Ömer Özbilen
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Ömer Özbilen has a total of 1 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Murat Genç
Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and Letters, Çukurova University, Adana 01330, Türkiye
8 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 31 January 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Mathematics
- Vol. 14 (3) , 510
A New Trigonometric-Inspired Probability Distribution: The Weighted Sine Generalized Kumaraswamy Model with Simulation and Applications in Epidemiology and Reliability Engineering
The importance of statistical distributions in representing real-world scenarios and aiding in decision-making is widely acknowledged. However, traditional models often face limitations in achieving optimal fits for certain datasets. Motivated by this challenge, this paper introduces a new probability distribution termed the weighted sine generalized Kumaraswamy (WSG-Kumaraswamy) distribution. This model is constructed by integrating the Kumaraswamy baseline distribution with the weighted sine-G family, which incorporates a trigonometric transformation to enhance flexibility without adding extra parameters. Various statistical properties of the WSG-Kumaraswamy distribution, including the quantile function, moments, moment-generating function, and probability-weighted moments, are derived. Maximum likelihood estimation is employed to obtain parameter estimates, and a comprehensive simulation study is performed to assess the finite-sample performance of the estimators, confirming their consistency and reliability. To illustrate the practical advantages of the proposed model, two real-world datasets from epidemiology and reliability engineering are analyzed. Comparative evaluations using goodness-of-fit criteria demonstrate that the WSG-Kumaraswamy distribution provides superior fits compared to established competitors. The results highlight the enhanced adaptability of the model for unit-interval data, positioning it as a valuable tool for statistical modeling in diverse applied fields.
- 31 January 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Mathematics
- Vol. 14 (3) , 510
Open AccessA New Trigonometric-Inspired Probability Distribution: The Weighted Sine Generalized Kumaraswamy Model with Simulation and Applications in Epidemiology and Reliability Engineering
The importance of statistical distributions in representing real-world scenarios and aiding in decision-making is widely acknowledged. However, traditional models often face limitations in achieving optimal fits for certain datasets. Motivated by this challenge, this paper introduces a new probability distribution termed the weighted sine generalized Kumaraswamy (WSG-Kumaraswamy) distribution. This model is constructed by integrating the Kumaraswamy baseline distribution with the weighted sine-G family, which incorporates a trigonometric transformation to enhance flexibility without adding extra parameters. Various statistical properties of the WSG-Kumaraswamy distribution, including the quantile function, moments, moment-generating function, and probability-weighted moments, are derived. Maximum likelihood estimation is employed to obtain parameter estimates, and a comprehensive simulation study is performed to assess the finite-sample performance of the estimators, confirming their consistency and reliability. To illustrate the practical advantages of the proposed model, two real-world datasets from epidemiology and reliability engineering are analyzed. Comparative evaluations using goodness-of-fit criteria demonstrate that the WSG-Kumaraswamy distribution provides superior fits compared to established competitors. The results highlight the enhanced adaptability of the model for unit-interval data, positioning it as a valuable tool for statistical modeling in diverse applied fields.
- Open Access
Enhancing Statistical Modeling with the Marshall–Olkin Unit-Exponentiated-Half-Logistic Distribution: Theoretical Developments and Real-World Applications
This paper introduces the Marshall–Olkin unit-exponentiated-half-logistic (MO-UEHL) distribution, a novel three-parameter model designed to enhance the flexibility of the unit-exponentiated-half-logistic distribution through the incorporation of the Marshall–Olkin transformation. Defined on the unit interval , the MO-UEHL distribution is well-suited for modeling proportional data exhibiting asymmetry. The Marshall–Olkin tilt parameter explicitly controls the degree and direction of asymmetry, enabling the density to range from highly right-skewed to nearly symmetric unimodal forms, and even to left-skewed configurations for certain parameter values, thereby offering a direct mathematical representation of symmetry breaking in bounded proportional data. The resulting model achieves this versatility without relying on exponential terms or special functions, thus simplifying computational procedures. We derive its key mathematical properties, including the probability density function, cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard rate function, quantile function, moments, and information-theoretic measures such as the Shannon and residual entropy. Parameter estimation is explored using maximum likelihood, maximum product spacing, ordinary and weighted least-squares, and Cramér–von Mises methods, with simulation studies evaluating their performance across varying sample sizes and parameter sets. The practical utility of the MO-UEHL distribution is demonstrated through applications to four real datasets from environmental and engineering contexts. The results highlight the MO-UEHL distribution’s potential as a valuable tool in reliability analysis, environmental modeling, and related fields.Open AccessEnhancing Statistical Modeling with the Marshall–Olkin Unit-Exponentiated-Half-Logistic Distribution: Theoretical Developments and Real-World Applications
This paper introduces the Marshall–Olkin unit-exponentiated-half-logistic (MO-UEHL) distribution, a novel three-parameter model designed to enhance the flexibility of the unit-exponentiated-half-logistic distribution through the incorporation of the Marshall–Olkin transformation. Defined on the unit interval , the MO-UEHL distribution is well-suited for modeling proportional data exhibiting asymmetry. The Marshall–Olkin tilt parameter explicitly controls the degree and direction of asymmetry, enabling the density to range from highly right-skewed to nearly symmetric unimodal forms, and even to left-skewed configurations for certain parameter values, thereby offering a direct mathematical representation of symmetry breaking in bounded proportional data. The resulting model achieves this versatility without relying on exponential terms or special functions, thus simplifying computational procedures. We derive its key mathematical properties, including the probability density function, cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard rate function, quantile function, moments, and information-theoretic measures such as the Shannon and residual entropy. Parameter estimation is explored using maximum likelihood, maximum product spacing, ordinary and weighted least-squares, and Cramér–von Mises methods, with simulation studies evaluating their performance across varying sample sizes and parameter sets. The practical utility of the MO-UEHL distribution is demonstrated through applications to four real datasets from environmental and engineering contexts. The results highlight the MO-UEHL distribution’s potential as a valuable tool in reliability analysis, environmental modeling, and related fields. - Open Access
The Unit Inverse Maxwell–Boltzmann Distribution: A Novel Single-Parameter Model for Unit-Interval Data
The Unit Inverse Maxwell–Boltzmann (UIMB) distribution is introduced as a novel single-parameter model for data constrained within the unit interval (), derived through an exponential transformation of the Inverse Maxwell–Boltzmann distribution. Designed to address the limitations of traditional unit-interval distributions, the UIMB model exhibits flexible density shapes and hazard rate behaviors, including right-skewed, left-skewed, unimodal, and bathtub-shaped patterns, making it suitable for applications in reliability engineering, environmental science, and health studies. This study derives the statistical properties of the UIMB distribution, including moments, quantiles, survival, and hazard functions, as well as stochastic ordering, entropy measures, and the moment-generating function, and evaluates its performance through simulation studies and real-data applications. Various estimation methods, including maximum likelihood, Anderson–Darling, maximum product spacing, least-squares, and Cramér–von Mises, are assessed, with maximum likelihood demonstrating superior accuracy. Simulation studies confirm the model’s robustness under normal and outlier-contaminated scenarios, with MLE showing resilience across varying skewness levels. Applications to manufacturing and environmental datasets reveal the UIMB distribution’s exceptional fit compared to competing models, as evidenced by lower information criteria and goodness-of-fit statistics. The UIMB distribution’s computational efficiency and adaptability position it as a robust tool for modeling complex unit-interval data, with potential for further extensions in diverse domains.Open AccessThe Unit Inverse Maxwell–Boltzmann Distribution: A Novel Single-Parameter Model for Unit-Interval Data
The Unit Inverse Maxwell–Boltzmann (UIMB) distribution is introduced as a novel single-parameter model for data constrained within the unit interval (), derived through an exponential transformation of the Inverse Maxwell–Boltzmann distribution. Designed to address the limitations of traditional unit-interval distributions, the UIMB model exhibits flexible density shapes and hazard rate behaviors, including right-skewed, left-skewed, unimodal, and bathtub-shaped patterns, making it suitable for applications in reliability engineering, environmental science, and health studies. This study derives the statistical properties of the UIMB distribution, including moments, quantiles, survival, and hazard functions, as well as stochastic ordering, entropy measures, and the moment-generating function, and evaluates its performance through simulation studies and real-data applications. Various estimation methods, including maximum likelihood, Anderson–Darling, maximum product spacing, least-squares, and Cramér–von Mises, are assessed, with maximum likelihood demonstrating superior accuracy. Simulation studies confirm the model’s robustness under normal and outlier-contaminated scenarios, with MLE showing resilience across varying skewness levels. Applications to manufacturing and environmental datasets reveal the UIMB distribution’s exceptional fit compared to competing models, as evidenced by lower information criteria and goodness-of-fit statistics. The UIMB distribution’s computational efficiency and adaptability position it as a robust tool for modeling complex unit-interval data, with potential for further extensions in diverse domains. - Open Access
- 3 June 2025
- Published by MDPI AG in Mathematics
- Vol. 13 (11) , 1871
Sine Unit Exponentiated Half-Logistic Distribution: Theory, Estimation, and Applications in Reliability Modeling
This study introduces the sine unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution, a novel extension of the unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution within the sine-G family. Using trigonometric transformations, the proposed distribution offers flexible density shapes for modeling asymmetric unit-interval data. We derive its statistical properties, including quantiles, moments, and stress–strength reliability, and estimate parameters via classical methods like maximum likelihood and Anderson–Darling. Simulations and real-world applications to fiber strength and burr datasets demonstrate the superior fit of the proposed distribution over competing models, highlighting its utility in reliability engineering and manufacturing.
- 3 June 2025
- Published by MDPI AG in Mathematics
- Vol. 13 (11) , 1871
Open AccessSine Unit Exponentiated Half-Logistic Distribution: Theory, Estimation, and Applications in Reliability Modeling
This study introduces the sine unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution, a novel extension of the unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution within the sine-G family. Using trigonometric transformations, the proposed distribution offers flexible density shapes for modeling asymmetric unit-interval data. We derive its statistical properties, including quantiles, moments, and stress–strength reliability, and estimate parameters via classical methods like maximum likelihood and Anderson–Darling. Simulations and real-world applications to fiber strength and burr datasets demonstrate the superior fit of the proposed distribution over competing models, highlighting its utility in reliability engineering and manufacturing.
- Open Access
- 31 December 2024
- Published by Ordu University in Ordu Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi
- Vol. 14 (2) , 249-260
Transmuted Unit Exponentiated Half-Logistic Distribution and its Applications
A novel distribution, termed the transmuted unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution, has been proposed using the unit exponential half-logistic distribution, a member of the proportional hazard rate model family, as the base distribution. The statistical characteristics of the proposed distribution, including moments, moment-generating function, quantile function, and stress-strength reliability, have been thoroughly examined in this study. The maximum likelihood estimation method has been discussed for statistical inference of the distribution parameters. A simulation study based on the new distribution has been conducted to investigate the behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under various conditions. In addition, a numerical example has been presented to illustrate the performance of the distribution on a failure-time dataset.
- 31 December 2024
- Published by Ordu University in Ordu Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi
- Vol. 14 (2) , 249-260
Open AccessTransmuted Unit Exponentiated Half-Logistic Distribution and its Applications
A novel distribution, termed the transmuted unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution, has been proposed using the unit exponential half-logistic distribution, a member of the proportional hazard rate model family, as the base distribution. The statistical characteristics of the proposed distribution, including moments, moment-generating function, quantile function, and stress-strength reliability, have been thoroughly examined in this study. The maximum likelihood estimation method has been discussed for statistical inference of the distribution parameters. A simulation study based on the new distribution has been conducted to investigate the behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under various conditions. In addition, a numerical example has been presented to illustrate the performance of the distribution on a failure-time dataset.
- Open Access
- 28 June 2024
- Published by Celal Bayar University Journal of Science in Celal Bayar Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
- Vol. 20 (2) , 37-44
An Extended UEHL Distribution: Properties and Applications
This study introduces a new distribution, a Lehmann-type exponentiated distribution, which is built upon the unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution. The analytical characteristics of the proposed distribution, like moments, moment-generating function, quantiles, and stress-strength reliability, are explored in detail. The renowned maximum likelihood estimation method is employed for the statistical inference of the distribution’s parameters. A computer experiment is run to explore the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates of the distribution parameters under diverse scenarios. Additionally, the practicality and efficacy of the distribution are illustrated through a numerical example using a real-world dataset.
- 28 June 2024
- Published by Celal Bayar University Journal of Science in Celal Bayar Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
- Vol. 20 (2) , 37-44
Open AccessAn Extended UEHL Distribution: Properties and Applications
This study introduces a new distribution, a Lehmann-type exponentiated distribution, which is built upon the unit exponentiated half-logistic distribution. The analytical characteristics of the proposed distribution, like moments, moment-generating function, quantiles, and stress-strength reliability, are explored in detail. The renowned maximum likelihood estimation method is employed for the statistical inference of the distribution’s parameters. A computer experiment is run to explore the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates of the distribution parameters under diverse scenarios. Additionally, the practicality and efficacy of the distribution are illustrated through a numerical example using a real-world dataset.
- Open Access
- 31 December 2023
- Published by Recep Tayyip Erdogan Universitesi in Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Üniversitesi Fen ve Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi
- Vol. 4 (2) , 232-241
Üstellenmiş UEHL Dağılımı: Özellikler ve Uygulamalar
In this paper, we propose a distribution for modeling data defined on a unit interval using an exponentiated transformation. The new distribution is based on the unit exponential half-logistic distribution, a member of proportional hazard models. Several measures of the statistical characterization of the distribution are discussed. The statistical inference of the parameters of the proposed distribution is studied by the maximum likelihood method. To explore the properties of the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters, simulation studies are carried out under various scenarios. Furthermore, a real dataset is analyzed to demonstrate the performance of the distribution.
- 31 December 2023
- Published by Recep Tayyip Erdogan Universitesi in Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Üniversitesi Fen ve Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi
- Vol. 4 (2) , 232-241
Open AccessÜstellenmiş UEHL Dağılımı: Özellikler ve Uygulamalar
In this paper, we propose a distribution for modeling data defined on a unit interval using an exponentiated transformation. The new distribution is based on the unit exponential half-logistic distribution, a member of proportional hazard models. Several measures of the statistical characterization of the distribution are discussed. The statistical inference of the parameters of the proposed distribution is studied by the maximum likelihood method. To explore the properties of the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters, simulation studies are carried out under various scenarios. Furthermore, a real dataset is analyzed to demonstrate the performance of the distribution.
- Open Access
- 30 September 2023
- Published by Gaziosmanpasa University in Journal of New Theory
- No. 44,p. 20-30
An Extension of the UEHL Distribution Based on the DUS Transformation
In this study, we propose a new distribution based on the Dinesh, Umesh, and Sanjay (DUS) transformation by using the Unit Exponentiated Half-Logistic (UEHL) distribution as the baseline distribution, a member of the family of proportional hazard rate models. Moreover, we study several properties, such as moments, skewness, kurtosis, stress-strength reliability, and likelihood ratio ordering. Further, we discuss the statistical inference on the parameters of the proposed distribution by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method. Besides, we conduct a simulation based on the new distribution to investigate the behavior of the maximum likelihood estimates in various conditions. Furthermore, we present a numerical example to show the performance of the distribution on a real-life data set. Finally, we discuss the need for further research.
- 30 September 2023
- Published by Gaziosmanpasa University in Journal of New Theory
- No. 44,p. 20-30
Open AccessAn Extension of the UEHL Distribution Based on the DUS Transformation
In this study, we propose a new distribution based on the Dinesh, Umesh, and Sanjay (DUS) transformation by using the Unit Exponentiated Half-Logistic (UEHL) distribution as the baseline distribution, a member of the family of proportional hazard rate models. Moreover, we study several properties, such as moments, skewness, kurtosis, stress-strength reliability, and likelihood ratio ordering. Further, we discuss the statistical inference on the parameters of the proposed distribution by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method. Besides, we conduct a simulation based on the new distribution to investigate the behavior of the maximum likelihood estimates in various conditions. Furthermore, we present a numerical example to show the performance of the distribution on a real-life data set. Finally, we discuss the need for further research.
- 1 September 2023
- Published by Firat Universitesi in Turkish Journal of Science and Technology
- Vol. 18 (2) , 319-330
The Effect of the Second Stage Estimator on Model Performance in Post-LASSO Method
Penalized linear regression methods are used for the accurate prediction of new observations and to obtain interpretable models. The performance of these methods depends on the properties of the true coefficient vector. The LASSO method is a penalized regression method that can simultaneously perform coefficient shrinkage and variable selection in a continuous process. Depending on the structure of the dataset, different estimators have been proposed to overcome the problems faced by LASSO. The estimation method used in the second stage of the post-LASSO two-stage regression method proposed as an alternative to LASSO has a considerable effect on model performance. In this study, the performance of the post-LASSO is compared with classical penalized regression methods ridge, LASSO, elastic net, adaptive LASSO and Post-LASSO by using different estimation methods in the second stage of the post-LASSO. In addition, the effect of the magnitude and position of the signal values in the real coefficient vector on the performance of the models obtained by these methods is analyzed. The mean squared error and standard deviation of the predictions calculated on the test set are used to compare the prediction performance of the models, while the active set sizes are used to compare their performance in variable selection. According to the findings obtained from the simulation studies, the choice of the second-stage estimator and the structure of the true coefficient vector significantly affect the success of the post-LASSO method compared to other methods.
- 1 September 2023
- Published by Firat Universitesi in Turkish Journal of Science and Technology
- Vol. 18 (2) , 319-330
The Effect of the Second Stage Estimator on Model Performance in Post-LASSO Method
Penalized linear regression methods are used for the accurate prediction of new observations and to obtain interpretable models. The performance of these methods depends on the properties of the true coefficient vector. The LASSO method is a penalized regression method that can simultaneously perform coefficient shrinkage and variable selection in a continuous process. Depending on the structure of the dataset, different estimators have been proposed to overcome the problems faced by LASSO. The estimation method used in the second stage of the post-LASSO two-stage regression method proposed as an alternative to LASSO has a considerable effect on model performance. In this study, the performance of the post-LASSO is compared with classical penalized regression methods ridge, LASSO, elastic net, adaptive LASSO and Post-LASSO by using different estimation methods in the second stage of the post-LASSO. In addition, the effect of the magnitude and position of the signal values in the real coefficient vector on the performance of the models obtained by these methods is analyzed. The mean squared error and standard deviation of the predictions calculated on the test set are used to compare the prediction performance of the models, while the active set sizes are used to compare their performance in variable selection. According to the findings obtained from the simulation studies, the choice of the second-stage estimator and the structure of the true coefficient vector significantly affect the success of the post-LASSO method compared to other methods.