Reza Piraei

Using the global climate model outputs without any adjustment may bring errors in water resources and climate change investigations. This study tackles the critical issue of bias correction temperature in ERA5-Land reanalysis for 10 ground stations in northern Italy using nine machine learning (ML) techniques. Among standalone ML models, XGBoost regression emerged as the most effective standalone ML model, outperforming others across 6 out of 10 stations, while random forest regression, Gaussian process regression, and support vector regression obtained the second to fourth places. In contrast, AdaBoost regression (ABR) achieved the least favorable performance. Furthermore, nine ensemble ML models are proposed to correct bias of the reanalysis of temperature data. The results indicated that the K-nearest neighbors-based ensemble model excelled and secured the top rank in 7 out of 10 stations, while the multiple linear regression-based ensemble model achieved the highest precision in 4 out of 10 stations. Furthermore, other ML-based ensemble models displayed satisfactory results. On the other hand, the ABR-based ensemble model exhibited the lowest accuracy among ML-based ensemble models. The findings highlight the potential of ML-based ensemble models in effectively addressing bias correction in climate data.

River water quality is of utmost importance because the river is not only one of the key water resources but also a natural habitat serving its surrounding environment. In a bid to address whether it has a qualified quality, various analytics are required to be considered, but it is challenging to measure all of them frequently along a river reach. Therefore, estimating water quality index (WQI) incorporating several weighted analytics is a useful approach to assess water quality in rivers. This study explored applications of ten machine learning (ML) models to estimate WQI for the Southern Bug River, which is the second-longest river in Ukraine. The ML methods considered in this study include artificial neural networks (ANNs), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Extreme Learning Machine, Decision Tree Regressor, random forest, AdaBoost (AB), Gradient Boosting Regressor, XGBoost Regressor (XGBR), Gaussian process (GP), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). Each data measurement consists of nine analytics (NH₄, BOD₅, suspended solids, DO, NO₃, NO₂, SO₄, PO₄, Cl), while the quantity of data is more than 2700 data points. The results indicated that all ML models demonstrate satisfactory performance in predicting WQI. However, GP outperformed the other models, followed by XGBR, SVR, and KNN. Furthermore, ANN and AB demonstrated relatively weaker performance. Moreover, a reliability assessment conducted on both training and testing datasets also confirmed the results of the comparative analysis. Overall, the results enhance the assertion that ML models can sufficiently predict WQI, thereby enhancing water quality management.

Bridges are essential structures that connect riverbanks and facilitate transportation. However, bridge piers and abutments can disrupt the natural flow of rivers, causing a rise in water levels upstream of the bridge. The rise in water levels, known as bridge backwater or afflux, can threaten the stability or service of bridges and riverbanks. It is postulated that applications of estimation models with more precise afflux predictions can enhance the safety of bridges in flood-prone areas. In this study, eight machine learning (ML) models were developed to estimate bridge afflux utilizing 202 laboratory and 66 field data. The ML models consist of Support Vector Regression (SVR), Decision Tree Regressor (DTR), Random Forest Regressor (RFR), AdaBoost Regressor (ABR), Gradient Boost Regressor (GBR), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for Regression (XGBR), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN). To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first time that these ML models have been applied to estimate bridge afflux. The performance of ML-based models was compared with those of artificial neural networks (ANN), genetic programming (GP), and explicit equations adopted from previous studies. The results show that most of the ML models utilized in this study can significantly enhance the accuracy of bridge afflux estimations. Nevertheless, a few ML models, like SVR and ABR, did not show a good overall performance, suggesting that the right choice of an ML model is important.