Yongbo Yang

Objective We developed and validated a clinical-radiomics model for preoperative prediction of the short-term efficacy of initial drug-eluting beads transarterial chemoembolization (D-TACE) treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods In this retrospective cohort study of 113 patients with intermediate and advanced HCC, 5343 features were extracted based on three sequences of the arterial phase (AP), diffusion-weighted imaging, and T2-weighted images based on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging, and minimum redundancy maximum correlation and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were applied for feature selection and model construction. Multifactor logistic regression was used to build a clinical-imaging model based on clinical factors and a clinical-radiomics model. The area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves were used to assess model performance, and the clinical value of the model was analyzed using decision curve analysis. The relationship between the actual and predicted short-term efficacy of the combined model and progression-free survival (PFS) was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves and log-rank tests. Results A total of 34 radiomics features were selected by LASSO, and the clinical-radiomics model had the best predictive performance (AUC = 0.902 and AUC = 0.845 for the training and testing sets, respectively), and the model based on AP had the best predictive performance among the four radiomics models (AUC = 0.89 for the training set and AUC = 0.85 for the testing set); the multifactorial logistic regression results showed that microsphere type (p = 0.042) and AP Rad-score (p = 0.01) were associated with short-term efficacy. In addition, a difference in PFS was observed in patients with HCC with different short-term efficacies predicted by the combined model. Moreover, prognosis was better in the objective versus non-objective response group. Conclusions The combined clinical-radiomics model is an effective predictor of the short-term efficacy of initial D-TACE in patients with HCC, contributing to clinical and economic benefits for patients.