Xu Bi

Accurate assessment of carbon storage dynamics and their driving factors is important for ecological sustainability and land management on the Loess Plateau under China’s dual carbon goals. In this study, the InVEST and PLUS models were integrated to evaluate carbon storage changes from 2000 to 2020 and simulate future carbon storage patterns for 2030 under four development scenarios, including natural development (ND), rapid development (RD), cropland protection (CP), and ecological protection (EP). In addition, the XGBoost-SHAP framework was employed to identify the dominant drivers and nonlinear response relationships controlling spatial variation in carbon storage. During 2000–2020, ecosystem carbon storage across the Loess Plateau generally increased, rising from 5.780 Pg to 5.893 Pg. Spatially, carbon storage displayed a pronounced pattern characterized by higher levels in the southeast and lower levels in the northwest, aligning with forest–grassland restoration belts. Scenario simulations showed that EP produced the largest carbon storage gain, with total carbon storage projected to reach 5.962 Pg in 2030. In contrast, RD reduced carbon storage to 5.858 Pg because of intensive construction land expansion. XGBoost-SHAP results identified net primary productivity (NPP) as the most influential factor controlling spatial variation in carbon storage, accounting for 57.3% of the total explanatory importance, whereas soil erosion (SE) exhibited a strong negative effect on carbon storage. Population density (POPD) also exerted a negative effect, whereas gross domestic product (GDP) showed positive contributions in economically developed counties. These findings enhance understanding of the spatial response characteristics of carbon storage under environmental gradients and human disturbance across the Loess Plateau. They further provide scientific support for differentiated ecological management and regionally adapted carbon mitigation planning.

Strong soil erosion and increasing human activities have made Loess Plateau areas ecologically fragile regions. Constructing the ecological security pattern (ESP) is imperative to maintain their ecosystem functions and sustainable development. However, it is still challenging to establish the ESP in such an unstable and scattered ecological environment. In this study, we take Shanxi Province, which suffers severe ecological problems in Loess Plateau areas, as an example to construct the ESP in a pattern of “source-resistance-corridor”. The proposed methods include the following steps: (1) potential ecological sources are selected with important ecosystem functions based on contributions of soil and water conservation, habitat quality, and carbon storage; (2) ecological sources are determined by considering core areas at the landscape scale based on morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA) along with stability based on dynamic assessment on previous sources; (3) the comprehensive resistance surface is constructed by multiple resistance factors and remotely sensed nighttime light data; (4) ecological corridors are simulated and extracted based on circuit theory. As a result, the proposed ESP in our study area mainly includes 13,592 km² of ecological sources, 8519.64 km of ecological corridors, and 277 ecological nodes. Meanwhile, an ecological framework of “two axes, three belts, and three zones” was proposed based on the optimization and reorganization of ecological components within the ESP. Our research lays a methodological and practical foundation for regional ESP construction and sustainable development in Loess Plateau areas.

Precise delineation of marine aquaculture areas is vital for the monitoring and protection of marine resources. However, due to the coexistence of diverse marine aquaculture areas and complex marine environments, it is still difficult to accurately delineate mariculture areas from very high spatial resolution (VHSR) images. To solve such a problem, we built a novel Transformer–CNN hybrid Network, named TCNet, which combined the advantages of CNN for modeling local features and Transformer for capturing long-range dependencies. Specifically, the proposed TCNet first employed a CNN-based encoder to extract high-dimensional feature maps from input images. Then, a hierarchical lightweight Transformer module was proposed to extract the global semantic information. Finally, it employed a coarser-to-finer strategy to progressively recover and refine the classification results. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of TCNet in accurately delineating different types of mariculture areas, with an IoU value of 90.9%. Compared with other state-of-the-art CNN or Transformer-based methods, TCNet showed significant improvement both visually and quantitatively. Our methods make a significant contribution to the development of precision agricultural in coastal regions.

The provision and utilization of grassland resources connect grassland ecosystems and pastoral society. Revealing the mechanism behind the forage supply–demand relationship and balancing forage supply and demand is essential in pastoral socio-ecological systems. Taking Altay Prefecture as the case study, this study quantified the dynamics of natural forage supply, artificial supplemental forage, and forage demand. The ratio of forage supply to demand was calculated in the traditional grazing scenario and the grazing prohibition and supplemental feeding scenario. The results showed that during 2001–2018, the forage supplied by natural grasslands fluctuated, with the highest and lowest values in 2013 and 2008, respectively. The artificial supplemental forage increased at a higher rate in 2011–2018 than in 2001–2010. The overall trend of forage demand was upward, at approximately 2.98 × 10⁴ t/a. The ratio of forage supply to demand decreased in the traditional scenario with an average value of 0.4717 and increased in the grazing prohibition and supplemental feeding scenario with an average value of 0.8289. The influencing factors were analyzed from the perspective of the interactions between the socio-ecological system elements, and the forage supply–demand relationships were conceptualized based on the social–ecological system framework. This study concludes that natural grasslands cannot entirely meet the increasing forage demand without artificial supplemental forage. The increasing artificial supplemental forage has promoted a balance between forage supply and demand, indicating an optimized grassland utilization pattern. The factors that affect forage supply–demand relationships are interrelated, and a holistic perspective should be adopted when implementing management measures.