Rongsheng Huang
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Research Subjects
Research Interests
Rongsheng Huang has a total of 2 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Hanwen Cui
School of Computer Science, Zhuhai College of Science and Technology, Zhuhai 519041, China
1 shared publication - Yongdong Shi
School of Business, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macao 999078, China
1 shared publication
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 8 October 2021
- Published by MDPI AG in International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
- Vol. 18 (19) , 10548
Prediction and Analysis of Tourist Management Strategy Based on the SEIR Model during the COVID-19 Period
Tourism destinations are now facing a dilemma choice of controlling the epidemic or developing the economy. This paper takes Macao, a typical international tourist city, as an example to study the strategy of tourist source control during the COVID-19 period. According to the published epidemic data of Macao, this study has established an improved SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) model, formulated six control strategies against the current epidemic, and used the model above to simulate the time required for all confirmed cases to recover and discharge under different strategies. By taking into consideration the gross revenue of Macao’s gambling industry from 2017 to 2019, the impact of different strategies on the economy is predicted and three control strategies are found to be feasible. This study shows that an effective way to break through the above dilemma is to design the tourist management strategy by screening the source of passengers and controlling the upper limit of capacity of destination. These findings provide a scientific basis for tourism destinations in formulating public policies. The improved SEIR model is more consistent with the actual conversion rule of patients in the current COVID-19 epidemic, and it can be applied to further public health related research.
- 8 October 2021
- Published by MDPI AG in International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
- Vol. 18 (19) , 10548
Open AccessPrediction and Analysis of Tourist Management Strategy Based on the SEIR Model during the COVID-19 Period
Tourism destinations are now facing a dilemma choice of controlling the epidemic or developing the economy. This paper takes Macao, a typical international tourist city, as an example to study the strategy of tourist source control during the COVID-19 period. According to the published epidemic data of Macao, this study has established an improved SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) model, formulated six control strategies against the current epidemic, and used the model above to simulate the time required for all confirmed cases to recover and discharge under different strategies. By taking into consideration the gross revenue of Macao’s gambling industry from 2017 to 2019, the impact of different strategies on the economy is predicted and three control strategies are found to be feasible. This study shows that an effective way to break through the above dilemma is to design the tourist management strategy by screening the source of passengers and controlling the upper limit of capacity of destination. These findings provide a scientific basis for tourism destinations in formulating public policies. The improved SEIR model is more consistent with the actual conversion rule of patients in the current COVID-19 epidemic, and it can be applied to further public health related research.