Ke Su

Background The impact of age on the causes of death (CODs) in patients with early-stage intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) who had undergone surgery was analyzed in this study. Methods A total of 1555 patients (885 in the older group and 670 in the younger group) were included in this study. Before and after applying inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), the different CODs in the 2 groups were further investigated. Additionally, 7 different machine learning models were used as predictive tools to identify key variables, aiming to evaluate the therapeutic outcome in early ICC patients undergoing surgery. Results Before (5.92 vs. 4.08 years, P < 0.001) and after (6.00 vs. 4.08 years, P < 0.001) IPTW, the younger group consistently showed longer overall survival (OS) compared with the older group. Before IPTW, there were no significant differences in cholangiocarcinoma-related deaths (CRDs, P = 0.7) and secondary malignant neoplasms (SMNs, P = 0.78) between the 2 groups. However, the younger group had a lower cumulative incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD, P = 0.006) and other causes (P < 0.001) compared with the older group. After IPTW, there were no differences between the 2 groups in CRDs (P = 0.2), SMNs (P = 0.7), and CVD (P = 0.1). However, the younger group had a lower cumulative incidence of other CODs compared with the older group (P < 0.001). The random forest (RF) model showed the highest C-index of 0.703. Time-dependent variable importance bar plots showed that age was the most important factor affecting the 2-, 4-, and 6-year survival, followed by stage and size. Conclusions Our study confirmed that younger patients have longer OS compared with older patients. Further analysis of the CODs indicated that older patients are more likely to die from CVDs. The RF model demonstrated the best predictive performance and identified age as the most important factor affecting OS in early ICC patients undergoing surgery.

Background: Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is a developing technique and its efficacy and modality of application in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still controversial. This network meta-analysis aims to determine whether the efficacy and safety of SIRT alone and in combination are superior to that of sorafenib. Methods: Four databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science) were searched before August 2022. Cochrane Randomized Trial Risk of Bias Assessment Tool and the Newcastle–Ottawa scale were used to assess the quality. The outcomes of interest included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and adverse events (AEs). Results: A total of 9 eligible trials involving 1954 patients were included, and SIRT ranked first among the three treatment modalities in terms of both OS (probability, 52.3%) and PFS (probability, 68.6%). The combination of SIRT and sorafenib did not improve OS or PFS in patients with HCC. Although the combination of SIRT and sorafenib did not raise the risk of grade 3 or higher AEs, it may have introduced more AEs than either alone. Conclusions: SIRT alone was found to be superior to sorafenib and the combination of the two in improving OS or PFS in patients with non-surgical HCC, especially in patients with combined portal vein tumor thrombus. The AEs induced by SIRT were different from those of sorafenib, but the overall toxicity was manageable, the combination of the two may cause an increase in the types of AEs that occur.