Aparajita Bose

Financial transaction networks represent inter-firm relationships, where firms and transactions act as nodes and edges, respectively. Link prediction in these networks aims to identify potential future or missing transactions or links, providing valuable insights for decision-making and market analysis. While several link prediction studies exist for general networks, limited research has specifically addressed the unique characteristics of financial transaction networks. Existing studies often overlook important features such as the direction of transactions between firms, the hierarchical nature of transaction networks, and the significance of node attributes, thereby hindering accurate link prediction. In this study, we propose a novel similarity score, the “Attribute-Transaction Similarity (ATS) Score,” for link prediction in financial transaction networks. The ATS Score integrates both transaction network topology and firm attributes, such as the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) codes, to predict unobserved links between firms. Our method not only forecasts future transactions but also preserves the hierarchical structure of transaction networks. By leveraging both network topology and firm attribute frequencies, our method results in more accurate and reliable predictions. Experimental evaluations on real-world financial transaction network datasets demonstrate that the ATS Score-based link prediction method outperforms existing similarity-based link prediction techniques, achieving superior results in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). This highlights the effectiveness of the ATS Score in capturing the intricate relationships and dynamics of financial transaction networks.

Market segmentation is a challenging and necessary task for improving marketing strategies and allocating resources effectively in a complex scenario of industrial or business-to-business (B2B) markets. Most of the traditional methods have not provided comprehensive and detailed guidelines to process massive, complex, and complicated data from financial transactions in industrial market. Furthermore, they often overlook the overlapping nature of segments, where a firm might belong to multiple segments of market. Financial transaction networks (FTNs) can be depicted as graph, where nodes and edges represent firms and transactions, respectively. A few network analysis studies have been employed for industrial market analysis, but those efforts are missed to capture the important features of financial transactions, such as the number of transactions, transaction volume, direction of transactions, and firm-specific attributes. In this study, we propose a novel method for industrial market segmentation that utilizes both financial multiple transactions and attribute of firms. By integrating a graph-based generative probabilistic model, we reveal and understand the complex and overlapping relationships within financial transaction data. Subsequently, we apply the proposed method to a real-world dataset. The results show that the proposed method outperforms established methods in network analysis, such as clustering and community detection in transactional industrial market (B2B) network.

Technology valuation methods are classified into income-based, cost-based, and market-based approaches depending on the perspective of valuing technology. The market approach evaluates the value of technology by referring to cases in which similar technologies have been traded before. In this study, we use prior technology transaction data to estimate the technology value based on the market approach and to identify influential factors to the estimated value. To this end, we adopt a multivariate k-nearest neighbor (MKNN) regression model to accommodate mixed-type input variables aiming at estimating multivariate technology values, selecting influencing factors, and the relative importance of the selected factors. In addition, we can optimize the number of transaction cases k in k-NN regression. Our proposed regression model outperforms an embedding model with cosine similarity in predicting multivariate response variables. In addition, we illustrate how to select and assess the influential factors based on the real-life dataset.