Vivaldi Rinaldi

Hurricane Maria crossed Puerto Rico with winds as high as 250 km/h, resulting in widespread damages and loss of weather station data, thus limiting direct weather measurements of wind variability. Here, we identified more than 155 million trees to estimate the distribution of wind speed over 9000 km² of land from island-wide LiDAR point clouds collected before and after the hurricane. The point clouds were classified and rasterized into the canopy height model to perform individual tree identification and perform change detection analysis. Individual trees’ stem diameter at breast height were estimated using a function between delineated crown and extracted canopy height, validated using the records from Puerto Rico’s Forest Inventory 2003. The results indicate that approximately 35.7% of trees broke at the stem (below the canopy center) and 28.5% above the canopy center. Furthermore, we back-calculated the critical wind speed, or the minimum speed to cause breakage, at individual tree level this was performed by applying a mechanical model using the estimated diameter at breast height, the extrapolated breakage height, and pre-Hurricane Maria canopy height. Individual trees were then aggregated at 115 km² cells to summarize the critical wind speed distribution of each cell, based on the percentage of stem breakage. A vertical wind profile analysis was then applied to derive the hurricane wind distribution using the mean hourly wind speed 10 m above the canopy center. The estimated wind speed ranges from 250 km/h in the southeast at the landfall to 100 km/h in the southwest parts of the islands. Comparison of the modeled wind speed with the wind gust readings at the few remaining NOAA stations support the use of tree breakages to model the distribution of hurricane wind speed when ground readings are sparse.

Digital Surface Models (DSMs) have a wide range of applications, including the spatial and temporal analysis of human habitation. Traditionally, DSMs are generated by rasterizing Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) point clouds. While LiDAR provides high-resolution details, the acquisition of required data is logistically challenging and costly, leading to limited spatial coverage and temporal frequency. Satellite imagery, such as Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), contains information on surface height variations in the scene within the reflected signal. Transforming satellite imagery data into a global DSM is challenging but would be of great value if those challenges were overcome. This study explores the application of a U-Net architecture to generate DSMs by coupling Sentinel-1 SAR and Sentinel-2 optical imagery. The model is trained on surface height data from multiple U.S. cities to produce a normalized DSM (NDSM) and assess its ability to generalize inferences for cities outside the training dataset. The analysis of the results shows that the model performs moderately well when inferring test cities but its performance remains well below that of the training cities. Further examination, through the comparison of height distributions and cross-sectional analysis, reveals that estimation bias is influenced by the input image resolution and the presence of geometric distortion within the SAR image. These findings highlight the need for refinement in preprocessing techniques as well as advanced training approaches and model architecture that can better handle the complexities of urban landscapes encoded in satellite imagery.

Hurricane Maria left unprecedented impacts on Puerto Rican communities, leaving some without infrastructure services and unable to communicate with family for several months. To understand the forms of community-level resilience that emerged while hard infrastructure systems took time recover, this article (1) abductively explores resilience as an emergent phenomenon of complex adaptive systems; (2) identifies subsequent forms of social capital, local adaptive capacities, and manifestations of quantifiable variables, such as infrastructure performance, in community experiences; and (3) demonstrates a framework to integrate disparate methodologies for resilience assessments via a multiplicity of mappings of space and place. We combine ethnographic and geospatial methods into an interactive GeoApp for analysis using participant-coded narratives and a series of geospatial indicators as a thick map. Thick mapping facilitates quantitative and qualitative data analysis at several scales, while enabling qualitative query of collected narratives. Results highlight local innovation, community bonding and bridging, and nuances in the role of public institutions as emergent elements of resilience. The thick map shows how top-down assessments can be augmented by thick data and how multiple framings can be anchored in the same system or place. These findings are important to inform and integrate community-oriented and technocentric solutions toward resilience-enhancing measures.

Hurricane Maria left unprecedented impacts to communities in Puerto Rico, leaving some without infrastructure services and unable to communicate with family for several months. Toward understanding the forms of community-level resilience that enabled coping, recovery, and adaptation while hard infrastructure systems took time to regain functionality, this paper aims to (1) abductively illuminate the forms of social capital and adaptive capacity that emerged in Puerto Rico during and after Maria, (2) explore how physical variables manifest in community experiences, and (3) illustrate how quantitative and qualitative approaches for resilience assessments can be integrated given the nature of disasters as complex adaptive systems. We leverage a mapping approach by combining ethnographic and geospatial methods into an interactive GeoApp for analysis. A series of signifiers for resilience capacities were developed that are self-coded by participants who share anecdotes regarding Maria, and a series of geospatial indicators (e.g., social capital, elevation, electrical recovery) were layered and aggregated against ethnographic information as “thick maps”. The resulting geo-application facilitates quantitative and qualitative analysis of data at several scales, while enabling qualitative query of collected narratives. For example, it was found that trust in public institutions, local innovation, and community bonding and bridging were key themes for recovery. The multiplicity of mappings available through the application show how top-down assessments can be nuanced by thick data, and how multiple framings can be taken from the same system or place. These findings are important to inform and integrate community-oriented and technocentric solutions toward resilience enhancing measures.