Shinn Kim

Background: Although radiographs are the first-line imaging modality, differentiating between neoplastic pathologic fractures and nonpathologic fractures on radiographs can sometimes be challenging. In this study, we aimed to develop and evaluate a deep learning model capable of distinguishing neoplastic pathologic fractures from nonpathologic fractures on hip radiographs to enhance diagnostic accuracy. Methods: This retrospective, multicenter study analyzed anteroposterior hip radiographs from patients who visited the emergency department at 4 different institutions. The deep learning model was trained on, and tested using, data from 338 patients at a single institution and externally validated on data from 488 patients across 3 additional institutions. Results: The model achieved an overall accuracy of 0.880, with a sensitivity of 0.882 and a specificity of 0.879, on the internal test set. It was then externally validated using the data of 488 patients (67 with neoplastic pathologic fracture and 421 with nonpathologic fracture) from institutions separate from where the model was developed. The model achieved an overall accuracy of 0.848, sensitivity of 0.910, and specificity of 0.786. Its performance was comparable with that of general orthopaedic surgeons. Conclusions: The developed deep learning model is a reliable and valid tool for distinguishing neoplastic pathologic fractures from nonpathologic fractures on hip radiographs. It has the potential to assist orthopaedic surgeons in resource-limited settings, where optimizing the interpretation of radiographs is critical for patient care. The model is publicly available at https://pathfxdx.org. Level of Evidence: Diagnostic Level III . See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Kim S, et al. Clin Orthop Surg. 2025 May;17:e35. https://doi.org/10.4055/cios24336

Aims: This study aimed to compare the performance of survival prediction models for bone metastases of the extremities (BM-E) with pathological fractures in an Asian cohort, and investigate patient characteristics associated with survival.Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 469 patients, who underwent surgery for BM-E between January 2009 and March 2022 at a tertiary hospital in South Korea. Postoperative survival was calculated using the PATHFx3.0, SPRING13, OPTIModel, SORG, and IOR models. Model performance was assessed with area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, Brier score, and decision curve analysis. Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the factors contributing to survival.Results: The SORG model demonstrated the highest discriminatory accuracy with AUC (0.80 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76 to 0.85)) at 12 months. In calibration analysis, the PATHfx3.0 and OPTIModel models underestimated survival, while the SPRING13 and IOR models overestimated survival. The SORG model exhibited excellent calibration with intercepts of 0.10 (95% CI -0.13 to 0.33) at 12 months. The SORG model also had lower Brier scores than the null score at three and 12 months, indicating good overall performance. Decision curve analysis showed that all five survival prediction models provided greater net benefit than the default strategy of operating on either all or no patients. Rapid growth cancer and low serum albumin levels were associated with three-, six-, and 12-month survival.Conclusion: State-of-art survival prediction models for BM-E (PATHFx3.0, SPRING13, OPTIModel, SORG, and IOR models) are useful clinical tools for orthopaedic surgeons in the decision-making process for the treatment in Asian patients, with SORG models offering the best predictive performance. Rapid growth cancer and serum albumin level are independent, statistically significant factors contributing to survival following surgery of BM-E. Further refinement of survival prediction models will bring about informed and patient-specific treatment of BM-E.Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(2):203–211.