Adil Gourinda

Introduction: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is unpredictable and it varies from mild to severe and critical forms that are associated with a higher mortality rate. Risk factors associated with severe forms of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection have been investigated worldwide. We aimed to evaluate the clinical course of severe COVID-19 patients and to compare them with the non-severe patients concerning clinical and epidemiological characteristics, biological parameters and outcomes and thus, highlight the factors associated with severe forms of COVID-19 in our country. Methods: This is a single-center, ambidirectional cohort study, conducted in Tangier’s COVID-19 care premises. We included diagnosed COVID-19 patients between August 2020 and October 2021. Sampling was performed through stratification according to clinical forms. All patients were followed-up throughout disease evolution, until remission for mild to moderate forms and 30 days after discharge for hospitalized patient’s group (severe to critical forms). Data were collected using the WHO International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection (ISARIC) case report form (CRF) and extracted from medical records alongside with interviews with patients and their relatives. Results: Among 915 included COVID-19 patients in Tangier, the non-severe group comprised 344 (37.6%) patients and the severe group comprised 571 (62.4%) patients. Some 514 were males (56.2%) and 401 were females (43.8%) and the mean age was 56.01 years (±16.76). The mean delay from onset of symptoms to diagnosis was 6.65 days ±4.68 in the severe group and 5.4 days ±4.57 in the non-severe group (p<0.001). Among the severe patient’s group, 230 (40.3%) patients were admitted to the resuscitation unit, 258 (45.2%) patients were deceased during hospitalization, 313 (54.8%) were discharged alive, and 16 deaths occurred after discharge. Demographic, clinical, and biological characteristics showed significant differences between non-severe group and severe group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed increased odds of severity with male gender (adjusted odds ratio, aOR=2.91, p<0.003), age over 65 years old (aOR=2.68, p<0.001), diabetes (aOR=2.18, p1 mg/mL) (aOR=6.09, p<0.001), superinfection (aOR=3.78, p<0.001), and baseline lymphopenia < 1000c/mm3 (aOR=8.66, p 65 years, male gender, diabetes, elevated D-dimers, baseline lymphopenia, and superinfection. To predict severe and fatal COVID-19, factors identified may be used in the development of prediction tools for COVID-19 prognosis and risk stratification. Recalling the importance of considering at-risk populations, the management of epidemics must be planned in conjunction with the specificity of each community. Findings from our study may serve for health economic analyses and research in order to assist public health decisions in the future and should be integrated into health emergency preparedness and response strategies ensuring a resilient health system.

Since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, several studies have been conducted around the world in an attempt to understand this heterogeneous and unpredictable disease and to prevent related death. It was therefore necessary to study the associated risk factors of Covid-19-related mortality. The aim of this study was to describe the clinical profile and to identify the factors associated with mortality of patients with Covid-19 in Morocco. We performed a mixed cohort study (retrospective and prospective) of 615 in-patients with Covid-19 disease, enrolled between August 2020 and October 2021. We followed the cohort throughout the hospitalization until discharge and 30 days thereafter. The median age was 64 years old; 62.1% of the patients were male. The mean time from symptom onset to hospitalization was 8.5 days (±4.67), and 68.1% of patients had comorbidities. On admission, the most common symptoms were dyspnea (82.2%), cough (80.3%), and fever (76.8%). The main follow-up complication was secondary infection (56.9%). Based on univariate analysis, male gender (pbRR}=1.57), advanced age (pbRR=2.45), elevated creatinine (p500 U/l (pbRR=7.16), receiving corticosteroids (pbRR=5.08), invasive ventilation (pbRR=30.10), the stay in the resuscitation unit (pbRR=13.37), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (pbRR=10.98) were associated with a higher risk of death. In the opposite, receiving azithromycin and hydroxychloroquine (pbRR=0.28) and pre-admission anticoagulants (p60 years (p<0.001 and adjusted odds ratio {aOR}=4.90), the use of invasive ventilation (p<0.001 and aOR=9.60), the stay in the resuscitation unit (p<0.001 and aOR=5.09), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (p60 years, the use of invasive ventilation, the stay in the resuscitation unit, and acute respiratory distress syndrome were independent predictors of Covid-19 mortality. The results of this study can be used to improve knowledge for better clinical management of Covid-19 in-patients.