RARidwan Amure

Ridwan Amure

*This is an algorithmically generated author record based on publicly available information.

Current Organizations / Institutes

The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article


Ridwan Amure has a total of 10 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:


Latest Publications

  • Open Access

    Modeling cross-platform narrative diffusion: a stable Hawkes–ODE framework for exposure and adoption dynamics

    by Ridwan Amure, Nitin Agarwal

    Understanding how narratives spread across social media platforms requires a framework that captures both the stochastic generation of posts and the gradual evolution of user engagement. This study proposes a cross-platform diffusion model that integrates a marked multivariate Hawkes process with a bounded exposure–adoption ordinary differential equation (ODE). The Hawkes component models event arrivals and cross-platform excitation, while the ODE captures how exposure translates into active engagement over time. Applied to the 2025 U.S. tariff-war discourse spanning 30,493 Instagram, 11,218 TikTok, 12,252 X, and 30,493 YouTube posts collected between January and May 2025, the model reveals interpretable and stable cross-platform influence dynamics. The estimated branching matrix ( $$\rho (B) = 0.523$$ ) lies well below the critical threshold ( $$\rho (B) = 1$$ ), indicating a stable, self-damped diffusion regime in which cross-platform cascades persist but do not explode, with dominant pathways from short-form and real-time platforms toward long-form commentary channels. The exposure–adoption ODE was validated through a forward-prediction experiment, training on a percentage of each trajectory and evaluating on the future, demonstrating accurate extrapolation of engagement trends and confirming the model’s predictive coherence. Together, these results demonstrate that the proposed framework provides a mathematically grounded and interpretable lens for analyzing how narratives emerge, propagate, and stabilize across interconnected media ecosystems.

  • Open Access

    Identifying cohesive narrative formations in cross-platform trade-war discourse using weighted contextual focal structures analysis

    by Ridwan Amure, Nitin Agarwal

    Narratives on social media emerge through the interaction of content, users, and platform-specific structures, yet identifying cohesive narrative formations across platforms remains challenging. This paper introduces Weighted Contextual Focal Structures Analysis (W–CFSA), a graph-based method for discovering structurally embedded narrative groups in multiplex networks. We construct a three-layer multiplex network integrating user–user interactions, user–narrative associations, and narrative–narrative similarity, with edge weights derived from semantic alignment. The method is evaluated on over 70,000 cross-platform data collected from YouTube, TikTok, X (formerly Twitter), and Instagram between January and May 2025, comprising posts related to U.S.-China trade and tariff policies. Empirical results show that W–CFSA identifies focal sets with higher internal cohesion, greater internal density, and more substantial impact on global clustering than a size-matched eigenvector-centrality baseline. Qualitative analysis further indicates that the recovered focal sets correspond to distinct narrative architectures rather than simple stance groupings, demonstrating the value of integrating narrative context with network structure for cross-platform analysis.

  • Open Access

    Discovering cross-platform narrative flow templates using frequent subgraph mining

    by Ridwan Amure, Nitin Agarwal

    Social media narratives often transcend platform boundaries, yet existing models rarely capture the evolution of ideas across them. This paper presents a graph-mining framework for discovering narrative flow templates –recurrent structural patterns that describe how narratives propagate between platforms over time. We adapt the SoPaGraMi algorithm, originally developed for frequent subgraph mining, to operate on a unified narrative flow graph where nodes represent platform-specific narrative instances and directed edges encode temporal relationships. Using the discourse surrounding the recent Tariff War as a case study, we analyze a cross-platform narrative graph drawn from 19,303 YouTube (Y), 11,218 TikTok (T), 12,252 X (X), and 30,493 Instagram (I) posts. The approach uncovers distinct diffusion motifs, including the full-chain template $$Y \!\rightarrow \! T \!\rightarrow \! X \!\rightarrow \! I$$ – a pro-American narrative flow template, $$Y \!\rightarrow \! I \!\rightarrow \! Y$$ - a pro-Chinese narrative flow template, and $$I \!\rightarrow \! Y \!\rightarrow \! I$$ reflecting cooperative U.S.–China narratives. These findings reveal how different platforms serve complementary analytical, expressive, and visual functions. Our results demonstrate that frequent subgraph mining can identify coherent cross-platform diffusion structures, offering a scalable foundation for understanding narrative diffusion in multimodal social ecosystems.


  • Memory-driven modeling of herpes simplex virus type-1 and type-2 dynamics with neural network optimization

    by Zhang Nan, Emmanuel Addai, Ridwan Amure, Rebecca Bottey, Enoch K. Larrey, Mercy Ngungu


  • Open Access

    Co-commenters as clues: a partial-label approach to detecting anomalous channels on Youtube

    by Ridwan Amure, Nitin Agarwal

    We propose a semi-supervised approach that finds anomalous YouTube channels by combining co-commenter networks and engagement features. Our method, named SEPS (Semi-Supervised Embedding-based Propagation Scoring), uses a small set of labeled anomalies to guide the learning process. It trains a graph neural network to embed nodes, spreads those partial labels through a simple classification head, and flags channels that appear suspicious. The model was tested on real data from the Indo-Pacific region which spans 97 channels, 702,160 videos, 12.5 million commenters, and 123.9 million comments. Further tests on synthetic data show that SEPS outperforms older methods in recall, precision, and F1-score. It detects more unlabeled anomalies with fewer false alarms. We also show that it remains effective when only a handful of known anomalies are present, and it can maintain high cluster purity under these conditions. In addition, we discuss how the model can scale to larger datasets and adapt to changes in user behavior. This work contributes a robust way to spot suspicious channels in real-world environments where full labels are scarce.


  • Open Access

    Modeling cross-platform narrative templates: a temporal knowledge graph approach

    by Ridwan Amure, Nitin Agarwal

    Over the past decade, online social media has grown in size, features, and complexity, providing users with increased satisfaction and prompting many to maintain accounts across multiple platforms. Information actors have also taken advantage of this environment, using cross-platform dynamics to amplify content’s reach and target specific audiences strategically. As these actors will likely continue exploiting social media, we argue that it is crucial to model cross-platform narratives effectively and identify the patterns-or templates defined in this research-they use to propagate different narratives. To address these challenges, we leverage temporal knowledge graphs to model the relationships between cross-platform narratives, extract temporal communities representing macro-narratives, and apply sequential mining to uncover various narrative templates. These templates reveal the patterns various actors use to spread different narratives across various social media platforms. An analysis of 4,817 Instagram posts, 2,560 TikTok posts, 11,134 X posts, and 7,327 YouTube posts, demonstrates the efficacy of this approach in identifying the templates preferred by Pro-Taiwan and Pro-China actors in the Asia–Pacific political landscape. We identified two groups of narrative templates based on confidence and support. Our further analysis uncovers which templates were favored by Pro-Taiwan and Pro-China supporters.