Ye Tian

Straw burning is a major source of regional air pollution. However, its reliable remote sensing detection faces problems in distinguishing agricultural fires from non-agricultural thermal anomalies, adequately leveraging burning seasonality, and overcoming the scarcity of pixel-level annotations. To comprehensively address these issues, this study proposes an end-to-end framework for straw burning identification that integrates spatio-temporal weighting and semi-supervised learning. The framework introduces a data-driven spatial weight optimization method to automatically learn discriminative weights for diverse land cover types (e.g., farmland, industry), replacing subjective empirical settings. Furthermore, a temporal weighting model, developed using Kernel Density Estimation, dynamically adjusts classification confidence according to historical burning seasonality, enhancing recall during peak seasons while suppressing off-season false positives. Finally, an adapted Dual-Backbone Dynamic Mutual Training (DB-DMT) strategy collaboratively leverages both limited labeled (24.5%) and abundant unlabeled (75.5%) high-resolution imagery, significantly improving model generalization in label-scarce scenarios. Validation across five representative regions of China demonstrated the framework’s superior performance, achieving a semantic segmentation mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) improvement of 3.33% (to 71.92%) and increasing precision in Henan from 95.21% to 97.71%. Crucially, the framework effectively reduced the off-season false positive rate (FPR) from 5.14% to a mere 0.23% in highly industrialized regions like Tianjin. By systematically mitigating both spatial geolocation bias and seasonal phenology confusion, our approach offers a robust and scalable solution for straw burning monitoring and a transferable paradigm for other environmental remote sensing applications.

Lightning is a major natural ignition source of wildfires across forest, grassland, and cropland ecosystems. Accurate prediction of lightning-ignited fire occurrence remains challenging due to uncertainties in spatiotemporal alignment caused by vegetation-dependent smoldering delays and the difficulty of representing heterogeneous fuel conditions in mixed-vegetation regions. This study proposes a semi-automated lightning–fire alignment framework that integrates land cover information and historical fire records to improve spatiotemporal matching across different vegetation types and to reduce misclassification from human-induced fires in agricultural areas. To better characterize fuel conditions, two feature-level vegetation fusion parameters—total vegetation cover and leaf area index weight—are introduced and combined with hourly meteorological variables and lightning characteristics to develop a tuned random forest prediction model. The framework is applied at a regional scale in the Greater Khingan Mountains and southwestern forest regions of China, with predictions conducted at an event-based temporal scale using hourly inputs. The vegetation-fused model achieves an AUC of 0.93, outperforming models without vegetation fusion. Analysis of model outputs indicates that hourly maximum temperature, leaf area index weight, precipitation, and wind speed are key factors influencing lightning-ignited fire occurrence. This study demonstrates the value of semi-automated alignment and vegetation feature fusion for improving lightning-ignited fire prediction in heterogeneous landscapes, supporting regional wildfire risk assessment and potential early-warning applications.

Forest fires are a frequent and destructive phenomenon in Southwestern China, posing significant threats to ecological systems and human lives and property. In response to the growing need for effective forest fire prevention, this study introduces an innovative method for predicting and assessing forest fire risk. By integrating multi-source data, including optical and microwave remote sensing, meteorological, topographic, and human activity data, the approach enhances the sensitivity of risk models to vegetation water content and other critical factors. The vegetation water content is derived from both Vegetation Optical Depth and optical remote sensing data, allowing for a more accurate assessment of changes in vegetation moisture that influence fire risk. A time series prediction model, incorporating attention mechanisms, is used to assess the probability of fire occurrence. Additionally, the method includes fire spread simulations based on Cellular Automaton and Monte Carlo approaches to evaluate potential burn areas. This combined approach can provide a comprehensive fire risk assessment using the probability of both fire occurrence and potential fire spread. Experimental results show that the integration of microwave data and attention mechanisms improves prediction accuracy by 2.8%. This method offers valuable insights for forest fire management, aiding in targeted prevention strategies and resource allocation.

Forest fires are significant disturbances to ecosystems, necessitating accurate mapping of burned areas and assessment of burn severity. Firstly, we reconstruct a dataset whose label uses a more flexible classification method from Landsat imagery and establish auxiliary environmental datasets for fire-affected regions. Leveraging vegetation change pre-fire and post-fire, we propose a transformer-based change detection model that integrates remote sensing and environmental information effectively. We introduce a multi-level feature fusion mechanism to address spatial resolution degradation in burn severity estimation. Experimental results show our model closely approximates evaluation dataset labels. For burned area segmentation, our method achieves the highest F1 (0.897) and mIoU of 0.781. For burn severity estimation, our method also achieves the highest mIoU (0.851). Incorporating auxiliary features improves performance by nearly 30%, while the multi-level feature fusion mechanism reduces resolution degradation by 9.6%.

Fire Radiative Power (FRP) is a key indicator for evaluating the intensity of wildfires, unlike traditional real-time fire lines or combustion areas that only provide binary information, and its accurate prediction is more important for firefighting actions and environmental pollution assessment. To this end, we used a combination of data from geostationary satellites and polar orbit satellites to correct FRP data. Incorporating various factors that affect wildfire spread, such as meteorological conditions, topography, vegetation indexes, and population density, we constructed a comprehensive California wildfire spread dataset, covering information since 2017. Then, we established a deep learning framework that integrates various modules to analyze multimodal data for the accurate prediction of FRP imagery. We investigated the impact of input sequence length and loss function design on model predictive performance, leading to subsequent model optimization. Furthermore, our model has demonstrated acceptable performance in transfer learning and multi-step prediction, emphasizing its application value in wildfire prediction and management. It can provide more detailed information about wildfire spread, showcasing the powerful capability of deep learning to process multimodal data and its potential in the emerging field of real-time FRP prediction.

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Forest fires, as severe natural disasters, pose significant threats to ecosystems and human societies, and their spread is characterized by constant evolution over time and space. This complexity presents an immense challenge in predicting the course of forest fire spread. Traditional methods of forest fire spread prediction are constrained by their ability to process multidimensional fire-related data, particularly in the integration of spatiotemporal information. To address these limitations and enhance the accuracy of forest fire spread prediction, we proposed the AutoST-Net model. This innovative encoder–decoder architecture combines a three-dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (3DCNN) with a transformer to effectively capture the dynamic local and global spatiotemporal features of forest fire spread. The model also features a specially designed attention mechanism that works to increase predictive precision. Additionally, to effectively guide the firefighting work in the southwestern forest regions of China, we constructed a forest fire spread dataset, including forest fire status, weather conditions, terrain features, and vegetation status based on Google Earth Engine (GEE) and Himawari-8 satellite. On this dataset, compared to the CNN-LSTM combined model, AutoST-Net exhibits performance improvements of 5.06% in MIou and 6.29% in F1-score. These results demonstrate the superior performance of AutoST-Net in the task of forest fire spread prediction from remote sensing images.

The drastic increase of forest fire occurrence, which in recent years has posed severe threat and damage worldwide to the natural environment and human society, necessitates smoke detection of the early forest fire. First, a semantic segmentation method based on multiple color spaces feature fusion is put forward for forest fire smoke detection. Considering that smoke images in different color spaces may contain varied and distinctive smoke features which are beneficial for improving the detection ability of a model, the proposed model integrates the function of multi-scale and multi-type self-adaptive weighted feature fusion with attention augmentation to extract the enriched and complementary fused features of smoke, utilizing smoke images from multi-color spaces as inputs. Second, the model is trained and evaluated on part of the FIgLib dataset containing high-quality smoke images from watchtowers in the forests, incorporating various smoke types and complex background conditions, with a satisfactory smoke segmentation result for forest fire detection. Finally, the optimal color space combination and the fusion strategy for the model is determined through elaborate and extensive experiments with a superior segmentation result of 86.14 IoU of smoke obtained.