Manish Kumar

Many real water issues involve rivers’ sediment load or the load that rivers can bring without degrading the fluvial ecosystem. Therefore, the assessment of sediments carried by a river is also crucial in the planning and designing of various water resource projects. In the current study, five different data-driven techniques, namely artificial neural network (ANN), wavelet-based artificial neural network (WANN), support vector machine (SVM), wavelet-based support vector machine (WSVM), and multiple-linear regression (MLR) techniques, were employed for time-series modeling of daily suspended sediment concentration (SSC). Hydrological datasets containing the daily stage (h), discharge (Q), and SSC for 10 years (2004–2013) from June to October at Adityapur and Ghatshila station of Subernrekha river basin, Jharkhand, India, were considered for analysis. The Gamma test was used to determine the input variables in the first step. Various combinations were made by lagging the maximum three-day time step for predicting current-day SSC. The outcomes of ANN, SVM, WAAN, WSVM, and MLR models were evaluated with the actual values of SSC based on statistical metrics. Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), root-mean-square error (RMSE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and Wilmot index (WI) as well as visual inspection of time variation, scatter plots, and Taylor diagrams. Our results stated that the WSVM model discovered the best trustworthy models among all existing models. PCC, RMSE, NSE, and WI values were 0.844 and 0.781, 0.096 g/l and 0.057 g/l, 0.711 and 0.591, 0.907 and 0.878, respectively, throughout the training and testing processes at the Adityapur site. Also, at the Ghatshila location, it was the most accurate model. During the training and testing stages, PCC, RMSE, NSE, and WI values were 0.928 and 0.751, 0.117 g/l and 0.095 g/l, 0.861 and 0.541, 0.962 and 0.859, respectively. Our findings showed that the WANN model was the second-best model during the testing phase for both sites. Hence, the WSVM technique can model SSC at this location and other similar (i.e., geomorphology and flow regime type) rivers.

Reference crop evapotranspiration (ET_o) is an important component of the hydrological cycle that is used for water resource planning, irrigation, and agricultural management, as well as in other hydrological processes. The aim of this study was to estimate the ET_o based on limited meteorological data using an artificial neural network (ANN) method. The daily data of minimum temperature (T_min), maximum temperature (T_max), mean temperature (T_mean), solar radiation (SR), humidity (H), wind speed (WS), sunshine hours (Ssh), maximum global radiation (grad_max), minimum global radiation (grad_min), day length, and ET_o data were obtained over the long-term period from 1969 to 2019. The analysed data were divided into two parts from 1969 to 2007 and from 2008 to 2019 for model training and testing, respectively. The optimal ANN for forecasting ET_o included T_max, T_min, H, and SR at hidden layers (4, 3); grad_min, SR, and WS at (6, 4); SR, day length, Ssh, and T_mean at (3, 2); all collected parameters at hidden layer (5, 4). The results showed different alternative methods for estimation of ET_o in case of a lack of climate data with high performance. Models using ANN can help promote the decision-making for water managers, designers, and development planners.

In the present study, estimating pan evaporation (E_pan) was evaluated based on different input parameters: maximum and minimum temperatures, relative humidity, wind speed, and bright sunshine hours. The techniques used for estimating E_pan were the artificial neural network (ANN), wavelet-based ANN (WANN), radial function-based support vector machine (SVM-RF), linear function-based SVM (SVM-LF), and multi-linear regression (MLR) models. The proposed models were trained and tested in three different scenarios (Scenario 1, Scenario 2, and Scenario 3) utilizing different percentages of data points. Scenario 1 includes 60%: 40%, Scenario 2 includes 70%: 30%, and Scenario 3 includes 80%: 20% accounting for the training and testing dataset, respectively. The various statistical tools such as Pearson’s correlation coefficient (PCC), root mean square error (RMSE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and Willmott Index (WI) were used to evaluate the performance of the models. The graphical representation, such as a line diagram, scatter plot, and the Taylor diagram, were also used to evaluate the proposed model’s performance. The model results showed that the SVM-RF model’s performance is superior to other proposed models in all three scenarios. The most accurate values of PCC, RMSE, NSE, and WI were found to be 0.607, 1.349, 0.183, and 0.749, respectively, for the SVM-RF model during Scenario 1 (60%: 40% training: testing) among all scenarios. This showed that with an increase in the sample set for training, the testing data would show a less accurate modeled result. Thus, the evolved models produce comparatively better outcomes and foster decision-making for water managers and planners.