Tabatha L. Cormier

Conspicuous ornaments expressed by both sexes are widespread in socially monogamous species, yet their functional significance and links to individual quality remain poorly understood. In birds, brightly coloured bare parts are often hypothesized to act as honest signals of condition, but empirical support for this assumption is mixed. Here, we quantified variation in bill and foot colouration of 73 Atlantic Puffins ( Fratercula arctica (Linneaus, 1758)) breeding on Machias Seal Island, Canada, using calibrated digital photography and avian visual models, and tested whether colour saturation was associated with individual body condition. Colour saturation differed strongly among ornamented regions and individuals, and varied between years, indicating substantial spatial and temporal lability in puffin ornament expression. However, across all models, body condition was not a consistent predictor of colour saturation in any region. These results suggest that puffin bill and foot colouration is dynamic and context-dependent rather than a simple honest signal of individual quality. Our findings highlight the need for integrative approaches that link ornament expression with age, physiological state, and reproductive performance to better understand the adaptive significance of mutual ornaments in long-lived seabirds under changing environmental conditions.

In 2022, a severe outbreak of disease caused by clade 2.3.4.4b Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus resulted in unprecedented mortality among wild birds in eastern Canada. Tens of thousands of birds were reported sick or dead, prompting a comprehensive assessment of mortality spanning the breeding season between April 1 and September 30, 2022. Mortality reports were collated from federal, Indigenous, provincial, and municipal agencies, the Canadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, and other nongovernmental organizations, universities, and citizen science platforms. A scenario analysis was conducted to refine mortality estimates, accounting for potential double counts from multiple sources under a range of spatial and temporal overlaps. Correcting for double counting, HPAI is estimated to have caused 40,391 wild bird mortalities in eastern Canada during the spring and summer of 2022; however, this figure underestimates total mortality as it excludes unreported deaths on land and at sea. Seabirds and sea ducks, long‐lived species that are slow to recover from perturbations, accounted for 98.7% of estimated mortalities. Our study provides estimates of bird mortality, with Northern Gannets (Morus bassanus; 25,669), Common Murres (Uria aalge; 8133), and American Common Eiders (Somateria mollissima dresseri; 1894) exhibiting the highest mortality figures. We then compare these mortality estimates with recent population estimates and trends and make an initial assessment of whether biologically meaningful population‐level impacts are possible. Specifically, we focus on the Northern Gannet, a species that has suffered significant global mortality, and two harvested species, Common Murre and American Common Eider, to inform management decisions. Our analysis suggests population‐level impacts in eastern Canada are possible for Northern Gannets and American Common Eiders, but are unlikely for Common Murres. This study demonstrates a comprehensive approach to assessing mortality and underscores the urgent need for further research to understand the broader ecological ramifications of the HPAI outbreak on wild bird populations.

Summary: H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b viruses have caused significant mortality events in various wild bird species across Europe, North America, South America, and Africa. In North America, the largest impacts on wild birds have been in eastern Canada, where over 40,391 wild birds were reported to have died from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) between April and September 2022. In the year following, we applied previously established methods to quantify total reported mortality in eastern Canada for a full year October 2022, to September 2023. In this study, we (i) document the spatial, temporal and taxonomic patterns of wild bird mortality in the 12 months that followed the mass mortality event in the summer of 2022 and (ii) quantify the observed differences in mortality across the breeding season (April to September) of 2022 and 2023. In eastern Canada, there was high uncertainty about whether 2023 would bring another year of devastating HPAI-linked mortalities. Mortalities in the breeding season were 93% lower in 2023 compared to 2022 but encompassed a more taxonomically diverse array of species. We found that mortalities in the fall and winter (non-breeding season) were dominated by waterfowl, while mortalities during the spring and summer (breeding season) were dominated by seabirds. Due to a low prevalence of HPAI among the subset of tested birds, we refrained from broadly attributing reported mortalities in 2023 to HPAI. However, our analysis did identify three notable mortality events linked to HPAI, involving at least 1,646 Greater Snow Geese, 232 Canada Geese, and 212 Northern Gannets. This study emphasizes the ongoing need for H5NX surveillance and mortality assessments as the patterns of mortality in wild populations continue to change.