Li Lan

With the increasing maturity of renewable energy technologies and the pressing need to address climate change, urban power systems are striving to integrate a higher proportion of low-carbon renewable energy sources. However, the inherent variability and intermittency of wind and solar power pose significant challenges to the stability and reliability of urban power grids. Existing research has primarily focused on short-term energy storage solutions or small-scale integrated energy systems, which are insufficient to address the long-term, large-scale energy storage needs of urban areas with high renewable energy penetration. This paper proposes a mid-to-long-term capacity expansion model for hydrogen energy storage in urban-scale power systems, using Shanghai as a case study. The model employs mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) to optimize the generation portfolios from the present to 2060 under two scenarios: with and without hydrogen storage. The results demonstrate that by 2060, the installed capacity of hydrogen electrolyzers could reach 21.5 GW, and the installed capacity of hydrogen power generators could reach 27.5 GW, accounting for 30% of the total installed capacity excluding their own. Compared to the base scenario, the electricity–hydrogen collaborative energy supply system increases renewable penetration by 11.6% and utilization by 12.9% while reducing the levelized cost of urban comprehensive electricity (LCOUCE) by 2.514 cents/kWh. These findings highlight the technical feasibility and economic advantages of deploying long-term hydrogen storage in urban grids, providing a scalable solution to enhance the stability and efficiency of high-renewable urban power systems.

Against the backdrop of the global transition towards clean energy, deep-sea wind-power hydrogen production integrates offshore wind with green hydrogen technology. Addressing the technical coupling complexity and the impact of uncertain hydrogen prices, this paper develops a capacity optimization model. The model incorporates floating wind turbine output, the technical distinctions between alkaline (ALK) electrolyzers and proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers, and the synergy with energy storage. Under three hydrogen price scenarios, the results demonstrate that as the price increases from 26 CNY/kg to 30 CNY/kg, the optimal ALK capacity decreases from 2.92 MW to 0.29 MW, while the PEM capacity increases from 3.51 MW to 5.51 MW. Correspondingly, the system’s Net Present Value (NPV) exhibits an upward trend. To address the limitations of traditional methods in handling multi-dimensional benefit correlations and information ambiguity, a comprehensive benefit evaluation framework encompassing economic, technical, environmental, and social synergies was constructed. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the comprehensive benefit level falls within a relatively high-efficiency interval. The numerical characteristics, an entropy value of 3.29 and a hyper-entropy of 0.85, demonstrate compact result distribution and robust stability, validating the applicability and stability of the proposed offshore wind–hydrogen benefit assessment model.

Driven by the goal of “double carbon”, we propose an investment proportion optimization method based on cooperative game theory to optimize the investment of multiple entities and evaluate the effectiveness of the new power system. The asymmetric Nash negotiation model is introduced to balance the interests of each investment entity. At the same time, a comprehensive investment benefit evaluation index system covering economic, environmental, and social benefits is constructed, and the overall investment benefit evaluation is obtained by using the Delphi method, analytic hierarchy process, and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Through the case analysis of the multi-energy complementary energy system project investment, the validity of the multi-subject investment proportion optimization model and the investment benefit analysis model are verified, and the feasibility of the project investment is demonstrated to provide theoretical guidance and practical reference for the research in related fields.

Offshore wind-to-hydrogen production is an effective means of solving the problems of large-scale grid-connected consumption and high power transmission costs of offshore wind power. Site selection is a core component in planning offshore wind-to-hydrogen facilities, involving careful consideration of multiple factors, and is a classic multi-criteria decision-making problem. Therefore, this study proposes a multi-criteria decision-making method based on the two-dimensional linguistic cloud model to optimize site selection for offshore wind-to-hydrogen bases. Firstly, the alternative schemes are evaluated using two-dimensional linguistic information, and a new model for transforming two-dimensional linguistic information into a normal cloud is constructed. Then, the cloud area overlap degree is defined to calculate the interaction factor between decision-makers, and a multi-objective programming model based on maximum deviation-minimum correlation is established. Following this, the Pareto solution of criteria weights is solved using the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II, and the alternatives are sorted and selected through the cloud-weighted average operator. Finally, an index system was constructed in terms of resource conditions, planning conditions, external conditions, and other dimensions, and a case study was conducted using the location of offshore wind-to-hydrogen production bases in Shanghai. The method proposed in this study demonstrates strong robustness and can provide a basis for these multi-criteria decision-making problems with solid qualitative characteristics.

With the rapid development of a social economy, the yearly increase in air conditioning load in the winter and summer seasons may bring serious challenges to the safe and economic operation of the power grid during the peak period of electricity consumption. So, how we reasonably adjust the set temperature of air conditioning so as to cut down the load during peak periods is very important. In this paper, considering the thermal inertia of air-conditioned buildings and the adaptability of human thermal comfort to temperature changes, the air conditioning load is regarded as virtual energy storage, the air conditioning temperature adjustment range for different users is determined based on the adaptive thermal comfort model of different geographic locations and climatic conditions, and a compensation mechanism is set up based on air conditioning users’ level of participation. Then, an optimal scheduling strategy for a microgrid was constructed with the objectives of user satisfaction, carbon emissions, and microgrid operation benefits, as well as regulating the users’ electricity consumption behavior, and the strategy was solved by using a multi-objective JAYA algorithm. Finally, winter and summer are used as case studies to analyze the results, which demonstrate that regulating the virtual energy storage of air conditioning can effectively improve the economy and environmental friendliness of a microgrid operation and reduce the cost of electricity consumption for the users, taking into account the comfort of the users.

The prediction of cold load in ice-storage air conditioning systems plays a pivotal role in optimizing air conditioning operations, significantly contributing to the equilibrium of regional electricity supply and demand, mitigating power grid stress, and curtailing energy consumption in power grids. Addressing the issues of minimal correlation between input and output data and the suboptimal prediction accuracy inherent in traditional deep-belief neural-network models, this study introduces an enhanced deep-belief neural-network combination prediction model. This model is refined through an advanced genetic algorithm in conjunction with the “Statistical Products and Services Solution” version 25.0 software, aiming to augment the precision of ice-storage air conditioning load predictions. Initially, the input data undergo processing via the “Statistical Products and Services Solution” software, which facilitates the exclusion of samples exhibiting low coupling. Subsequently, the improved genetic algorithm implements adaptive adjustments to surmount the challenge of random weight parameter initialization prevalent in traditional deep-belief networks. Consequently, an optimized deep-belief neural-network load prediction model, predicated on the enhanced genetic algorithm, is established and subjected to training. Ultimately, the model undergoes simulation validation across three critical dimensions: operational performance, prediction evaluation indices, and operating costs of ice-storage air conditioners. The results indicate that, compared to existing methods for predicting the cooling load of ice-storage air conditioning, the proposed model achieves a prediction accuracy of 96.52%. It also shows an average improvement of 14.12% in computational performance and a 14.32% reduction in model energy consumption. The prediction outcomes align with the actual cooling-load variation patterns. Furthermore, the daily operational cost of ice-storage air conditioning, derived from the predicted cooling-load data, has an error margin of only 2.36%. This contributes to the optimization of ice-storage air conditioning operations.

With a background of carbon peak and neutrality, the economic and environmental requirements are increasing for microgrids. In view of the problem of energy wastage and conflicts of interest among multiple microgrid integrated energy systems, it is important to study the operation optimization of microgrid clusters while considering the sharing and trading of both carbon emissions and green certificates. In this study, a Stackelberg game mechanism is applied, in which the microgrid operator is the leader and its subscribers are the followers, forming a master–slave interaction model. Following this, breaking the trading barriers of energy and various policy markets, the joint carbon and green certificate trading mechanism is proposed. Moreover, a mutually beneficial shared trading model of multi-microgrids considering coupled energy and carbon and green certificate trading is proposed to avoid the problem of double counting of environmental attributes. In addition, a cooperative sharing center is assumed to propose a flexible multi-resource sharing price mechanism. It guides each microgrid operator to conduct internal multi-resource sharing trading, so as to reduce the daily operating costs of energy supplying entities in the cooperative system of multiple microgrids, effectively reduce carbon emissions, and improve the balance of network group mutual aid. According to the simulation results of an illustrative example, the proposed trading strategy can effectively unlock the potential of resource sharing and mutual aid within multi-microgrids and improve the economy and carbon reduction effects of the overall system.