Irshad Ali Sodhar

Background: This study aimed to analyze the patterns and underlying reasons associated with population movement across Sindh, Pakistan. Methods: Cross-sectional surveys were conducted in response to the detection of WPV1 in various districts in Sindh province, where genetic linkages with poliovirus isolates in Karachi had been identified. The surveys targeted union councils (UCs) contributing sewage to the environmental sample collection sites where WPV1 was detected. Results: In the Karachi division a total of 1392 participants were interviewed, and outside Karachi 1471 participants were included. A significantly higher proportion of female participants were interviewed in Karachi (n = 72, 55.0%) compared to other divisions of Sindh (n = 794, 45.0%) (p < 0.001). Linguistic distribution varied significantly between regions, with Pashto speakers predominating in Karachi (n = 336, 86.4%), and Sindhi in other divisions (n = 501, 79.4%) (p < 0.001). OPV coverage exceeded 90% across all districts, and over 85% of children received RI vaccines. Travel patterns also differed significantly; participants from Karachi (n = 686, 44.2%) were less likely to report travel compared to other divisions (n = 865, 55.8%), who frequently traveled for family events, business, or employment (p < 0.001). Conclusions: It is critical to redefine high-risk populations annually based on updated mobility data, social survey analyses, and virus detection via surveillance to better identify and reach unvaccinated children in the Pakistan polio program. In addition, strategically placed PTPs along both formal and informal travel corridors based on an updated risk framework will enhance vaccination, thereby reducing the risk of virus spread.

Population movement dynamics are a critical part of understanding communicable disease transmission patterns and determining where, when, and with whom to deliver appropriate prevention interventions. This study aimed to identify the origin of the Afghan population and their patterns of movement within Karachi, to assess the polio vaccination status of children under the age of five, and to investigate the travel history and guest arrival patterns of individuals from Afghanistan and other regions known to be affected by wild poliovirus type 1 (WPV1) within the past six months. A cross-sectional survey was conducted in selected 12 union councils of Karachi, Pakistan. The data were collected through interviews with Afghan household members and from the frontline workers (FLWs) responsible for the polio vaccination of the children of the same households. Cohen’s kappa was used to check the agreement between information provided by the household participant and FLWs. A total of 409 Afghan household members were interviewed. Travel of any household member outside the city within the last six months was reported by 105 (25.7%) participants, 140 (34.2%) hosted guests within the last six months, and 92 (22.5%) participants reported that guest children were vaccinated in their households. A total of 230 (56.2%) participants observed polio teams at relatives’ households within Karachi, and 127 (31.1%) observed polio teams at relatives’ households outside Karachi in different districts of Pakistan and Afghanistan. Fair to moderate agreement was observed between information provided by the household members and FLWs on the variable’s duration of living at current residence (Kappa = 0.370), travel history (Kappa = 0.429), guest arrival (Kappa = 0.395), and household children vaccinated for OPV (Kappa = 0.419). Substantial population mobility was observed between Afghanistan and Pakistan as well as significant movement of the Afghan population within Karachi in the last six months. These findings warrant attention and targeted implementation of interventions to enhance and sustain both routine and supplementary immunization activities within this demographic group.