Xinqin Peng

China’s age structure is undergoing profound demographic shifts, making accurate spatial information on age-stratified populations essential for policy-making, resource allocation, and risk assessment. However, census data are primarily aggregated by administrative units, offering coarse spatial resolution that constrains their integration and application with other gridded datasets. Using township-level population counts for four age groups (0–14, 15–59, 60–64, and ≥65 years) from the 2020 Seventh National Population Census across 38,572 townships, we developed an age-stratified downscaling framework. This framework integrates a random forest model with age-filtered Points of Interest (POI) data and other multi-source geospatial covariates to generate a 100 m resolution age-stratified population density weighting layer. Through township-level data dasymetric mapping, we produced the township-based 100 m Age-Stratified Population Grid Data (Township-ASPOP). Since township-level data represent the finest publicly available spatial unit of demographic statistics in China, we further validated the accuracy of Township-ASPOP by generating County-based 100 m Age-Stratified Population Grid Data (County-ASPOP) through dasymetric mapping using county-level age-stratified population data. The results demonstrate that County-ASPOP achieves superior predictive accuracy, with R² values of 0.95, 0.95, 0.85, and 0.86, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values of 1743, 6829, 900, and 2033 persons per township for the four age groups, respectively—significantly outperforming the contemporaneous WorldPop dataset (R² = 0.69, 0.72, 0.64, and 0.60). The accuracy of Township-ASPOP is no less than that of County-ASPOP and effectively captures realistic spatial settlement patterns. This study establishes a reproducible framework for generating age-stratified population grid data and provides critical data support for policy formulation and resource allocation.

Accurate assessment of cropland maps is crucial for ensuring food security, effective agricultural management, and environmental monitoring. With the widespread application of high-resolution (≤10 m) remote sensing imagery and the advancement of machine learning techniques, numerous high-resolution cropland maps have been developed. However, comprehensive evaluations of their accuracy remain limited. We utilized 163,861 validation samples and national land survey statistical data to conduct a multi-scale comparison of the accuracy of seven cropland maps (one 1 m and six 10 m maps) in China. Additionally, five synergistic strategies were employed to generate more accurate fused cropland maps. Validation results showed that the overall accuracy (OA) of the seven maps ranged from 0.79 to 0.91, with ESA-WorldCover (ESA-WC) exhibiting the highest OA, followed by AI Earth China land cover classification dataset (AIEC), ESRI Land Cover (ESRI-LC), and Cropland Use Intensity in China (China-CUI), while Sino-LC1 showed the lowest performance. Spatially, ESA-WC achieved the highest accuracy in nearly 60% of provinces, followed by AIEC and ESRI-LC, each accounting for approximately 20%. AIEC performed best in western provinces, whereas ESRI-LC dominated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Area consistency assessments revealed that, on average, the seven maps overestimated cropland areas by 20% compared to statistical data. Among these, ESA-WC showed the highest proportion of provinces with relative errors within ±20%, but this proportion was only 50%. Moreover, the OA of the fused maps exceeded 0.92, with county-level R² values compared to statistical data reaching 0.98, significantly improving the reliability of cropland products in over 60% of provincial administrative regions. Based on these results, effective synergistic strategies for high-resolution cropland mapping are proposed.

The accuracy assessment of cropland products is a critical prerequisite for agricultural planning and food security evaluations. Current accuracy assessments of remote sensing-based cropland products focused on the consistency of spatial patterns for specific years, yet the reliability of these cropland products in time-series analysis remains unclear. Using cropland area data from the second and third national land surveys of China (referred to as NLSCD) as a benchmark, we evaluate the area-based and spatial-based consistency of cropland changes in five 30 m time-series land cover products covering 2010 and 2020, including the annual cropland dataset of China (CACD), the annual China Land Cover Dataset (CLCD), China’s Land-use/cover dataset (CLUD), the Global Land-Cover product with Fine Classification System (GLC_FCS30), and GlobeLand30. We also employed the GeoDetector model to explore the relationships between the consistency in cropland change and the environmental factors (e.g., cropland fragmentation, topographic features, frequency of cloud cover, and management practices). The area-based consistency analysis showed that all five cropland products indicate a declining trend in cropland areas in China over the past decade, while the amount of cropland loss ranges from 5.59% to 57.85% of that reported by the NLSCD. At the prefecture-level city scale, the correlation coefficients between the cropland area changes detected by five cropland products and the NLSCD are low, with GlobeLand30 having the highest coefficient at 0.67. The proportion of prefecture-level cities where the change direction of cropland area in each cropland product is inconsistent with the NLSCD ranges from 13.27% to 39.23%, with CLCD showing the highest proportion and CLUD the lowest. At the pixel scale, the spatial-based consistency analysis reveals that 79.51% of cropland expansion pixels and 77.79% of cropland loss pixels are completely inconsistent across five cropland products, with the southern part of China exhibiting greater inconsistency compared to Northwest China. Besides, the frequency of cloud cover and management practices (e.g., irrigation) are the primary environmental factors influencing consistency in cropland expansion and loss, respectively. These results suggest low consistency in cropland change across five cropland products, emphasizing the need to address these inconsistencies when generating time-series cropland datasets via remote sensing.