary usage purposes. A revealed-preference survey developed for this study was conducted among 783 ridesourcing service users from Shanghai, China in September 2020. Separate random parameters ordered probit models were estimated for users with different primary purposes of usage to capture unobserved heterogeneity. The identified influencing factors include travelers’ sociodemographic characteristics, reasons to choose ridesourcing services, and other behavioral characteristics. In addition, the impacts of these contributing factors were different based on their primary usage purpose. The model estimation and descriptive statistics findings suggest that groups of ridesourcing service users may respond differently to various types of promotional strategies. The study insights may be used to design future strategies that can potentially improve the service usage frequency of existing users and attract new users.

Ridesplitting is a new form of for-hire service that riders with similar origins and destinations are matched to the same vehicle in real-time via Internet. However, the market share of ridesplitting only accounts for a small fraction of total travel. Understanding cognitive factors affecting ridesplitting preference would be helpful in designing its market measures, regulations, and incentives to achieve high-level customer attractions. This paper identifies the cognitive determinants affecting ridesplitting preference and their inner relationships via the structural equation model. The data from an online survey conducted in Shanghai were implemented for model calibration. The modal fitness results are reasonable, and the path coefficients are significant, exhibiting that the proposed hypothesis cannot be rejected. Specifically, attitude towards incentives and management issues, perceived benefit, and perceived usefulness appear to be strong active driving forces that encourage the desire to adopt ridesplitting.

Electric buses (EBs) have been implemented worldwide and exhibited great potential for air pollution reduction and traffic noise control. In regular charging scenarios, the deployment of charging facilities and the operational scheduling of the transit system is crucial to bus transit system management. In this paper, we proposed a joint optimization model of regular charging electric bus transit network schedule and stationary charger deployment considering partial charging policy and time-of-use electricity prices. The objective of the model is to minimize the total investment cost of the transit system including the capital and maintenance cost of EBs and chargers, the power consumption cost, and time-related in-service cost. A solving procedure based on the improved adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) is further designed and a transit network at inner Anting Town, Shanghai, with 8 individual bus routes and 867 daily service trips is adopted for the model validation. The validation results illustrated that the methodology considering the partial charging policy can arrange the charging schedule adaptive to the time-of-use electricity prices. Compared with the benchmark of single line separate scheduling, the proposed model can yield 3 million RMB investment saving by highly utilizing EBs and battery chargers.