Chengyu Han

This paper proposes a feedback, rolling and adaptive operation decision-making mechanism for coupling and nesting of time scales. It is aimed at the change of time scale and the dynamics in the operation process, considering the relationship between operation period and multi-time scales. The key point is to integrate forecasting and operation in order to adapt to the multi-time scales dynamic change in the operation process. The operation process is divided into different time scales; forecasting and operation model method libraries are constructed, and the progressive updating and nesting mechanism are used to realize the process dynamic operation, according to the regulation period or operation period of the reservoir. Taking the Miyun Reservoir in Beijing, China as the research object, the operation mechanism is integrated into the operation process, and the complex forecasting operation and control mechanism are integrated, based on the integrated platform and using modern information technology. The forecasting and operation method uses classic different models, which can be selected based on different goals. The forecasting inflow is used as input, and the output is the water distribution plan, more importantly, the mechanism in the operation process is the key point. This is a rolling modification of the inflow process in the next stage, and the operation plan also changes accordingly. The feasibility, effectiveness, rationality and flexibility of the reservoir dynamic and adaptive operation are verified, so that the reservoir operation is dynamically changing and adapting to the changing demand. The proposed operation mechanism has scientific value and guiding significance to improve the reservoir operation theory, and it provides decision support for the actual reservoir operation and operation business.

Industrial agglomeration in a region changes the economic structure, strategic layout and resource status of a city, and has an important impact on sustainable economic development. The relationship between industrial agglomeration, air pollution and economic sustainability is a key issue concerning the high-quality development of national economy. China is a developing country that once experienced severe air pollution. Now, the Chinese government is aiming to achieve the goal of sustainable and high-quality economic development in China. In this paper, a spatial Dubin model was developed to study the relationship between industry, environment and the economy. The statistical analysis used the air pollutant data of 273 prefecture-level cities in China from 2015 to 2018. The results showed that: (1) there was a positive U-shaped nonlinear relationship between industrial agglomeration and sustainable economic development, and there was a spatial spillover effect. (2) There was a positive U-shaped nonlinear relationship between air pollution and sustainable economic development, and there was a spatial spillover effect between them. (3) The effect of industrial agglomeration on sustainable economic development was influenced by air pollution, an intermediary variable. The existence of air pollution weakens the promoting effect of industrial agglomeration on sustainable economic development.