Antonis Kavvadias

Accurate estimation of crop yield from remote sensing remains challenging due to the crop-specific nature of yield drivers and the difficulty of interpreting spectral indicators across agronomic systems. While many studies prioritise predictive accuracy through complex models, fewer explicitly examine the stability and physiological relevance of individual spectral and phenological indicators under controlled analytical conditions. This study investigates yield–spectral relationships in wheat and cotton using a unified Sentinel-2 indicator framework applied across multiple growing seasons in a Mediterranean agricultural environment. A consistent set of spectral and thermal indicators was derived from two phenologically targeted Sentinel-2 acquisitions per season and analysed using correlation analysis, univariate regression, constrained multivariate modelling, and recurrence analysis within an identical workflow for both crops. Distinct crop-specific patterns were observed. Wheat yield was most strongly associated with water-sensitive and canopy-related indicators, with NDWI-based metrics reaching Pearson correlations up to r = 0.85 and multivariate models explaining a substantial proportion of yield variability (up to R² ≈ 0.70) under controlled analytical conditions. In contrast, cotton yield variability was dominated by thermal accumulation, with growing degree day indicators showing correlations up to |r| = 0.59 and multivariate performance reaching R² = 0.74. Recurrence analysis indicated consistent recurrence of these indicator families across analytical stages under the examined conditions. Overall, the results indicate that parsimonious, physiologically interpretable indicator combinations can account for a meaningful proportion of yield variability without reliance on highly complex or high-dimensional modelling approaches, supporting crop-aware indicator selection for precision agriculture applications.

Accurate estimation of crop yield from remote sensing remains challenging due to the crop-specific nature of yield drivers and the difficulty of interpreting spectral indicators across agronomic systems. While many studies prioritise predictive accuracy through complex models, fewer explicitly examine the stability and physiological relevance of in-dividual spectral and phenological indicators under controlled analytical conditions. This study investigates yield–spectral relationships in wheat and cotton using a harmonised Sentinel-2 indicator framework applied across multiple growing seasons in a Mediterra-nean agricultural environment. A consistent set of spectral and thermal indicators was derived from two phenologically targeted Sentinel-2 acquisitions per season and analysed using correlation analysis, univariate regression, constrained multivariate modelling, and recurrence analysis within an identical workflow for both crops. Distinct crop-specific patterns were observed. Wheat yield was most strongly associated with water-sensitive and canopy-related indicators, with NDWI-based metrics reaching Pearson correlations up to r = 0.85 and multivariate models explaining a substantial proportion of yield varia-bility (up to R² ≈ 0.82) under controlled analytical conditions. In contrast, cotton yield var-iability was dominated by thermal accumulation, with growing degree day indicators showing correlations up to |r| = 0.59 and multivariate performance reaching R² = 0.76. Recurrence analysis confirmed the stability of these indicator families across analytical stages. Overall, the results indicate that parsimonious, physiologically interpretable indi-cator combinations can account for a substantial proportion of yield variability without reliance on black-box modelling, supporting crop-aware indicator selection for precision agriculture applications.

Dam breach has disastrous consequences for the economy and human lives. Floods are one of the most damaging natural phenomena, and some of the most catastrophic flash floods are related to dam collapses. The goal of the present study is to analyse the impact of a possible failure–collapse on a potentially affected area downstream of the existing Bramianos dam on southern Crete Island. HEC-RAS hydraulic analysis software was used to study the dam breach, the flood wave propagation, and estimate the extent of floods. The analysis was performed using two different relief datasets of the same area: a digital elevation model (DEM) taken from very high-resolution orthophoto images (OPH) of the National Cadastre and Mapping Agency SA and a detailed digital surface model (DSM) extracted from aerial images taken by an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). Remote sensing data of the Sentinel-2 satellite and OPH were utilised to create the geographic information system (GIS) layers of a thorough land use/cover classification (LULC) for the potentially flooded area, which was used to assess the impact of the flood wave. Different dam breach and flood scenarios, where the water flows over man-made structures, settlements, and olive tree cultivations, were also examined. The study area is dominated mainly by three geological formations with different hydrogeological characteristics that dictated the positioning and structure of the dam and determine the processes that shape the geomorphology and surface roughness of the floodplain, affecting flow conditions. The results show that the impact of a potential dam break at Bramianos dam is serious, and appropriate management measures should be taken to reduce the risk. The water flow downstream of the collapsed dam depends on the water volume stored in the reservoir. Moreover, the comparison of DSM and DEM cases shows that the detailed DSM may indicate more accurately the surface relief and existing natural obstacles such as vegetation, buildings, and greenhouses, enabling more realistic hydraulic simulation results. Dam breach flood simulations and innovative remote sensing data can provide valuable outcomes for engineers and stakeholders for decision-making and planning in order to confront the consequences of similar incidents worldwide.