Zhe Ni

The annual variation trend of the gravity and lithospheric magnetic field for adjacent periods are analyzed by using the observation of rover gravity and geomagnetic fields in Yunnan from 2011 to 2021, which tend to be consistent every year during the seismogenic process of a strong earthquake. Thus, this study normalizes the annual value of the adjacent periods for the gravity and lithospheric magnetic field. The normalized values are converted into two classifications that can be compared within [−1,1]. In Yunnan Province, a grid of 0.1° × 0.1° was used to compare the data correlation between the variation of gravity and the variation in the lithospheric magnetic field at the same location. The results are as follows. First, the variation trend of the gravity field and total magnetic field tend to be synchronous year to year in strong earthquake years. The range of consistency increases gradually with the approach of the earthquake year reaching its maximum one year before the earthquake. Throughout the region, the overlap number of normalized annual variations in gravity and magnetic field reaches its maximum, and the peak difference of kernel density curve reaches its minimum. Second, the correlation coefficient of the annual variation in the gravity and magnetic field increases year to year during the development of a strong earthquake within a smaller region surrounding the event. The maximum appears one year before the earthquake, and after the earthquake, the correlation decreases. The analysis of gravity and magnetic fusion characteristics can be employed for the prediction of strong earthquakes.

We improved the surface spline method to make the centers of the base functions fixed. This improvement makes it meaningful to analyze the time series of coefficients. Based on the revised surface spline (RSS) method and 2382 geomagnetic data measured in mainland China, we built Chinese Geomagnetic Reference Field 2020 (CGRF2020) to describe the spatial distribution of the geomagnetic field in most of China and surrounding areas. The root mean square residual is 0.1318 degrees for D, 0.0857 degrees for I, 93.70 nT for F, 73.94 nT for X, 65.02 nT for Y, and 97.82 nT for Z. The values of F, X, Y, and Z are about 20 nT less than those by the SCH method and IGRF13. We also preliminarily analyzed the correlation between geomagnetic anomalies and geological structures.

The tectonic processes leading up to an earthquake and the occurrence of the earthquake itself will cause local changes in the geophysical field (geomagnetic field, stress field, etc.). In this paper, the variation characteristics of the tectonic stress field (TSF) and local geomagnetic field (LGF) before and after the Yangbi Ms 6.4 earthquake are studied. The regional stress tensor damping inversion method was used to invert the TSF using focal mechanism solutions (FMSs). The change characteristics of the TSF before and after the earthquake were analyzed. An annual variation model of the LGF was constructed, and the variation of the horizontal vector was analyzed. The azimuth and plunge of the maximum principal compressive stress axis of the TSF in the epicentral region before and after the earthquake were −4.4° and 2.7°, 172.7° and 6.6°, respectively. The variations in the declination, inclination and total intensity of the epicenter one year before and one month after the earthquake were −0.20′ (0.07′), 0.29′ (−0.12′), and −1.7 nT (−1.9 nT), respectively. The epicenter is located at the boundary of the “weak variation region” of the horizontal vector. This research is of great significance concerning the TSF background and incubation mechanism of earthquakes.