Shijie Xie

Rockburst is an extremely hazardous geological disaster. In order to accurately predict the hazardous degree of rockbursts, this paper proposes eight new classification models for predicting the intensity level of rockbursts based on intelligent optimisation algorithms and deep learning techniques and collects 287 sets of real rockburst data to form a sample database, in which six quantitative indicators are selected as feature parameters. In order to validate the effectiveness of the constructed eight machine learning prediction models, the study selected Accuracy, Precision, Recall and F1 Score to evaluate the prediction performance of each model. The results show that the NGO-CNN-BiGRU-Attention model has the best prediction performance, with an accuracy of 0.98. Subsequently, engineering validation of the model is carried out using eight sets of real rockburst data from Daxiangling Tunnel, and the results show that the model has a strong generalisation ability and can satisfy the relevant engineering applications. In addition, this paper also uses SHAP technology to quantify the impact of different factors on the rockburst intensity level and found that the elastic strain energy index and stress ratio have the greatest impact on the rockburst intensity level.

The peak dilation angle is an important mechanical feature of rock discontinuities, which is significant in assessing the mechanical behaviour of rock masses. Previous studies have shown that the efficiency and accuracy of traditional experimental methods and analytical models in determining the shear dilation angle are not completely satisfactory. Machine learning methods are popular due to their efficient prediction of outcomes for multiple influencing factors. In this paper, a novel hybrid machine learning model is proposed for predicting the peak dilation angle. The model incorporates support vector regression (SVR) techniques as the primary prediction tools, augmented with the grid search optimization algorithm to enhance prediction performance and optimize hyperparameters. The proposed model was employed on eighty-nine datasets with six input variables encompassing morphology and mechanical property parameters. Comparative analysis is conducted between the proposed model, the original SVR model, and existing analytical models. The results show that the proposed model surpasses both the original SVR model and analytical models, with a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.917 and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 4.5%. Additionally, the study also reveals that normal stress is the most influential mechanical property parameter affecting the peak dilation angle. Consequently, the proposed model was shown to be effective in predicting the peak dilation angle of rock discontinuities.