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Ahmed M. Elshewey has a total of 117 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:


Latest Publications

  • Open Access

    Hybrid GWO–GA optimized LSTM–MLP framework for highly accurate palmer drought severity index prediction

    by Sarah M. Alhammad, Fatma Harby Mohamed, Ahmed M. Osman, Yasser Fouad, Hazem M. El-Bakry, Ahmed M. Elshewey

  • Open Access

    Cross-Validated Adaptive Grey–ARIMA Hybrid forecasting of annual municipal water consumption under structural change: a case study of Suez City, Egypt

    by Samah A. Z. Hassan, Nourhan Mohsen, Nada Ahmed, Yasser Fouad, Ahmed M. Elshewey

  • Hybrid deep learning model BiLSTM–BiGRU for energy prediction using recursive feature elimination and cuckoo search

    by Nada Ahmed, Yasser Fouad, Safia Abbas, Ahmed M. Osman, Ahmed M. Elshewey

  • Open Access

    Vehicle CO₂ emission prediction based on firefly with ant colony optimization tuned long short-term memory model

    by Safia Abbas, Yasser Fouad, Sarah M. Alhammad, Ahmed M. Osman, Hazem M. El-Bakry, Ahmed M. Elshewey

    Accurate vehicle-level CO₂ emission prediction is essential for regulatory planning and greener powertrain design. This study presents an integrated FA–ACO–LSTM framework for estimating vehicle-level tailpipe CO₂ emissions from standard vehicle descriptors. The contribution lies in combining leakage-aware Binary Firefly feature selection, mixed-variable FA–ACO hyperparameter tuning, repeated-run evaluation, and post hoc interpretability into a unified prediction pipeline. Using a public fuel-consumption dataset sourced from the official Canadian vehicle fuel-consumption and emissions registry (open government portal) (22,556 vehicles), we adopt a 70/20/10 train/validation/test split and perform wrapper-based feature selection with Binary Firefly Algorithm (BFA). The FA–ACO scheduler jointly tunes hyperparameters for five candidate learners (LSTM, CNN, GRU, MLP, TabNet) and selects the best. FA–ACO-LSTM attains MSE = 0.0099, MAE = 0.0791, MedAE = 0.0664, MAPE = 0.84%, and R² = 98.71% on the test set, surpassing FA–ACO-CNN (R² = 93.55%), FA–ACO-GRU (90.03%), FA–ACO-MLP (87.60%), and FA–ACO-TabNet (84.88%). Compared with untuned baselines, FA–ACO improves LSTM from R² = 96.53% to 98.71% and reduces MSE by 45%. BFA yields the lowest average error among feature selectors versus BMWO, BFO, and BGWO, and an ANOVA across models confirms significance (F = 30.2, p < 0.0001). These results represent a fuel-consumption-informed prediction scenario because the selected feature set includes COMB (L/100 km), HWY (L/100 km), and COMB (mpg), which are strongly associated with certified CO₂ emissions. When all fuel-consumption indicators were excluded before feature selection and training, model performance decreased from \(\:{R}^{2}=98.71\%\)to \(\:{R}^{2}=88.08\%\). The ablation confirms that fuel-consumption proxies account for a substantial part of the main predictive performance, while non-consumption vehicle attributes retain meaningful predictive value, and indicates that, under the adopted fixed feature-ordering representation and FA–ACO tuning protocol, LSTM achieved the best performance among the evaluated neural and tabular baselines. However, because the dataset is cross-sectional rather than temporal, the LSTM should be interpreted as a feature-interaction learner rather than a temporal forecasting model.

  • Open Access

    Earthquake magnitude estimation using an optimized CNN-DNN-GRU model with binary differential evolution and firefly algorithm

    by Nada Ahmed, Safia Abbas, Yasser Fouad, Ahmed M. Osman, Hazem M. El-Bakry, Ahmed M. Elshewey

    Accurate earthquake magnitude estimation is critical for mitigating seismic hazards; however, the inherently nonlinear and dynamic characteristics of geophysical data present persistent modeling challenges. To address this complexity, this study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework, CNN-DNN-GRU. This architecture synergizes Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial feature extraction, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) for hierarchical data representation, and Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) for capturing long-term temporal dependencies. The framework’s efficacy is further enhanced by integrating Binary Differential Evolution (BDE) for robust feature selection and the Firefly Algorithm (FA) for rigorous hyperparameter tuning. The model was trained and evaluated on a comprehensive tabular dataset comprising 3,500,000 seismic event instances—detailing parameters such as magnitude, depth, and geospatial coordinates—spanning from 1990 to 2023, utilizing a chronological 70%–15%–15% split for training, validation, and independent testing, respectively. Empirical evaluation demonstrates the proposed model’s high predictive accuracy, yielding a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0109, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.1048, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0837, Median Absolute Error (MedAE) of 0.0709, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.0230, and a Coefficient of Determination (\(R^2\)) of 0.9918. These findings validate the architecture’s superior generalization capabilities, establishing it as a highly reliable computational tool for a magnitude-estimation component that may support future early-warning-oriented systems when integrated with real-time waveform and station-level data.

  • Open Access

    House price prediction using a hybrid GRU–MLP based on binary whale optimization algorithm and ant colony optimization for hyperparameter tuning

    by Sarah M. Alhammad, Yasser Fouad, Amira A. Mahmoud, Ahmed M. Osman, Hazem M. El-Bakry, Ahmed M. Elshewey

    Accurate house price prediction is essential for real estate valuation, investment planning, and intelligent property decision-support systems. This study proposes an optimized hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Gated Recurrent Unit and Multilayer Perceptron model with the Binary Whale Optimization Algorithm for feature selection and Ant Colony Optimization for hyperparameter tuning. The proposed framework was evaluated using a publicly available Kaggle house price regression dataset containing 500 housing records with structural, locational, and amenity-related attributes. The dataset was divided into training, validation, and testing subsets using a 70:20:10 ratio, and leakage-free normalization was applied using only the training data. Experimental results show that the proposed BWOA–ACO–GRU–MLP model outperformed standalone GRU, MLP, CNN, LSTM, and BiLSTM models. It achieved an MSE of 0.0146, MAE of 0.1051, RMSE of 0.1208, MAPE of 0.0112, MedAE of 0.0969, and an R 2 of 99.04%. These results demonstrate that combining feature selection, hyperparameter optimization, and hybrid neural regression improves prediction accuracy and model stability for house price estimation. The proposed framework provides a reliable data-driven approach for smart real estate valuation applications.

  • Open Access

    Air quality prediction via hybrid BiGRU-MLP using binary ant colony optimization and firefly algorithm for hyperparameter tuning

    by Amira A. Mahmoud, Sarah M. Alhammad, Yasser Fouad, Ahmed M. Osman, Hazem M. El-Bakry, Ahmed M. Elshewey

    Air quality prediction is an important environmental task that supports pollution monitoring, public health protection, and sustainable urban decision-making. This study proposes a hybrid BiGRU-MLP prediction framework enhanced using Binary Ant Colony Optimization (BACO) for feature selection and the Firefly Algorithm (FA) for hyperparameter tuning. The proposed model was evaluated using the public Air Quality dataset from Kaggle, which contains 9,357 records and multiple pollutant and meteorological attributes, including CO(GT), NOx(GT), NO2(GT), temperature, relative humidity, and sensor-based air quality indicators. The dataset was divided into 70% training, 20% validation, and 10% testing subsets to ensure reliable model development and unbiased performance evaluation. Several baseline models were implemented for comparison, including BiGRU, MLP, Neural Network (NN), LSTM, and BiLSTM. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed BiGRU-MLP model achieved the best predictive performance, obtaining an MSE of 0.0001, RMSE of 0.0101, MAE of 0.0081, MedAE of 0.0070, MAPE of 0.0008, and R² of 99.99%. In comparison, the standalone BiGRU achieved an R² of 96.87%, while MLP, NN, LSTM, and BiLSTM achieved R² values of 95.17%, 92.71%, 90.88%, and 89.29%, respectively. These results confirm that combining BiGRU’s temporal learning capability with MLP’s nonlinear feature representation significantly improves prediction accuracy. The integration of BACO and FA further enhances the model by selecting informative features and optimizing model parameters. Therefore, the proposed framework provides an accurate and efficient solution for air quality prediction and can support intelligent environmental monitoring systems.

  • Open Access

    A hybrid CNN-DNN model for battery remaining useful life RUL prediction

    by Hala Khoufi, Emna Bouazizi, Ayman E. Khedr, Ahmed M. Elshewey

    Accurate prediction of the Remaining Useful Life of lithium-ion batteries is essential for enhancing reliability, safety, and maintenance planning in energy storage systems. This study proposes an optimized hybrid deep learning framework that integrates Convolutional Neural Networks with Deep Neural Networks for effective battery remaining useful life prediction. The model leverages convolutional neural network layers to automatically extract discriminative features from multivariate battery degradation data, while deep neural network layers model complex nonlinear relationships for precise regression estimation. To further enhance predictive performance and reduce feature redundancy, Binary Particle Swarm Optimization is employed for optimal feature selection. Experiments were conducted using a publicly available lithium-ion battery degradation dataset comprising 680 samples with electrical, thermal, and health-related parameters, including State of Health and remaining useful life indicators. The dataset was divided into training, validation, and testing subsets with proportions of 70%, 15%, and 15%, respectively. A comprehensive performance evaluation was performed using Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, Median Absolute Error, Mean Absolute Error, and the coefficient of determination. The proposed hybrid model achieved superior performance with a Mean Squared Error of 0.0141, Mean Absolute Error of 0.0931, Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 0.0142, Median Absolute Error of 0.0739, and a coefficient of determination of 99.01%, significantly outperforming comparative deep learning models. These results demonstrate that the proposed framework provides a robust and accurate solution for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction and supports its potential deployment in intelligent battery management systems.