Jinbei Li

For a long time, drought disasters have brought about a wide range of negative impacts on human socio-economics. Especially in large basins with many tributaries, once hydrological drought occurs synchronously in several tributaries, the hydrological drought condition in the mainstream will be aggravated, which will lead to more serious losses. However, there is still a lack of research on the probabilistic risk of simultaneous hydrologic droughts in various areas of large watersheds. In this study, the Standardized Runoff Index was used to characterize hydrological drought, and the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI) sequence characteristics of each region were analyzed. Subsequently, a multiregional hazard encounter probability distribution model with an R-vine structure was constructed with the help of the vine copula function to study the risk pattern of simultaneous hydrological drought in multiple tributaries under environmental changes. The model results showed that the probability of the four basins gradually decreased from 7.5% to 0.16% when the SRI changed from ≤−0.5 to ≤−2.0, indicating that the likelihood of the joint distribution of the compound disaster decreases with increase in the drought extremes. Meanwhile, the probability of hydrological drought in the three major basins showed significant spatial differences, and the risk ranking was Dongting Lake Basin > Poyang Lake Basin > Han River Basin. The model constructed in this study reveals the disaster risk law, provides theoretical support for the measurement of hydrological drought risk in multiple regions at the same time, and is of great significance for the prediction of compound drought disaster risk.

The changes in cracks on the surface of rock mass reflect the development of geological disasters, so cracks on the surface of rock mass are early signs of geological disasters such as landslides, collapses, and debris flows. To research geological disasters, it is crucial to swiftly and precisely gather crack information on the surface of rock masses. Drone videography surveys can effectively avoid the limitations of the terrain. This has become an essential method in disaster investigation. This manuscript proposes rock crack recognition technology based on deep learning. First, images of cracks on the surface of a rock mass obtained by a drone were cut into small pictures of 640 × 640. Next, a VOC dataset was produced for crack object detection by enhancing the data with data augmentation techniques, labeling the image using Labelimg. Then, we divided the data into test sets and training sets in a ratio of 2:8. Then, the YOLOv7 model was improved by combining different attention mechanisms. This study is the first to combine YOLOv7 and an attention mechanism for rock crack detection. Finally, the rock crack recognition technology was obtained through comparative analysis. The results show that the precision of the improved model using the SimAM attention mechanism can reach 100%, the recall rate can achieve 75%, the AP can reach 96.89%, and the processing time per 100 images is 10 s, which is the optimal model compared with the other five models. The improvement is relative to the original model, in which the precision was improved by 1.67%, the recall by 1.25%, and the AP by 1.45%, with no decrease in running speed. This proves that rock crack recognition technology based on deep learning can achieve rapid and precise results. It provides a new research direction for identifying early signs of geological hazards.