Argyris Oraiopoulos

Great Britain has a temperate climate, but like other countries, its weather patterns have already been profoundly affected by climate change, and the changes are very likely to continue for decades. It also has an older building stock than most other countries, which may mean it is more difficult to adapt the built environment to reduce vulnerability to climate hazards. However, Great Britain has excellent mapping and buildings data. The built environment is better described than most other countries, and the authors’ work on the National Buildings Database for Great Britain, which draws together the most reliable sources of data covering non-domestic buildings in England, Scotland and Wales, provides an unparalleled opportunity to evaluate how many people will be affected by climate hazards. There has been considerable research effort assessing how housing will be affected by climate change, but so far much less systematic assessment of impacts on non-domestic buildings. Here, the authors examine three aspects of climate hazard affecting people in non-domestic buildings in Great Britain: (1) Overheating—How many and what types of non-domestic buildings are vulnerable to overheating risks in a heat wave? What total floor area is affected, and how many people typically occupy these buildings? (2) Flooding—How many and what types of non-domestic buildings are threatened by flooding now and in 2080? How much floorspace is threatened, and how many people typically occupy these buildings? (3) Safe space—How much air-conditioned ‘safe space’ is available where people vulnerable to overheating risks could retreat to in an emergency overheating event (e.g., schools or hospitals)? How many people could be accommodated, and what fraction of the total GB working population does this represent? We propose five new metrics to assess two of the immediate hazards posed by climate change (overheating and flooding) and to begin to assess to what extent Great Britain could find temporary accommodation for people displaced by these hazards.

Proactive strategies for data-driven operational schedules based on monitored occupancy patters can enable energy demand reduction and optimal resource utilisation. A replicable framework that enables strategic closure of specific thermal zones is introduced and design and operational considerations are discussed. The potential of the framework is illustrated through a case study building, where up to 6% annual energy savings were estimated, highlighting the effectiveness of zone closures. Further findings indicated that total energy savings from the simultaneous closure of multiple zones were marginally larger compared to savings from closing off zones individually, depending on zone capacity and use. Therefore, balanced considerations should take place prior to selecting which zones to close off, also taking into account user acceptability, capacity of systems and controls as well as the internal layout of the building. The research enhances the understanding of the relationship between occupancy and energy demand, while offering recommendations for more energy efficient and sustainable building design and operations that require minimal capital cost. Practical Application: This paper provides design and operational considerations based on a robust and replicable framework for energy savings by optimising operational building schedules based on monitored occupancy patterns. This allows a proactive implementation of data-driven strategies that maximise resource utilisation, such as closure of specific zones during periods of low occupancy, without requiring any physical intervention. The findings on a case study building demonstrate that annual energy savings can be achieved, underscoring the potential for substantial cost reductions and improved energy efficiency. Applications can also extend to optimising energy demand for energy flexibility.